W Hefter
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sent out around 30 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.98).
It is weakest at Longchamp (FR) (4.9% over 41 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 5.6% (n=36, Fair A/E 1.65). The record read poorly in Class 1 — 5.6% over 36 runners, 3.8pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Soft going: Fair A/E 0.41 across 51 runners (5.9% strike, −34.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Prix Andre Baboin - Musee Gallo-Romain de Saint-Romain-en-Gal at Lyon Parilly (FR) (Oct 2014, £33,333).
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 9.4% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerGoing
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstWhen the yard fires
strike by month, lifetimeJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 218 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 218 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 16 June 2005 to 8 June 2015.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is W Hefter's strike rate?
- W Hefter has won 19 of 202 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 9.4% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does W Hefter do best at?
- Saint-Cloud (FR) by strike rate: 2 wins from 35 runners (5.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- What is W Hefter's Fair A/E?
- 0.98, from 159 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.