What is John E Kiely's strike rate?

John E Kiely has won 8 of 59 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 13.6% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

What is John E Kiely's Fair A/E?

1.22, from 59 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

John E Kiely

59 runners in the last 5 seasons · 17 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Apr 2023

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

8–59

Wins / Runs

13.6%

Strike rate

n=59

19 (32%)

Placed

1.22

Fair A/E

n=59 · 0.99 incl. margin

−7.30

£1 level stake

n=59 at SP · −12.4%

£226k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

35.7%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 13.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

12.5%−1.1

n=16 · A/E 1.64 · £1 +0.25

New recruits · first run for the yard

33.3%+19.7

n=3 · A/E 3.52 · £1 +0.25

Debutants · first career start

12.5%−1.1

n=8 · A/E 1.06 · £1 +1.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

0%−13.6

n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

When favourite

33.3%

n=6 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −3.05

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

12.9%−0.7

n=31 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −2.53

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

42.9%+29.3

n=7 · A/E 2.91 · £1 +12.23

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 13.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 21 2 9.5% +3.00

Hurdle 19 0 0% −19.00

NH Flat 13 5 38.5% +10.70

Chase 6 1 16.7% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 20 3 15% −0.77

Good 18 3 16.7% +7.22

Heavy 10 2 20% −2.75

Good to Soft 9 0 0% −9.00

Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Cork 6 1 16.7% −2.75

Killarney 6 0 0% −6.00

Leopardstown 5 2 40% +23.00

Fairyhouse 5 1 20% −1.00

Tipperary 4 1 25% +5.00

Clonmel 3 0 0% −3.00

Curragh 3 0 0% −3.00

Naas 3 0 0% −3.00

Punchestown 3 1 33.3% −1.27

Roscommon 3 1 33.3% −1.78

Thurles 3 0 0% −3.00

Tramore 3 0 0% −3.00

Limerick 2 0 0% −2.00

Listowel 2 0 0% −2.00

Wexford 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 7 3 42.9% +12.23

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 7 2 28.6% 0.80 −4.05

2nd–3rd fav 17 4 23.5% 1.50 +3.75

4th–6th fav 12 1 8.3% 1.41 +1.00

7th+ in betting 23 1 4.3% 1.41 −8.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

The Tack Room (GB)then John E & Thomas Kiely 9 1 3 12 Mar 23

Hi Stranger (IRE)then John E & Thomas Kiely 8 0 1 29 Mar 23

Walk Out (IRE)then John E & Thomas Kiely 7 0 1 16 Apr 23

The Names Jock (IRE)from R J Osborne · then John E & Thomas Kiely 7 1 2 1 Sep 22

Blackpoint (IRE)then John E & Thomas Kiely 6 0 2 8 Oct 22

A Dream To Share (IRE)then John E & Thomas Kiely 5 5 5 26 Apr 23

Glory Liss (IRE)then Terence O'Brien 4 0 2 24 Nov 22

Goodbye Someday (IRE)then John Queally 4 0 0 15 Jul 22

Joyeux Vivo (FR)then John E & Thomas Kiely 1 0 1 25 Apr 23

Penny Glory (IRE)from Miss M Harding 1 1 1 23 Mar 23

Shuil Valentine (IRE) 1 0 0 29 Dec 22

Liberated Light (IRE)from Richard Fahey · then John E & Thomas Kiely 1 0 0 21 Dec 22

All 17 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 17 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 13 had their first archived run for this yard.

14 have since run for another yard, most often for John E & Thomas Kiely (9); 3 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

253329102925000000

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

RiderRWSR£1

Mr J L Gleeson 13 5 38.5% +16.45

Derek Thomas McGrath 5 0 0% −5.00

Simon Torrens 4 1 25% +0.00

Denis O'Regan 3 0 0% −3.00

Jake Coen 3 0 0% −3.00

Mr D Kiely 3 0 0% −3.00

Miss M O'Sullivan 3 2 66.7% +15.25

Emmet McNamara 2 0 0% −2.00

Rachael Blackmore 2 0 0% −2.00

Colin Keane 2 0 0% −2.00

W J Lee 2 0 0% −2.00

Mr H C Swan 2 0 0% −2.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

252

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£4.62m

Prize money

2006

Best season · 22 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Indian Pace (IRE) — Guinness Galway Hurdle Handicap Galway · Jul 2008 · Grade A

£132,700

Carlingford Lough (IRE) — www.thetote.com Galway Plate (steeplechase Handicap) (grade A) Galway · Jul 2013 · Grade A

£120,375

Carlingford Lough (IRE) — Bibby Financial Services Ireland Punchestown Gold Cup (Grade 1) Punchestown · Apr 2016 · Grade 1

£118,000

Notable horses

Carlingford Lough (IRE) King Rama (USA) On The Way Out (IRE) Toe The Line (IRE) Line Out (IRE) Oneeightofamile (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Milan (GB) 11.1% · 1–9

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,840 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Sea Moon (GB) 0% · 0–8

Progeny have won 11.5% of 581 runs since 2008 (64 horses). Strongest on Good going: 15.6% from 231. Weakest on Soft going: 7.3% from 165. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 8.3% from 156.

Famous Name (GB) 14.3% · 1–7

Progeny have won 9.1% of 1,510 runs since 2008 (102 horses).

Walk In The Park (IRE) 0% · 0–7

Progeny have won 13.2% of 6,915 runs since 2008 (685 horses).

Kodiac (GB) 0% · 0–6

Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,515 runs since 2008 (1,664 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.

Muhaarar (GB) 83.3% · 5–6

Progeny have won 11.6% of 4,770 runs since 2008 (410 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,802 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,802 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 15 January 2005 to 26 April 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

26 Apr 23 Punchestown A Dream To Share (IRE)J: Mr J L Gleeson Race & Stay At Punchestown Champion I.N.H. Flat Race (Grade 1)16.5f · Yielding · 8 ran 1st 8/11F

25 Apr 23 Punchestown Joyeux Vivo (FR)J: Mr J L Gleeson Oak Lodge Landscapes Flat Race16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 22 ran 3rd 7/1

16 Apr 23 Tramore Walk Out (IRE)J: Denis O'Regan Anne Valley Walk Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 1)20.5f · Soft · 13 ran 2nd 22/1

06 Apr 23 Clonmel Walk Out (IRE)J: Derek Thomas McGrath Aisling Kennedy Memorial Mares Maiden Hurdle19.5f · Heavy · 11 ran 8th 16/1

29 Mar 23 Navan Hi Stranger (IRE)J: Emmet McNamara Enjoy Hospitality At Navan Racecourse Handicap (47-70)13f · Heavy · 14 ran 13th 33/1

23 Mar 23 Cork Penny Glory (IRE)J: Miss M O'Sullivan Buy Tickets For The Easter Festival Online Now Mares (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Heavy · 11 ran 1st 9/4

15 Mar 23 Cheltenham A Dream To Share (IRE)J: Mr J L Gleeson Weatherbys Champion Bumper (Standard Open NH Flat Race) (Grade 1) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 16.5f · Soft · 21 ran 1st 7/2

13 Mar 23 Thurles Walk Out (IRE)J: Derek Thomas McGrath Holycross Maiden Hurdle21f · Soft · 14 ran UR 15/2

12 Mar 23 Naas The Tack Room (GB)J: Simon Torrens Bar One Racing Leinster National Handicap Chase (Grade A)24.5f · Soft · 13 ran 6th 5/2F

16 Feb 23 Clonmel Walk Out (IRE)J: Derek Thomas McGrath Surehaul Race Day Mares Maiden Hurdle19f · Soft · 18 ran 7th 150/1

04 Feb 23 Leopardstown A Dream To Share (IRE)J: Mr J L Gleeson Shabra Charity Oliver Brady Memorial Future Stars (C & G) I.N.H. Flat Race (Grade 2)16f · Yielding · 8 ran 1st 12/1

25 Jan 23 Fairyhouse Walk Out (IRE)J: Phillip Enright Easter Festival Early Bird Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft To Heavy · 16 ran 13th 200/1

25 Jan 23 Fairyhouse The Tack Room (GB)J: Simon Torrens Follow Fairyhouse On Social Media Handicap Chase (0-116)21f · Soft To Heavy · 8 ran 1st 3/1

07 Jan 23 Cork Walk Out (IRE)J: Denis O'Regan Happy New Year From All At Cork Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 19 ran 16th 40/1

29 Dec 22 Leopardstown Shuil Valentine (IRE)J: Mr D Kiely Plusvital Flat Race16f · Soft · 9 ran 9th 25/1

29 Dec 22 Limerick The Tack Room (GB)J: Gavin Brouder Limerick Racecourse Vets Novice Handicap Chase (0-109)22.5f · Heavy · 16 ran 4th 11/2

21 Dec 22 Dundalk (AW) Liberated Light (IRE)J: Jake Coen William Hill Play Responsibly Handicap (47-75)12f · Standard · 14 ran 9th 40/1

06 Dec 22 Tramore Walk Out (IRE)J: Miss M O'Sullivan Garrarus Beach (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Soft · 11 ran 6th 11/4

24 Nov 22 Thurles Glory Liss (IRE)J: Rachael Blackmore Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle23f · Yielding To Soft · 15 ran PU 14/1

12 Nov 22 Naas The Tack Room (GB)J: Kevin Sexton Mongey Communications Beginners Chase20f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 4th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John E Kiely's strike rate?: John E Kiely has won 8 of 59 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 13.6% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is John E Kiely's Fair A/E?: 1.22, from 59 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.