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Jockey profile

Kevin A Murphy

112 rides in the last 5 seasons · 71 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride yesterday 96% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2020→)
from 1 Jan 2022
1–112
Wins / Runs
0.9%
Strike rate
n=112
17 (15%)
Placed
0.27
Fair A/E
n=112 · 0.21 incl. margin
−106.00
£1 level stake
n=112 at SP · −94.6%
£39,276
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
4.2%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 20 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 1% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.27).

Deterministic profile computed from 112 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 6 Nov 2026
The read

The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 0.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.27 and −106.00 to a £1 stake over 112 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. The market has consistently overbet the rider in Hurdle races: Fair A/E 0.00 across 91 rides (0% strike, −91.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 0.9% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
0%−0.9
n=67 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −67.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
50%+49.1
n=2 · A/E 3.85 · £1 +4.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−0.9
n=21 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −21.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
0.9%+0.0
n=112 · A/E 0.27 · £1 −106.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−0.9
n=67 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −67.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 0.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Hurdle races 0% vs 0.9% · n=91 · A/E 0.00
On first rides for the horse 0% vs 0.9% · n=67 · A/E 0.00
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 91 0 0% −91.00
Chase 10 1 10% −4.00
NH Flat 7 0 0% −7.00
Flat 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 37 1 2.7% −31.00
Heavy 31 0 0% −31.00
Good to Soft 26 0 0% −26.00
Good 17 0 0% −17.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Limerick 19 0 0% −19.00
Cork 18 0 0% −18.00
Clonmel 14 0 0% −14.00
Punchestown 7 1 14.3% −1.00
Wexford 6 0 0% −6.00
Thurles 6 0 0% −6.00
Listowel 6 0 0% −6.00
Tipperary 5 0 0% −5.00
Killarney 5 0 0% −5.00
Tramore 4 0 0% −4.00
Gowran Park 3 0 0% −3.00
Naas 3 0 0% −3.00
Navan 3 0 0% −3.00
Kilbeggan 2 0 0% −2.00
Sligo 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
2nd–3rd fav 9 1 11.1% 0.78 −3.00
4th–6th fav 13 0 0% 0.00 −13.00
7th+ in betting 89 0 0% 0.00 −89.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
85.1% completed · 101 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 10 90% 0 0 1 0 0
Hurdle 91 84.6% 2 2 9 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Onebrightbluerose (IRE) 5 0 0 8 May 25
Uptaurintop (IRE) 4 0 1 10 Feb 26
Diamond Dollar (IRE) 4 1 1 11 Jan 26
Diamonds Diva (IRE) 4 0 0 8 Jan 26
Whateys Quest (IRE) 4 0 0 1 Apr 24
Knowing Me (IRE) 3 0 0 20 Apr 26
Clarin Breeze (IRE) 3 0 0 5 Feb 26
Old Kenmare (IRE) 3 0 2 17 Apr 25
Da Big Fella (IRE) 3 0 3 4 Apr 25
A Nod To Getaway (IRE) 3 0 0 15 Jul 22
Fenian Maxios (IRE) 2 0 1 18 Oct 26
Robin Elite (IRE) 2 0 0 17 Jul 26
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 71 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 rides in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
800000000000
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
Declan Queally 17 0 0% −17.00
C Byrnes 16 1 6.3% −10.00
Eugene M O'Sullivan 14 0 0% −14.00
Patrick Cronin 11 0 0% −11.00
Nigel Thomas Slevin 10 0 0% −10.00
Eamon Courtney 9 0 0% −9.00
Michael Winters 8 0 0% −8.00
L J Archdeacon 6 0 0% −6.00
Gordon Elliott 6 0 0% −6.00
Ian O'Connor 6 0 0% −6.00
Paul O'Flynn 4 0 0% −4.00
Neill McCluskey 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2020→
1
Archived wins
£40,116
Prize money
2026
Best season · 1 win
Diamond Dollar (IRE) — Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Chase (0-100) Punchestown · Jan 2026
£7,080
Notable horses
Diamond Dollar (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Yeats (IRE) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,844 runs since 2013 (707 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 204. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.2% from 820.
Diamond Boy (FR) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 11.9% of 2,294 runs since 2016 (287 horses).
Ask (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,218 runs since 2014 (283 horses).
Excelebration (IRE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 9% of 3,605 runs since 2016 (244 horses).
Getaway (GER) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,994 runs since 2016 (1,031 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.
Quest For Peace (IRE) 0% · 0–4
Progeny have won 12.8% of 180 runs since 2020 (26 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 127 · newest first

The latest 50 of 127 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 20 September 2020 to 5 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
05 Nov 26 Clonmel (IRE) Le Vent D'ex (FR)T: Michael Winters Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction & Median Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good · 11 ran 2nd 300/1
18 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Fenian Maxios (IRE)T: Michael Winters Limerick Show Handicap Hurdle19.5f · Good To Yielding · 14 ran PU 50/1
26 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Windy Grey (IRE)T: Paul O'Flynn Kathleen Walsh Memorial Handicap Hurdle22f · Good To Yielding · 17 ran 16th 66/1
22 Aug 26 Killarney (IRE) Keyser Smokesy (IRE)T: T O'Connor Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 15 ran 15th 28/1
17 Jul 26 Killarney (IRE) Robin Elite (IRE)T: Eugene M O'Sullivan Europe Hotel And Resort Handicap Steeplechase (Div II)23f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 6th 40/1
02 Jul 26 Limerick Denham Rock (IRE)T: C Byrnes Eddie Noonan Groundworks Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 18 ran 15th 18/1
14 May 26 Clonmel Heatherhill Lady (IRE)T: Declan Queally Watch Danny's Diary At ToteRacing Mares Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 14th 66/1
14 May 26 Clonmel You Done Well (IRE)T: Declan Queally Aisling Kennedy Memorial Claiming Hurdle19.5f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 4th 7/2
10 May 26 Cork Ivebeenkewadesert (IRE)T: Declan Queally Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Maiden Hurdle17.5f · Good · 14 ran 13th 100/1
20 Apr 26 Tramore Knowing Me (IRE)T: Declan Queally O'Driscolls Irish Whiskey Maiden Hurdle (Div 2)16.5f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 11th 28/1
20 Apr 26 Tramore You Done Well (IRE)T: Declan Queally O'Driscolls Irish Whiskey Claiming Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 7 ran 2nd 3/1F
26 Mar 26 Clonmel Knowing Me (IRE)T: Declan Queally Nire Valley Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 16 ran 11th 250/1
12 Mar 26 Limerick Another Ocana (IRE)T: L J Archdeacon Party Time Handicap Chase (0-100)23f · Heavy · 16 ran 4th 20/1
08 Mar 26 Naas Knowing Me (IRE)T: Declan Queally BAR 1 Betting 'Best Odds Guaranteed Overnight In-Shop & Online' Maiden Hurdle19f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 13th 125/1
07 Mar 26 Gowran Park Carlas Big Jim (IRE)T: L J Archdeacon Holden Fleet Handicap Hurdle20f · Heavy · 13 ran 6th 12/1
05 Mar 26 Thurles Fenian Maxios (IRE)T: Michael Winters Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Soft To Heavy · 18 ran 2nd 100/1
10 Feb 26 Limerick Uptaurintop (IRE)T: Eugene M O'Sullivan Munster Suite At Limerick Handicap Hurdle (0-100)21f · Heavy · 14 ran 4th 15/2
05 Feb 26 Thurles Clarin Breeze (IRE)T: Michael Winters www.thurlesraces.ie Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Soft · 14 ran 13th 150/1
03 Feb 26 Fairyhouse Uptaurintop (IRE)T: Eugene M O'Sullivan Adare Manor Opportunity Handicap Hurdle16f · Heavy · 12 ran PU 10/1
26 Jan 26 Punchestown Two Seconds (IRE)T: Declan Queally Matchbook 50:50 Graduation Series Mares Maiden Hurdle19f · Heavy · 16 ran PU 125/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Kevin A Murphy's strike rate?
Kevin A Murphy has won 1 of 112 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 0.9% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Kevin A Murphy in form?
Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 1 ride, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Kevin A Murphy's Fair A/E?
0.27, from 112 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).