No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
18–243
Wins / Runs
7.4%
Strike rate
n=243
45 (19%)
Placed
1.04
Fair A/E
n=241 · 0.89 incl. margin
−123.67
£1 level stake
n=243 at SP · −50.9%
£160k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sent out around 30 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 7% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.04).
Deterministic profile computed from 243 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
The read
Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 0% (n=38, Fair A/E 0.00). The yard also read well off a 0-7-day break (20%, n=60) and on Standard (AW) going (13%, n=69). The record read poorly in Class 4 — 0% over 42 runners, 7.4pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Bet Multiples - Betdaq Cleves Stakes at Lingfield (AW) (Feb 2009, £22,708). The stable star of the record was Matsunosuke (GB) — 14 wins from 96 runs for the yard.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 7.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−7.4
n=38 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −38.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−7.4
n=10 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −10.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−7.4
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−7.4
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−7.4
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
When favourite
35.7%
n=14 · A/E 1.48 · £1 +4.25
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.5%−1.9
n=55 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −17.67
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
6.7%−0.7
n=15 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −11.25
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
With C&D winners23.1% vs 7.4% · n=39
Off a 0-7-day break20% vs 7.4% · n=60
In Class 40% vs 7.4% · n=42
With horses switching code0% vs 7.4% · n=33
On Standard (AW) going13% vs 7.4% · n=69
With a new jockey booking2.5% vs 7.4% · n=118
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Flat183179.3%−69.67
Hurdle4212.4%−36.00
Chase1800%−18.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW)69913%−18.50
Good to Firm5723.5%−23.67
Good4912%−45.00
Good to Soft3126.5%−16.50
Soft2015%−14.00
Firm9333.3%+2.00
Heavy800%−8.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Brighton28517.9%−8.67
Southwell (AW)20315%+4.25
Lingfield (AW)16318.8%−3.75
Yarmouth1400%−14.00
Chelmsford (AW)14214.3%−5.50
Huntingdon1300%−13.00
Newmarket1200%−12.00
Wolverhampton (AW)10110%−4.50
Kempton (AW)900%−9.00
Leicester800%−8.00
Warwick800%−8.00
Fakenham7114.3%−1.00
Newmarket700%−7.00
Bath6116.7%+3.00
Lingfield600%−6.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 67779.1%−30.75
Class 56557.7%−18.17
Class 44200%−42.00
Class 222313.6%−8.00
Class 320210%−11.50
Class 11516.7%−11.25
Class 7200%−2.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite21628.6%1.20+0.25
2nd–3rd fav31929%1.76+12.08
4th–6th fav6423.1%0.45−38.00
7th+ in betting12710.8%0.36−98.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
6f – 7f7379.6%−19.92
Under 6f5459.3%−25.50
1m5f – 2m4712.1%−41.00
1m – 1m1f2727.4%−19.50
1m2f – 1m4f24312.5%+0.25
2m1f – 2m4f1400%−14.00
2m5f – 3m400%−4.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20085411.9%−50.50
200952713.5%−23.75
201028517.9%+20.83
20111500%−15.00
20122328.7%−8.50
20132200%−22.00
201415320%+9.25
20152700%−27.00
2016700%−7.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps1491610.7%−36.92
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners80911.3%−40.42
11-13 runners6900%−69.00
5-7 runners49714.3%−7.25
14-16 runners3113.2%−2.00
17+ runners10110%−1.00
2-4 runners400%−4.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 21 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 21 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Emma Lavelle (2) and Jane Chapple-Hyam (2); 12 had their first archived run for this yard.
4 have since run for another yard; 17 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
3825000109140006
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Matsunosuke (GB) — Bet Multiples - Betdaq Cleves Stakes (Listed) Lingfield (AW) · Feb 2009 · Listed
£22,708
Matsunosuke (GB) — Live Casino Games at williamhill.com Handicap Lingfield (AW) · Jan 2009 · Class 2
£11,657
Matsunosuke (GB) — Willow Handicap Lingfield (AW) · Feb 2009 · Class 2
Progeny have won 4.8% of 248 runs since 2008 (20 horses).
Bollin Eric (GB)11.5% · 6–52
Progeny have won 9.7% of 1,319 runs since 2008 (115 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.7% from 126. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.6% from 257. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.9% from 101.
Video Rock (FR)3.6% · 1–28
Progeny have won 12% of 661 runs since 2008 (79 horses). Weakest on Good going: 8.8% from 170. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 15% from 253.
Progeny have won 9.4% of 3,248 runs since 2008 (225 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.7% from 172.
Invincible Spirit (IRE)25% · 3–12
Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,807 runs since 2008 (1,573 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 843.
Progeny have won 9.8% of 2,365 runs since 2008 (226 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 14.5% from 385. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.6% from 349.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 320 · newest first
The latest 50 of 320 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 12 February 2005 to 2 October 2016.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Alan Coogan's strike rate?
Alan Coogan has won 18 of 243 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.4% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Alan Coogan's Fair A/E?
1.04, from 241 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Alan Coogan·SR 7.4%·A/E 1.04
KTB
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