What is James Bethell's strike rate?

James Bethell has won 208 of 1,908 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.9% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does James Bethell do best at?

Catterick by strike rate: 15 wins from 95 runners (15.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for James Bethell?

P J McDonald, with 306 runners since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 38 (12.4%).

What is James Bethell's Fair A/E?

1.06, from 1,894 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

James Bethell

1,908 runners in the lifetime window · 169 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Dec 2020 93% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

208–1,908

Wins / Runs

10.9%

Strike rate

n=1,908

560 (29%)

Placed

1.06

Fair A/E

n=1,894 · 0.91 incl. margin

−170.13

£1 level stake

n=1,908 at SP · −8.9%

£1.61m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

9.9%

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 150 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 11% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.06).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,908 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Jan–Feb 28.5% when favourite P J McDonald: 12.4% from 306 Sent off the favourite in 9% of races

The read

It is weakest at Thirsk (5% over 100 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 7.3% (n=287, Fair A/E 0.86). Debutants are the standout value angle: 7.8% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.47 and +54.38 to a £1 stake over 128 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. P J McDonald rode 16% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (12.4%, A/E 1.09) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The record read poorly in Class 2 — 4% over 126 runners, 6.9pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard off a break of 180+ days: Fair A/E 0.84 across 136 runners (5.1% strike, −33.67 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Ladbrokes Bunbury Cup at Newmarket (Jul 2005, £45,500). The stable star of the record was Rich Again (IRE) — 12 wins from 66 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.9% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.3%−3.6

n=287 · A/E 0.86 · £1 −52.61

New recruits · first run for the yard

15.8%+4.9

n=19 · A/E 1.41 · £1 +26.25

Debutants · first career start

7.8%−3.1

n=128 · A/E 1.47 · £1 +54.38

First-time headgear · true-first definition

8.5%−2.4

n=94 · A/E 1.06 · £1 −25.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

11.6%+0.7

n=43 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −3.75

When favourite

28.5%

n=165 · A/E 1.02 · £1 −13.16

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

9.8%−1.1

n=194 · A/E 1.07 · £1 +17.21

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

3.6%−7.3

n=28 · A/E 0.50 · £1 −21.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Daniel Tudhope 20.8% vs 10.9% · n=72

With Ted Durcan 18.9% vs 10.9% · n=122

In Class 2 4% vs 10.9% · n=126

Off a break of 180+ days 5.1% vs 10.9% · n=136

With Andrew Elliott 3.8% vs 10.9% · n=53

At Thirsk 5% vs 10.9% · n=100

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,772 194 10.9% −235.76

Hurdle 105 8 7.6% +64.50

Chase 16 2 12.5% −12.00

NH Flat 15 4 26.7% +13.13

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 554 74 13.4% −26.32

Good to Firm 477 50 10.5% −67.88

Good 450 43 9.6% +54.64

Good to Soft 236 23 9.7% −36.68

Soft 158 16 10.1% −69.39

Heavy 23 1 4.3% −16.00

Firm 10 1 10% −8.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 197 29 14.7% +38.78

Wolverhampton (AW) 180 24 13.3% −27.07

Doncaster 122 11 9% −20.00

Ripon 116 10 8.6% −66.25

Redcar 115 12 10.4% +1.38

Beverley 108 12 11.1% −19.00

Thirsk 100 5 5% −67.00

York 98 7 7.1% +16.50

Catterick 95 15 15.8% +28.21

Newcastle 70 8 11.4% +6.50

Kempton 66 10 15.2% +0.60

Pontefract 63 6 9.5% −16.75

Haydock 60 6 10% +19.23

Southwell (AW) 55 3 5.5% −46.93

Ayr 49 5 10.2% −15.38

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 686 90 13.1% +5.94

Class 4 519 46 8.9% −86.13

Class 6 348 44 12.6% −9.34

Class 3 186 19 10.2% +9.35

Class 2 126 5 4% −78.75

Class 1 30 1 3.3% −23.00

Class 7 7 1 14.3% −0.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 207 56 27.1% 1.01 −15.66

2nd–3rd fav 421 75 17.8% 1.14 +4.03

4th–6th fav 671 53 7.9% 0.98 −90.50

7th+ in betting 609 24 3.9% 1.09 −68.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Rich Again (IRE) 66 12 23 19 Dec 18

Thankyou Very Much (GB) 52 7 21 13 Mar 18

True Pleasure (IRE) 44 9 16 17 Oct 15

Granston (IRE) 41 4 18 18 Sep 12

Fossgate (GB) 40 8 11 20 Jul 13

Briardale (IRE)then Edward Bethell 37 6 11 4 Feb 20

Templetuohy Max (IRE) 34 5 14 1 Nov 10

Portledge (IRE) 31 5 11 15 Feb 20

Bradbury (IRE)then Donald McCain 31 4 8 27 Oct 12

Airton (GB)then David Pipe 30 4 8 24 Oct 18

Mister Bob (GER) 29 8 11 23 Sep 17

Sendali (FR)then Chris Grant 29 4 6 11 Jan 11

The 60 most-raced of 169 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 3 arrived from another yard in our archive; 57 had their first archived run for this yard.

25 have since run for another yard, most often for Edward Bethell (5); 35 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

17137121391281391011

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderP J McDonald

16% of all rides
12.4% SR · A/E 1.09

RiderRWSR£1

P J McDonald 306 38 12.4% −42.02

Ted Durcan 122 23 18.9% +21.33

Graham Gibbons 111 10 9% −5.38

Jimmy Quinn 99 9 9.1% −49.92

Kevin Stott 80 10 12.5% +11.41

Paul Hanagan 72 9 12.5% +8.48

Daniel Tudhope 72 15 20.8% +62.50

Joe Fanning 67 8 11.9% +18.85

Graham Lee 57 5 8.8% −17.93

Andrew Elliott 53 2 3.8% −16.00

Jamie Spencer 41 7 17.1% +5.50

Josephine Gordon 36 6 16.7% +3.41

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

261

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.20m

Prize money

2014

Best season · 23 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Mine (IRE) — Ladbrokes Bunbury Cup (Heritage Handicap) Newmarket · Jul 2005 · Class 2

£45,500

Mine (IRE) — Ladbrokes Bunbury Cup (Heritage Handicap) Newmarket · Jul 2006 · Class 2

£45,339

Strawberry Dale (IRE) — Middleton Stakes (Group 3 Fillies) York · May 2006 · Group 3

£28,390

Notable horses

Rich Again (IRE) Fossgate (GB) True Pleasure (IRE) Snowed Under (GB) Mister Bob (GER) Granston (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Rock Of Gibraltar (IRE) 15.7% · 16–102

Progeny have won 9.8% of 11,562 runs since 2008 (871 horses).

Amadeus Wolf (GB) 18.2% · 12–66

Progeny have won 8.7% of 2,589 runs since 2008 (199 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.1% from 157.

Lucky Story (USA) 13.3% · 8–60

Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,554 runs since 2008 (162 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 14% from 351. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5.5% from 451.

Invincible Spirit (IRE) 6.4% · 3–47

Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,807 runs since 2008 (1,573 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 843.

Black Sam Bellamy (IRE) 19.6% · 9–46

Progeny have won 10.3% of 4,681 runs since 2008 (466 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 145.

Halling (USA) 17.4% · 8–46

Progeny have won 11% of 6,095 runs since 2008 (409 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 4.8% from 187.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,570 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,570 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 27 March 2005 to 28 December 2020.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

28 Dec 20 Newcastle (AW) Strawberryandcream (GB)J: Luke Morris Bombardier HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 18/1

21 Dec 20 Newcastle (AW) St Anne's (GB)J: Rowan Scott Play 4 To Win At Betway HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 10th 11/2

04 Dec 20 Newcastle (AW) Blu Boy (IRE)J: Tom Marquand Get Your Ladbrokes Daily Odds Boost NurseryClass 6 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 5th 5/1

27 Nov 20 Southwell (AW) St Anne's (GB)J: Ben Curtis Play 4 To Score At Betway Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 2nd 7/2

17 Nov 20 Newcastle (AW) Eagle's Foot (GB)J: Daniel Tudhope Betway HandicapClass 5 · 16.5f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran 1st 6/4F

07 Nov 20 Doncaster Blu Boy (IRE)J: Daniel Tudhope Betfair Cock O'The North EBF Maiden Stakes (Plus 10)Class 4 · 6f · Soft · 13 ran 5th 13/2

06 Nov 20 Newcastle (AW) Strawberryandcream (GB)J: Daniel Tudhope Bombardier 'March To Your Own Drum' Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 8th 15/2

06 Nov 20 Newcastle (AW) Ulshaw Bridge (IRE)J: P J McDonald Bombardier British Hopped Amber Beer HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 8 ran 5th 10/3

03 Nov 20 Southwell (AW) Cheshire (GB)J: Oisin Murphy Betway HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 5 ran 4th 10/1

27 Oct 20 Catterick Rich Belief (GB)J: Kevin Stott Millbry Hill HandicapClass 4 · 12f · Soft · 6 ran 2nd 2/1F

26 Oct 20 Newcastle (AW) Mudawwan (IRE)J: Kevin Stott Bombardier British Hopped Amber Beer HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 8th 12/1

24 Oct 20 Doncaster Grantley (IRE)J: Ray Dawson Scott Dobson Memorial NurseryClass 3 · 7f · Heavy · 8 ran 6th 11/1

23 Oct 20 Newcastle (AW) Strawberryandcream (GB)J: Daniel Tudhope Bombardier Handicap (Div 1)Class 5 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 1st 28/1

23 Oct 20 Newcastle (AW) Abbotside (GB)J: Kevin Stott Bombardier 'March To Your Own Drum' Handicap (Div 2)Class 5 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 4th 5/1

23 Oct 20 Newcastle (AW) Well Funded (IRE)J: P J McDonald Heed Your Hunch At Betway HandicapClass 5 · 16.5f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 8th 10/1

22 Oct 20 Wolverhampton (AW) Jungle Capers (IRE)J: Ray Dawson Bombardier Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 7th 12/1

16 Oct 20 Newcastle (AW) Jervaulx (GB)J: Luke Morris attheraces.com HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 13/2

16 Oct 20 Redcar St Anne's (GB)J: Ben Curtis Every Race Live On Racing TV Novice StakesClass 5 · 6f · Soft · 14 ran 3rd 9/1

16 Oct 20 Redcar Blu Boy (IRE)J: Ray Dawson Yorkshire Jump Racing Is Back EBF Novice StakesClass 5 · 6f · Soft · 14 ran 6th 66/1

16 Oct 20 Haydock Clieves Hills (GB)J: Hayley Turner Watch On Racing TV Fillies' Novice Stakes (Plus 10/GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Heavy · 10 ran 8th 28/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is James Bethell's strike rate?: James Bethell has won 208 of 1,908 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.9% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does James Bethell do best at?: Catterick by strike rate: 15 wins from 95 runners (15.8%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for James Bethell?: P J McDonald, with 306 runners since 2008 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 38 (12.4%).
What is James Bethell's Fair A/E?: 1.06, from 1,894 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.