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Jockey profile

John Carroll

31 rides in our archive record, 2005 · 27 individual horses
As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride May 2005 100% of rides on the flat
Archive record 2005
No rides from 1 Jan 2008, where our aggregate statistics normally begin — showing the full archive record instead, 4 Apr 2005 to 11 May 2005. Figures that need a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time since a run, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are left out: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.
3–31
Wins / Runs
9.7%
Strike rate
n=31
7 (23%)
Placed
1.29
Fair A/E
n=31 · 1.11 incl. margin
+22.50
£1 level stake
n=31 at SP · +72.6%
£21,935
Prize money (window)

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.7% baseline
Big fields · 14+ runners
8.3%−1.4
n=12 · A/E 1.23 · £1 +14.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. Tiles that depend on a horse's earlier runs (debuts, time off, first-time headgear, new connections, last-time-out winners) are not shown on an archive-era record: for runs this early our archive cannot see what came before.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good to Soft 8 1 12.5% −1.50
Good 8 0 0% −8.00
Soft 7 1 14.3% +19.00
Good to Firm 6 1 16.7% +15.00
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Beverley 6 1 16.7% +15.00
Newcastle 5 0 0% −5.00
Thirsk 4 0 0% −4.00
Catterick 4 1 25% +22.00
Redcar 2 0 0% −2.00
Musselburgh 2 0 0% −2.00
Hamilton 2 1 50% +4.50
Haydock 2 0 0% −2.00
Southwell (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00
Pontefract 1 0 0% −1.00
Ripon 1 0 0% −1.00
Chester 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 16 1 6.3% +5.00
Class 6 5 2 40% +27.50
Class 2 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 7 3 0 0% −3.00
Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 4 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 6 0 0% 0.00 −6.00
4th–6th fav 8 1 12.5% 1.35 −1.50
7th+ in betting 17 2 11.8% 3.44 +30.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Kinky (GB) 2 1 1 11 May 05
Bloodstocktv (GB) 2 0 1 10 May 05
Finland (UAE) 2 0 0 2 May 05
Colway Ritz (GB) 2 0 0 20 Apr 05
Flaxby (GB) 1 0 0 11 May 05
Campbells Lad (GB) 1 0 0 10 May 05
Madge (GB) 1 0 0 9 May 05
Mac's Elan (GB) 1 0 0 9 May 05
Sierra Vista (GB) 1 0 0 7 May 05
Phi Phi (IRE) 1 0 0 7 May 05
Fangorn Forest (IRE) 1 1 1 7 May 05
Gulf Of Mexico (USA) 1 0 0 7 May 05
All 27 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 2005
JFMAMJJASOND
···127·······
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
Alan Berry 7 1 14.3% +19.00
Kevin Ryan 6 2 33.3% +21.50
Wilf Storey 3 0 0% −3.00
Ann Duffield 2 0 0% −2.00
Linda Stubbs 2 0 0% −2.00
F Jordan 2 0 0% −2.00
D W Barker 2 0 0% −2.00
E J O'Neill 1 0 0% −1.00
Rae Guest 1 0 0% −1.00
James Bethell 1 0 0% −1.00
John Gosden 1 0 0% −1.00
Alan Coogan 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
3
Archived wins
£21,935
Prize money
2005
Best season · 3 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. On this page the header statistics and this card both count from the archive floor (2005), so they agree.
Fangorn Forest (IRE) — Median Auction Maiden Stakes Beverley · May 2005 · Class 5
£4,696
Kinky (GB) — Levy Board Spring Handicap Catterick · Apr 2005 · Class 6
£2,993
Blades Boy (GB) — Rectangle Handicap Hamilton · Apr 2005 · Class 6
£2,968
Notable horses
Kinky (GB) Fangorn Forest (IRE) Blades Boy (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Kingsinger (IRE) 50% · 1–2
Progeny have won 7.3% of 247 runs since 2005 (13 horses).
Lujain (USA) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 7.9% of 3,111 runs since 2005 (179 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.4% from 205. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.1% from 145.
Mind Games (GB) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 6.9% of 2,645 runs since 2005 (164 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 3.7% from 109.
Paris House (GB) 50% · 1–2
Progeny have won 7.3% of 1,196 runs since 2005 (80 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.4% from 439. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 4.3% from 140.
Rudimentary (USA) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 8.8% of 2,850 runs since 2005 (250 horses).
Timber Country (USA) 0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 5.6% of 178 runs since 2005 (18 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2005, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

all 31 archived runs · newest first

Every one of John Carroll's 31 archived rides, from 4 April 2005 to 11 May 2005, newest first — 3 winners among them.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
11 May 05 Newcastle Kinky (GB)T: Alan Berry Cantor Spreadfair HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good · 14 ran 13th 14/1
11 May 05 Newcastle Flaxby (GB)T: James Bethell Betfred Sprint Series Handicap (Qualifier)Class 5 · 7f · Good · 13 ran 11th 16/1
10 May 05 Musselburgh Campbells Lad (GB)T: Alan Berry Aberlady Banded StakesClass 7 · 9f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 11th 7/1
10 May 05 Musselburgh Bloodstocktv (GB)T: Linda Stubbs Dunbar Maiden Auction StakesClass 7 · 5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 7th 4/1
09 May 05 Redcar Madge (GB)T: Wilf Storey Pertemps Employment Alliance HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good · 14 ran 14th 25/1
09 May 05 Redcar Mac's Elan (GB)T: Alan Coogan Evening Gazette HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Good · 20 ran 9th 12/1
07 May 05 Beverley Phi Phi (IRE)T: Rae Guest Powerpart HandicapClass 5 · 8.5f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 8th 12/1
07 May 05 Beverley Fangorn Forest (IRE)T: Kevin Ryan Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 1st 20/1
07 May 05 Beverley Sierra Vista (GB)T: D W Barker Leisure Furnishings HandicapClass 4 · 5f · Good To Firm · 17 ran 16th 25/1
07 May 05 Beverley Gulf Of Mexico (USA)T: Saeed bin Suroor Conditions StakesClass 2 · 5f · Good To Firm · 6 ran 4th 11/4
04 May 05 Chester Lake Hero (GB)T: Kevin Ryan Lily Agnes Conditions StakeClass 2 · 5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 50/1
02 May 05 Newcastle Finland (UAE)T: Ann Duffield Toteexacta Maiden StakesClass 5 · 9f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 5th 40/1
02 May 05 Newcastle Strathtay (GB)T: Alan Berry Totesport 0800 221 221 HandicapClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 9th 8/1
02 May 05 Newcastle Bloodstocktv (GB)T: Linda Stubbs Totepool Maiden Auction StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 2nd 9/1
30 Apr 05 Thirsk My Paris (GB)T: Kevin Ryan Thirsk Hunt Cup HandicapClass 2 · 8f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 2nd 13/2
30 Apr 05 Thirsk Robbie Will (GB)T: F Jordan totepool awaybet Maiden StakesClass 5 · 12f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 10th 20/1
27 Apr 05 Pontefract Finland (UAE)T: Ann Duffield Stanleybet.com Maiden StakesClass 5 · 10f · Good · 13 ran 9th 66/1
25 Apr 05 Hamilton Blades Boy (GB)T: Kevin Ryan Rectangle HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 1st 11/2
25 Apr 05 Hamilton Blue Patrick (GB)T: Kevin Ryan Famous Grouse HandicapClass 5 · 9f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 13th 9/2
23 Apr 05 Haydock Brut (GB)T: D W Barker Whitetobrown.com HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 7 ran 3rd 6/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John Carroll's strike rate?
John Carroll has won 3 of 31 rides in 2005, a strike rate of 9.7% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. Our archive begins in 2005, so anything earlier is not counted.
What is John Carroll's Fair A/E?
1.29, from 31 rides with a computed fair probability in 2005. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 28 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008). This profile has no runs from 2008, so every figure on this page counts from the start of the archive instead.