What is Ann Duffield's strike rate?

Ann Duffield has won 39 of 459 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.5% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Ann Duffield do best at?

Catterick by strike rate: 8 wins from 70 runners (11.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Is Ann Duffield in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Ann Duffield's Fair A/E?

0.99, from 458 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Ann Duffield

459 runners in the last 5 seasons · 59 individual horses

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 5 days ago 90% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

39–459

Wins / Runs

8.5%

Strike rate

n=459

109 (24%)

Placed

0.99

Fair A/E

n=458 · 0.84 incl. margin

−160.92

£1 level stake

n=459 at SP · −35.1%

£440k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

10%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 90 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.99). With a claiming rider up the record reads 10% (60 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 459 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 22 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jun–Jul Claiming riders: 10%

The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 1.3% (n=78, Fair A/E 0.24). The yard also reads well in Class 4 (13.1%, n=84). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 0% over 44 runners, 8.5pts below the baseline. 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Watership Down Stud Sales Race at Ascot (Sep 2007, £134,354). The stable star of the record: Just Lille (IRE) — 18 wins from 65 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jun–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

1.3%−7.2

n=78 · A/E 0.24 · £1 −67.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

5%−3.5

n=20 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −7.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−8.5

n=23 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −23.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

5.3%−3.2

n=19 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −13.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

10.5%+2.0

n=19 · A/E 1.22 · £1 −8.00

When favourite

29.6%

n=27 · A/E 1.13 · £1 −3.75

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

10%+1.5

n=60 · A/E 1.22 · £1 −14.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

50%+41.5

n=2 · A/E 8.33 · £1 +27.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 61-180-day break 0% vs 8.5% · n=44

With Rowan Scott 0% vs 8.5% · n=38

On last-time-out winners 15.4% vs 8.5% · n=39

With C&D winners 13.4% vs 8.5% · n=82

In Class 4 13.1% vs 8.5% · n=84

Off a break of 180+ days 2.9% vs 8.5% · n=34

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 412 32 7.8% −170.80

Hurdle 34 3 8.8% +3.75

Chase 13 4 30.8% +6.13

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 148 12 8.1% −56.42

Good 132 12 9.1% −35.75

Good to Firm 104 7 6.7% −65.13

Good to Soft 40 4 10% +11.50

Soft 29 4 13.8% −9.12

Heavy 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newcastle (AW) 106 9 8.5% −34.42

Catterick 70 8 11.4% −12.25

Thirsk 42 2 4.8% −25.50

Southwell (AW) 31 3 9.7% −11.00

Beverley 26 1 3.8% −18.00

Redcar 23 1 4.3% −19.25

Carlisle 18 2 11.1% −7.00

York 17 1 5.9% −14.38

Ripon 16 0 0% −16.00

Musselburgh 15 0 0% −15.00

Doncaster 13 1 7.7% −7.00

Perth 13 4 30.8% +9.13

Wolverhampton (AW) 11 0 0% −11.00

Pontefract 8 1 12.5% −3.00

Hamilton 7 1 14.3% −0.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 210 19 9% −68.92

Class 5 114 6 5.3% −59.00

Class 4 84 11 13.1% −26.50

Class 3 30 1 3.3% −21.50

Class 2 19 1 5.3% −12.00

Class 1 2 1 50% +27.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 31 8 25.8% 1.00 −7.75

2nd–3rd fav 82 12 14.6% 0.92 −15.17

4th–6th fav 153 15 9.8% 1.23 −15.00

7th+ in betting 193 4 2.1% 0.65 −123.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Quercus (IRE) 36 7 15 17 Oct 26

Master Richard (GB) 35 4 10 6 Sep 26

Mr Trevor (IRE) 33 4 9 22 Oct 24

Clotherholme (IRE) 32 2 11 1 Nov 24

Azucena (IRE)then Stephen Hanlon 31 3 7 19 Dec 25

Runninwild (GB) 25 4 8 30 May 25

Front Gunner (IRE)then Stephen Hanlon 20 3 7 16 Dec 25

Billyb (FR)then Craig Lidster 17 3 5 26 Aug 23

Sassy Soprano (IRE) 14 0 2 22 Oct 24

Madame Christine (GB) 14 0 1 18 Oct 24

How Exciting (IRE) 11 0 1 22 Jan 23

Miss Snuggles (IRE) 10 0 0 30 Apr 24

All 59 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 59 horses listed, 25 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Patrick Neville (6) and Micky Hammond (3); 34 had their first archived run for this yard.

28 have since run for another yard, most often for Patrick Neville (9) and Stephen Hanlon (9); 31 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 2

Only 2 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

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A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderDavid Allan

9% of all rides
11.6% SR · A/E 1.06

RiderRWSR£1

David Allan 43 5 11.6% −12.42

Paul Mulrennan 40 2 5% −30.50

Shane Gray 39 3 7.7% −16.25

Rowan Scott 38 0 0% −38.00

Paul Hanagan 34 4 11.8% +19.00

Joe Fanning 31 4 12.9% +2.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

387

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.82m

Prize money

2010

Best season · 32 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Lady Rangali (IRE) — Watership Down Stud Sales Race (Fillies) Ascot · Sep 2007 · Class 2

£134,354

N'golo (IRE) — Pertemps Network Swinton Handicap Hurdle (Grade 3) (GBB Race) Haydock · May 2022 · Grade 3

£56,950

Dark Reckoning (GB) — William Hill Firth Of Clyde Stakes (Fillies' Group 3) Ayr · Sep 2014 · Group 3

£34,026

Notable horses

Just Lille (IRE) Quercus (IRE) Salerosa (IRE) Whispering Spirit (IRE) Prairie Sun (GER) Runninwild (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Nayef (USA) 19.4% · 7–36

Progeny have won 10% of 5,634 runs since 2008 (518 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6% from 216.

Aclaim (IRE) 11.4% · 4–35

Progeny have won 10% of 2,531 runs since 2008 (201 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 6.7% from 386.

Kodi Bear (IRE) 12.1% · 4–33

Progeny have won 10.3% of 3,937 runs since 2008 (386 horses).

Sir Prancealot (IRE) 6.3% · 2–32

Progeny have won 10.1% of 3,686 runs since 2008 (216 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.6% from 627. Weakest on Heavy going: 5.3% from 171.

Exceed and Excel (AUS) 9.7% · 3–31

Progeny have won 11.9% of 16,025 runs since 2008 (1,161 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 20.7% from 198. Weakest on Soft going: 7.9% from 1,194.

Fountain Of Youth (IRE) 14.8% · 4–27

Progeny have won 7.4% of 1,074 runs since 2008 (104 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 10.9% from 201. Weakest on Soft going: 3.9% from 103. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 11.4% from 123. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.8% from 158.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 4,229 · newest first

The latest 50 of 4,229 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 February 2005 to 17 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

17 Oct 26 Catterick Quercus (IRE)J: Rhys Elliott William Hill Best Odds Guaranteed Veterans' Handicap StakesClass 4 · 6f · Good · 10 ran 10th 66/1

12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Jaydee's Dream (IRE)J: David Egan Free Tips On attheraces.com EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 6th 250/1

08 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Jaydee's Dream (IRE)J: David Egan Free Bets On Attheraces.com Ebf Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands C And D) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 8th 125/1

30 Sep 26 Musselburgh Brandenburg (GB)J: Paul Mulrennan Dropkicks Split The G Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 4th 4/1

06 Sep 26 York Master Richard (GB)J: Alexandra Egan Coopers Marquees Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 19 ran 19th 40/1

27 Aug 26 Southwell (AW) Master Richard (GB)J: Shane Gray Free Digital Racecard At Raceday-ready.com Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 12/1

19 Aug 26 York Brandenburg (GB)J: Luke Morris Sky Bet Nursery Handicap StakesClass 2 · 6f · Good · 18 ran 12th 25/1

17 Aug 26 Catterick Quercus (IRE)J: Shane Gray Chapman Milestones Celebration, Thank You NHS Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good · 9 ran 1st 12/1

09 Jan 26 Newcastle (AW) Esque Elegance (IRE)J: Lauren Young Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Classified StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 4th 18/1

09 Jan 26 Newcastle (AW) Red House (GB)J: Cam Hardie Always Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 4 · 8f · Standard · 5 ran 4th 100/1

20 Dec 25 Newcastle (AW) Runninman (IRE)J: Paul Mulrennan Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk NurseryClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 8 ran 3rd 4/1

19 Dec 25 Newcastle (AW) Azucena (IRE)J: Oliver Stammers Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 5f · Standard · 7 ran 4th 7/1

19 Dec 25 Newcastle (AW) Populus (IRE)J: Dylan Hogan Bet 10 Get 40 With BetMGM EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 25/1

16 Dec 25 Newcastle (AW) Front Gunner (IRE)J: Tom Eaves Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 10/1

13 Dec 25 Newcastle (AW) Red House (GB)J: Tom Eaves Bet 10 Get 40 With BetMGM EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 8f · Standard · 6 ran 6th 80/1

09 Dec 25 Newcastle (AW) Nanyuki (IRE)J: Joanna Mason Win 250,000 With BetMGM's Golden Goals HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 11th 66/1

05 Dec 25 Newcastle (AW) Master Harry (USA)J: Paul Mulrennan Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM NurseryClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 8/1

27 Nov 25 Newcastle (AW) Esque Elegance (IRE)J: Lauren Young Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 8th 50/1

27 Nov 25 Newcastle (AW) Azucena (IRE)J: Tom Eaves Midnite: Built For 2025 Not 2005 HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 11 ran 5th 28/1

24 Nov 25 Wolverhampton (AW) Populus (IRE)J: Joanna Mason Read Meg Nicholls' Blog At betmgm.co.uk EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 9th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Ann Duffield's strike rate?: Ann Duffield has won 39 of 459 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.5% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Ann Duffield do best at?: Catterick by strike rate: 8 wins from 70 runners (11.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Ann Duffield in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 2 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Ann Duffield's Fair A/E?: 0.99, from 458 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.