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Trainer profile

Nick Ayliffe

152 runners in the lifetime window · 30 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Dec 2015 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
3–152
Wins / Runs
2%
Strike rate
n=152
19 (13%)
Placed
0.58
Fair A/E
n=152 · 0.49 incl. margin
−96.50
£1 level stake
n=152 at SP · −63.5%
£19,494
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 20 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 2% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.58).

Deterministic profile computed from 152 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−2.0
n=61 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −61.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−2.0
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−2.0
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−2.0
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−2.0
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
1.2%−0.8
n=83 · A/E 0.30 · £1 −49.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Rodi Greene 4.4% vs 2% · n=45
Off a 61-180-day break 0% vs 2% · n=42
On Good to Firm going 0% vs 2% · n=39
With Charlie Wallis 0% vs 2% · n=35
Off a 15-30-day break 0% vs 2% · n=34
On Good to Soft going 0% vs 2% · n=30
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 132 3 2.3% −76.50
NH Flat 16 0 0% −16.00
Chase 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 48 1 2.1% −41.50
Good to Firm 39 0 0% −39.00
Good to Soft 30 0 0% −30.00
Soft 27 2 7.4% +22.00
Heavy 7 0 0% −7.00
Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Newton Abbot 66 1 1.5% −51.00
Taunton 27 0 0% −27.00
Exeter 17 1 5.9% −10.50
Wincanton 12 0 0% −12.00
Worcester 8 0 0% −8.00
Hereford 7 0 0% −7.00
Chepstow 4 0 0% −4.00
Huntingdon 3 1 33.3% +31.00
Stratford 2 0 0% −2.00
Fontwell 2 0 0% −2.00
Plumpton 1 0 0% −1.00
Warwick 1 0 0% −1.00
Ffos Las 1 0 0% −1.00
Ludlow 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 72 2 2.8% −23.00
Class 4 65 1 1.5% −58.50
Class 6 10 0 0% −10.00
Class 3 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 6 1 16.7% 1.36 +0.50
4th–6th fav 28 0 0% 0.00 −28.00
7th+ in betting 117 2 1.7% 0.78 −68.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
70.6% completed · 136 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 4 50% 0 0 2 0 0
Hurdle 132 71.2% 2 2 34 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Holden Caulfield (IRE)from Mouse Hamilton-Fairley 22 0 5 24 Sep 13
Dalrymple (IRE)from Polly Gundry 13 1 5 9 Oct 14
Bubbs (GB)from Charles Egerton 12 2 3 10 Aug 10
Si Bien (FR)from James Ewart · then Ali Stronge 10 0 0 11 Oct 13
Arthurs Dream (IRE)from Tony Carroll 9 0 0 23 Apr 11
Transvestite (IRE)from Tor Sturgis 8 0 2 22 Aug 12
Freddy's Star (IRE)from Polly Gundry · then Martin Hill 7 0 2 22 May 13
Cinnamon Hill (GB)from Eve Johnson Houghton 7 0 1 5 Sep 11
Spice Hill (IRE)from Tim Vaughan 6 0 0 30 Aug 14
Sparkling Hero (GB) 5 0 0 20 Apr 15
Stellar Cause (USA)from Roger Curtis 4 0 0 24 Nov 11
Youbetterbegood (IRE)from L Young 4 0 0 8 Apr 10
All 30 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 30 horses listed, 17 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Polly Gundry (2); 13 had their first archived run for this yard.

5 have since run for another yard; 25 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
000000070970
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderRodi Greene
30% of all rides
4.4% SR · A/E 1.52
RiderRWSR£1
Rodi Greene 45 2 4.4% −23.50
Charlie Wallis 35 0 0% −35.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
6
Archived wins
£36,372
Prize money
2009
Best season · 2 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Bubbs (GB) — Bathwick Tyres Plymouth Handicap Hurdle Exeter · Oct 2009 · Class 4
£3,903
Fairly High (IRE) — Maiden Hurdle Worcester · Apr 2005 · Class 4
£3,770
Bubbs (GB) — gg.Com 'National Hunt' Novices' Hurdle Exeter · Apr 2007 · Class 4
£3,253
Notable horses
Bubbs (GB) Fairly High (IRE) Dalrymple (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Catcher In The Rye (IRE) 0% · 0–22
Progeny have won 8.9% of 2,570 runs since 2008 (239 horses).
Daylami (IRE) 7.7% · 1–13
Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,508 runs since 2008 (253 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 109.
Robellino (USA) 16.7% · 2–12
Progeny have won 10.3% of 524 runs since 2008 (47 horses).
Solon (GER) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 11.7% of 367 runs since 2008 (54 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 17.1% from 111. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.7% from 106.
Desert Prince (IRE) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,734 runs since 2008 (178 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5.6% from 425.
Trans Island (GB) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 9% of 4,740 runs since 2008 (295 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 247 · newest first

The latest 50 of 247 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 January 2005 to 17 December 2015.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
17 Dec 15 Exeter Midnight Hop (GB)J: Tom Cheesman Free Bet At 188bet Maiden HurdleClass 4 · 23f · Heavy · 8 ran PU 200/1
11 Nov 15 Exeter Midnight Hop (GB)J: Tom Cheesman Jack Fletcher Memorial Mares' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 18.5f · Soft · 8 ran 8th 66/1
27 May 15 Newton Abbot Virgile De Gene (FR)J: Tommy Phelan Independent Racecourses Limited, Irl Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 17f · Good · 8 ran PU 66/1
19 May 15 Newton Abbot Virgile De Gene (FR)J: Tommy Phelan SIS Live Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 5 · 17f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 7th 100/1
20 Apr 15 Newton Abbot Sparkling Hero (GB)J: Tommy Phelan Newton Abbot Races Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 12 ran PU 250/1
31 Mar 15 Exeter Sparkling Hero (GB)J: Tom Cheesman Finlake Holiday Park Novices' Selling HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 9 ran F 100/1
09 Feb 15 Plumpton Mix N Match (GB)J: Tom Cheesman Money Backs Galore At choicebet.net Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Good To Soft · 9 ran PU 33/1
09 Oct 14 Exeter Dalrymple (IRE)J: Matt Griffiths Bathwick Tyres Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 17f · Good To Firm · 11 ran PU 20/1
29 Sep 14 Newton Abbot Mix N Match (GB)J: Kieron Edgar South West Racing Club Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 14/1
19 Sep 14 Newton Abbot Mix N Match (GB)J: Kieron Edgar Riviera Stonemasons Selling Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 17f · Good · 11 ran 6th 25/1
30 Aug 14 Newton Abbot Spice Hill (IRE)J: Kieron Edgar Scoop6 The Millionaire Maker Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 8 ran PU 33/1
21 Aug 14 Newton Abbot Spice Hill (IRE)J: Kieron Edgar Living Coasts, Torquay Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good To Firm · 5 ran PU 20/1
14 Jul 14 Newton Abbot Spice Hill (IRE)J: Mikey Ennis Independent Racecourses Limited, Irl Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 8th 50/1
07 Jul 14 Newton Abbot Spice Hill (IRE)J: Ollie Garner Newton Abbot Racecourse Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 21.5f · Good · 12 ran UR 40/1
16 Jun 14 Newton Abbot Dalrymple (IRE)J: Ollie Garner Visit Us At Newtonabbotracing.com Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 14 ran 7th 33/1
30 May 14 Stratford Dalrymple (IRE)J: Charlie Wallis Luxurious Boutique White Swan Hotel, Stratford Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 6th 17/2
08 May 14 Wincanton Dalrymple (IRE)J: Ollie Garner Racing Uk Your Racing Home From Home Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 15.5f · Good · 11 ran 3rd 14/1
27 Feb 14 Taunton Dalrymple (IRE)J: Charlie Wallis Somerset Military Tattoo 6th September Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Heavy · 7 ran 6th 11/2
15 Feb 14 Wincanton Dalrymple (IRE)J: Ollie Garner Bathwick Tyres Bridgwater Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 15.5f · Heavy · 12 ran 5th 20/1
30 Dec 13 Taunton Dalrymple (IRE)J: Charlie Wallis Collect totepool Winnings At Betfred Shops Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 16.5f · Heavy · 13 ran 2nd 9/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Nick Ayliffe's strike rate?
Nick Ayliffe has won 3 of 152 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 2% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Nick Ayliffe do best at?
Newton Abbot by strike rate: 1 wins from 66 runners (1.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Nick Ayliffe's Fair A/E?
0.58, from 152 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).