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Jockey profile

J-P Carvalho

16 rides in the lifetime window · 13 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Aug 2013 100% of rides on the flat
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
3–16
Wins / Runs
18.8%
Strike rate
n=16
7 (44%)
Placed
1.49
n=6 · 1.17 incl. margin
−3.90
£1 level stake
n=7 at SP · −55.7%
£157k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Small sample — fewer than 30 runs in this window. Read the Ns before the percentages.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 18.8% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
9.1%−9.7
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
28.6%+9.8
n=7 · A/E 2.00 · £1 +1.10
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
16.7%−2.1
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
18.2%−0.6
n=11 · A/E 1.49 · £1 −3.90

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 18.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 6 3 50% +1.10
Good to Soft 4 0 0% −3.00
Standard (AW) 3 0 0% —
Good 2 0 0% −1.00
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Deauville (FR) 6 0 0% −3.00
Longchamp (FR) 4 0 0% −2.00
Saint-Cloud (FR) 2 1 50% +1.10
Chantilly (FR) 1 1 100% —
Maisons-Laffitte (FR) 1 1 100% —
Cagnes-Sur-Mer (FR) 1 0 0% —
Le Croise-Laroche (FR) 1 0 0% —

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 11 2 18.2% −3.90

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 1 1 100% 3.64 +2.10
4th–6th fav 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
7th+ in betting 3 0 0% 0.00 −3.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
King Of Sydney (USA) 2 0 1 12 Nov 08
Fair Breeze (GER) 2 1 2 24 Aug 08
Caudillo (GER) 2 0 1 24 Aug 08
Taameer (GB) 1 0 1 25 Aug 13
Thanatos (GB) 1 0 0 3 Nov 08
Liddal (FR) 1 0 0 20 Oct 08
Peligroso (FR) 1 0 0 19 Oct 08
Atalia (GER) 1 1 1 16 Oct 08
Kaliyan (IRE) 1 0 0 14 Oct 08
Royal Cyclone (IRE) 1 1 1 11 Oct 08
Smarten Die (IRE) 1 0 0 9 Aug 08
Fighting Johan (GER) 1 0 0 10 Feb 08
All 13 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
Mario Hofer 7 2 28.6% −0.90
M Boutin 2 1 50% —
Dr A Bolte 2 0 0% −2.00
H Blume 2 0 0% —
M Rulec 1 0 0% —
S Cerulis 1 0 0% —
Frau Erika Mader 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
10
Archived wins
3
Pattern / graded wins
£240k
Prize money
2006
Best season · 5 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Fair Breeze (GER) — Prix Corrida (Fillies & Mares) Saint-Cloud (FR) · May 2008 · Group 2
£54,485
Atalia (GER) — Prix de Saint-Cyr () (Fillies) Chantilly (FR) · Oct 2008 · Listed
£20,221
Fair Breeze (GER) — Prix Solitude () (Fillies) Fontainebleau (FR) · Nov 2006 · Listed
£17,241

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Diesis (GB) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 10.3% of 995 runs since 2008 (76 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 15.4% from 123. Weakest on Soft going: 4.3% from 188. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.9% from 160.
Acatenango (GER) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 9.4% of 637 runs since 2008 (50 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.8% from 126.
Silvano (GER) 50% · 1–2
Progeny have won 11.4% of 378 runs since 2008 (34 horses).
Beat Hollow (GB) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 11.3% of 6,034 runs since 2008 (412 horses).
Dashing Blade (GB) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 10.2% of 635 runs since 2008 (94 horses).
Desert Prince (IRE) 0% · 0–1
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,734 runs since 2008 (178 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5.6% from 425.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 39 archived runs · newest first

Every one of J-P Carvalho's 39 archived rides, from 16 June 2005 to 25 August 2013, newest first — 10 winners among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
24 Aug 08 Deauville (FR) Caudillo (GER)T: Dr A Bolte Darley Prix Kergorlay15f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 5th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is J-P Carvalho's strike rate?
J-P Carvalho has won 3 of 16 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 18.8% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. A small sample — fewer than 30 rides, so read the count before the percentage.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).