What is Gemma Gracey-Davison's strike rate?

Gemma Gracey-Davison has won 26 of 499 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Gemma Gracey-Davison do best at?

Plumpton by strike rate: 9 wins from 82 rides (11%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Gemma Gracey-Davison ride most for?

Zoe Davison, with 365 rides since 2008 — 73% of the total. That pairing has won 19 (5.2%).

What is Gemma Gracey-Davison's Fair A/E?

0.82, from 497 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Gemma Gracey-Davison

499 rides in the lifetime window · 146 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Apr 2015 91% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

26–499

Wins / Runs

5.2%

Strike rate

n=499

109 (22%)

Placed

0.82

Fair A/E

n=497 · 0.71 incl. margin

−256.95

£1 level stake

n=499 at SP · −51.5%

£176k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

3.3%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 60 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.82). Rode mostly for Zoe Davison — 73% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 499 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Mar–May Zoe Davison: 5.2% from 365

The read

The record is strongest at Plumpton (11%, n=82), clear of the rider's 5.2% baseline. It is weakest at Lingfield (0% over 35 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 1.1% (n=87, Fair A/E 0.28). The market has consistently overbet first rides on a horse: 2.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.46 and −106.33 to a £1 stake over 138 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Zoe Davison supplied 73% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (5.2%, A/E 0.92). The rider also read well on Soft going (9.8%, n=92). The record read poorly in NH Flat races — 0% over 43 rides, 5.2pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the rider fired Mar–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.2% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

2.9%−2.3

n=138 · A/E 0.46 · £1 −106.33

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

23.1%+17.9

n=26 · A/E 1.58 · £1 +2.80

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

1.1%−4.1

n=87 · A/E 0.28 · £1 −77.00

When favourite

25%

n=12 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −5.20

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

5.1%−0.1

n=452 · A/E 0.79 · £1 −239.45

Big fields · 14+ runners

2.4%−2.8

n=83 · A/E 0.66 · £1 −63.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−5.2

n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Plumpton 11% vs 5.2% · n=82

On Soft going 9.8% vs 5.2% · n=92

In NH Flat races 0% vs 5.2% · n=43

Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 5.2% · n=42

At Lingfield 0% vs 5.2% · n=35

At Fontwell 2.1% vs 5.2% · n=96

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 333 21 6.3% −145.45

Chase 79 3 3.8% −44.00

Flat 44 2 4.5% −24.50

NH Flat 43 0 0% −43.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 167 7 4.2% −81.00

Soft 92 9 9.8% −2.33

Good to Firm 86 7 8.1% −41.37

Good to Soft 84 2 2.4% −66.00

Heavy 57 1 1.8% −53.25

Standard (AW) 13 0 0% −13.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Fontwell 96 2 2.1% −71.00

Plumpton 82 9 11% +18.63

Lingfield 35 0 0% −35.00

Folkestone 25 1 4% −19.00

Fakenham 24 1 4.2% −21.25

Towcester 22 2 9.1% −7.00

Huntingdon 20 1 5% −5.00

Market Rasen 19 1 5.3% −17.33

Newton Abbot 17 0 0% −17.00

Stratford 16 2 12.5% −1.00

Kempton 15 1 6.7% −10.00

Sandown 12 0 0% −12.00

Wetherby 11 1 9.1% −3.00

Newbury 8 0 0% −8.00

Salisbury 6 1 16.7% +1.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 218 12 5.5% −75.75

Class 5 184 10 5.4% −118.70

Class 6 51 2 3.9% −31.50

Class 3 35 2 5.7% −20.00

Class 2 7 0 0% −7.00

Class 1 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 16 4 25% 0.92 −5.45

2nd–3rd fav 56 6 10.7% 0.73 −19.00

4th–6th fav 158 11 7% 0.97 −36.50

7th+ in betting 269 5 1.9% 0.63 −196.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

78.9% completed · 412 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 79 74.7% 2 1 17 0 0

Hurdle 333 79.9% 7 5 54 0 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Just Beware (GB) 53 3 23 25 Feb 13

Spider Boy (GB) 35 4 12 10 Mar 11

Shropshirelass (GB) 28 2 7 11 Mar 13

Ashmolian (IRE) 27 2 8 11 Mar 13

Lindsay's Dream (GB) 24 3 6 22 Mar 15

Tchang Goon (FR) 17 0 1 11 Mar 13

Nozic (FR) 15 2 6 23 Mar 15

Canni Thinkaar (IRE) 14 0 3 29 Feb 12

John's Gem (GB) 13 1 1 25 Mar 15

Toni Alcala (GB) 11 1 3 11 Apr 11

Path To Glory (GB) 9 0 0 11 Jun 09

Carbis Bay (GB) 8 0 0 9 Feb 13

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 146 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

0498103056046

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardZoe Davison

73% of all rides
5.2% SR · A/E 0.92

TrainerRWSR£1

Zoe Davison 365 19 5.2% −179.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£208k

Prize money

2010

Best season · 6 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Spider Boy (GB) — Ladbrokes The Home Of Football Betting Handicap Hurdle Towcester · Mar 2009 · Class 3

£6,337

Nozic (FR) — Racing Plus Chase Day 23.02.13 Handicap Chase Kempton · Feb 2013 · Class 3

£6,256

Lindsay's Dream (GB) — Aspen Insurance Mares' Handicap Hurdle Plumpton · Mar 2013 · Class 4

£5,817

Notable horses

Just Beware (GB) Spider Boy (GB) Lindsay's Dream (GB) Ashmolian (IRE) Shropshirelass (GB) Nozic (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Makbul (GB) 4.3% · 3–70

Progeny have won 8.5% of 1,039 runs since 2008 (65 horses). Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 12.8% from 117. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5% from 120.

Beat All (USA) 5.7% · 2–35

Progeny have won 7% of 2,513 runs since 2008 (254 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.6% from 320. Weakest on Heavy going: 3.6% from 192. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 12.5% from 120.

Jupiter Island (GB) 11.4% · 4–35

Progeny have won 10% of 70 runs since 2008 (6 horses).

Grand Lodge (USA) 7.4% · 2–27

Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,359 runs since 2008 (104 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.6% from 250. Weakest on Soft going: 4.4% from 182.

Montjeu (IRE) 12% · 3–25

Progeny have won 12.3% of 7,971 runs since 2008 (665 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 16.3% from 686.

Silver Patriarch (IRE) 16.7% · 3–18

Progeny have won 7.8% of 2,609 runs since 2008 (262 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.3% from 274. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 11.3% from 300.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 568 · newest first

The latest 50 of 568 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 7 January 2005 to 1 April 2015.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

01 Apr 15 Towcester Finnegan's Garden (IRE)T: Zoe Davison Free Tips Every Day On gg.com Maiden Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 16f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 9th 50/1

28 Mar 15 Uttoxeter Jumeirah Liberty (GB)T: Zoe Davison Betfred Racing 'follow Us On Twitter' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Soft · 10 ran UR 7/1

25 Mar 15 Newton Abbot John's Gem (GB)T: Zoe Davison Bet Toteexacta Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 26.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran PU 50/1

25 Mar 15 Newton Abbot Asker (IRE)T: Zoe Davison Bet Toteswinger Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 17f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 11th 14/1

23 Mar 15 Taunton Nozic (FR)T: Zoe Davison Hager 'Design Range' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 9 ran 8th 33/1

23 Mar 15 Taunton Thelordbewithyou (IRE)T: Zoe Davison Termination Technology Claiming HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 6 ran PU 100/1

22 Mar 15 Market Rasen Lindsay's Dream (GB)T: Zoe Davison Connolly's Red Mills 'Precision Nutrition' Mares' Handicap Hurdle (Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 9 ran 4th 22/1

22 Mar 15 Market Rasen Noir Girl (GB)T: Zoe Davison 32RedSport.com Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20.5f · Good · 11 ran PU 20/1

21 Mar 15 Stratford Derryogue (IRE)T: Zoe Davison Bet With Rails Bookmakers Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 21f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 6th 33/1

21 Mar 15 Stratford Jumeirah Liberty (GB)T: Zoe Davison Support Your On Course Bookmaker Selling Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 8 ran 1st 8/1

11 Mar 15 Huntingdon Asker (IRE)T: Zoe Davison 32Red On The App Store Lady Riders' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good · 10 ran 5th 5/1

09 Mar 15 Plumpton Lindsay's Dream (GB)T: Zoe Davison Aspen Finpro Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 4th 5/1

09 Mar 15 Plumpton John's Gem (GB)T: Zoe Davison Aspen Insurance Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 25f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 7th 40/1

06 Mar 15 Sandown Georgieshore (IRE)T: Zoe Davison Claygate 'national Hunt' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 5th 25/1

02 Mar 15 Fakenham George Nympton (IRE)T: Zoe Davison King's Lynn Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 5th 10/1

27 Feb 15 Doncaster Frank N Fair (GB)T: Zoe Davison Betbright Casino Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 19.5f · Good · 14 ran 9th 20/1

27 Feb 15 Doncaster Derryogue (IRE)T: Zoe Davison Betbright Cheltenham Festival Fund Novices' ChaseClass 4 · 19f · Good · 6 ran 4th 100/1

25 Feb 15 Wincanton Jumeirah Liberty (GB)T: Zoe Davison Bruton Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 15.5f · Heavy · 6 ran 5th 6/1

19 Feb 15 Huntingdon Asker (IRE)T: Zoe Davison Lafarge Tarmac Ultimate Service Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Soft · 7 ran 2nd 8/1

16 Feb 15 Lingfield Georgieshore (IRE)T: Zoe Davison 888sport.com Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Heavy · 8 ran 3rd 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Gemma Gracey-Davison's strike rate?: Gemma Gracey-Davison has won 26 of 499 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.2% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Gemma Gracey-Davison do best at?: Plumpton by strike rate: 9 wins from 82 rides (11%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Gemma Gracey-Davison ride most for?: Zoe Davison, with 365 rides since 2008 — 73% of the total. That pairing has won 19 (5.2%).
What is Gemma Gracey-Davison's Fair A/E?: 0.82, from 497 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.