What is Michael Winters's strike rate?

Michael Winters has won 26 of 297 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.8% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Michael Winters do best at?

Limerick by strike rate: 6 wins from 36 runners (16.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is Michael Winters's Fair A/E?

1.31, from 297 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Michael Winters

297 runners in the last 5 seasons · 41 individual horses

As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 142 days ago 97% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

26–297

Wins / Runs

8.8%

Strike rate

n=297

67 (23%)

Placed

1.31

Fair A/E

n=297 · 1.04 incl. margin

−0.09

£1 level stake

n=297 at SP · +0.0%

£279k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

12.9%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 60 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.31).

Deterministic profile computed from 297 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026

The read

The record is strongest at Limerick (16.7%, n=36), clear of the yard's 8.8% baseline. It is weakest at Clonmel (1.8% over 57 runners) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 8.2% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.21 and +12.38 to a £1 stake over 159 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The yard also reads well off a 15-30-day break (13.3%, n=98). The record reads poorly off a 31-60-day break — 3.7% over 54 runners, 5.1pts below the baseline. 16 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Guinness Galway Hurdle at Galway (Aug 2012, £156,600). The stable star of the record: Rebel Fitz (FR) — 18 wins from 30 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

6%−2.8

n=50 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −2.25

New recruits · first run for the yard

11.1%+2.3

n=9 · A/E 1.59 · £1 −5.25

Debutants · first career start

0%−8.8

n=23 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −23.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

12.5%+3.7

n=16 · A/E 2.05 · £1 +28.75

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

22.7%+13.9

n=22 · A/E 2.23 · £1 +8.75

When favourite

20.8%

n=24 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −9.42

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.2%−0.6

n=159 · A/E 1.21 · £1 +12.38

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−8.8

n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Limerick 16.7% vs 8.8% · n=36

At Clonmel 1.8% vs 8.8% · n=57

With horses switching code 13.5% vs 8.8% · n=89

Off a 15-30-day break 13.3% vs 8.8% · n=98

With Darragh O'Keeffe 14.3% vs 8.8% · n=42

Off a 31-60-day break 3.7% vs 8.8% · n=54

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 193 15 7.8% +10.08

Chase 82 10 12.2% −11.17

NH Flat 13 0 0% −13.00

Flat 9 1 11.1% +14.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 112 9 8% −8.92

Heavy 74 5 6.8% +2.00

Good 67 8 11.9% +23.75

Good to Soft 44 4 9.1% −16.92

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Clonmel 57 1 1.8% −54.62

Cork 47 2 4.3% −27.67

Limerick 36 6 16.7% +25.70

Thurles 23 3 13% +3.00

Wexford 21 5 23.8% +21.50

Listowel 21 1 4.8% +2.00

Tipperary 13 0 0% −13.00

Ballinrobe 12 0 0% −12.00

Killarney 10 0 0% −10.00

Naas 9 2 22.2% +7.00

Punchestown 8 0 0% −8.00

Tramore 8 1 12.5% −2.00

Downpatrick 8 2 25% +36.75

Kilbeggan 7 2 28.6% −2.75

Gowran Park 6 0 0% −6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 27 5 18.5% 0.84 −12.42

2nd–3rd fav 48 10 20.8% 1.57 +11.33

4th–6th fav 54 4 7.4% 1.05 −2.00

7th+ in betting 168 7 4.2% 1.88 +3.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

86.5% completed · 275 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 82 84.1% 5 1 7 0 0

Hurdle 193 87.6% 3 1 18 1 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Crowsatedappletart (IRE)then M Winters 45 8 20 7 May 26

Pana To Milan (IRE) 26 3 5 13 Feb 25

Junot (IRE)from G M Lyons 21 1 6 14 May 25

River Vale (IRE) 16 3 7 6 Apr 26

Jakes Dream (IRE) 16 1 3 25 Jul 23

Aleish Lass (IRE) 12 1 3 12 Mar 26

West Breeze (IRE)from Mark Michael McNiff 12 1 5 20 May 23

Phoenix Cowboy (USA)from John Joseph Hanlon · then M Winters 11 0 3 4 Jul 25

Pythion (FR)from G M Lyons 11 1 4 29 Nov 22

Brownstone (IRE)from Denis W Cullen · then Ian Patrick Donoghue 10 0 0 20 Jul 23

Shellrunforbriggs (IRE) 9 3 4 15 May 26

Like A Bumblebee (IRE) 9 0 0 29 May 25

All 41 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 41 horses listed, 13 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from G M Lyons (2); 28 had their first archived run for this yard.

13 have since run for another yard, most often for M Winters (7); 28 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

491091022100015010

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderDarragh O'Keeffe

14% of all rides
14.3% SR · A/E 1.14

RiderRWSR£1

Darragh O'Keeffe 42 6 14.3% +2.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

164

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£2.61m

Prize money

2015

Best season · 17 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Rebel Fitz (FR) — Guinness Galway Hurdle (Grade A Handicap) Galway · Aug 2012 · Grade A

£156,600

Missunited (IRE) — Guinness Galway Hurdle Handicap (grade A) Galway · Aug 2013 · Grade A

£156,600

Chatham Street Lad (IRE) — Caspian Caviar Gold Cup Handicap Chase (Grade 3) Cheltenham · Dec 2020 · Grade 3

£59,798

Notable horses

Rebel Fitz (FR) Missunited (IRE) For Bill (IRE) Crowsatedappletart (IRE) Chatham Street Lad (IRE) Theos Well (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Soldier of Fortune (IRE) 16.7% · 8–48

Progeny have won 11.4% of 5,813 runs since 2008 (678 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.5% from 336. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.2% from 249.

Sageburg (IRE) 11.5% · 3–26

Progeny have won 10% of 3,472 runs since 2008 (414 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 13.4% from 389. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 2.4% from 293. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 13.3% from 353.

Make Believe (GB) 4.8% · 1–21

Progeny have won 11.1% of 3,598 runs since 2008 (297 horses).

Mahler (GB) 15.8% · 3–19

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,836 runs since 2008 (784 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.

Milan (GB) 0% · 0–19

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,844 runs since 2008 (1,463 horses).

Flemensfirth (USA) 6.3% · 1–16

Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,274 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,570 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,570 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 3 February 2005 to 1 June 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

01 Jun 26 Listowel Misty Valentine (IRE)J: Luke Burke Ott Nora Canty Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 13 ran PU 66/1

01 Jun 26 Listowel Kauto Empress (FR)J: Aidan Kelly Nora Canty Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 13 ran 10th 80/1

30 May 26 Listowel Carajillo (IRE)J: Liam McKenna Eamon Foran Memorial Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran PU 80/1

30 May 26 Listowel Black Dakota (IRE)J: Aidan Kelly Eamon Foran Memorial Maiden Hurdle20.5f · Good To Yielding · 9 ran 4th 28/1

15 May 26 Kilbeggan Shellrunforbriggs (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Cooke's Bar And Restaurant Caragh Beginners Chase20.5f · Good · 14 ran 1st EvensF

15 May 26 Kilbeggan Carajillo (IRE)J: Luke Burke Ott CK Interiors Maiden Hurdle18.5f · Good · 16 ran 8th 50/1

07 May 26 Wexford Black Dakota (IRE)J: Mr Andrew Burke-Ott Buy Tickets Online Novice Hunters Chase23f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 5th 4/1

07 May 26 Wexford Crowsatedappletart (IRE)J: Michael Kenneally Wexford Town Handicap Chase16f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 1st 10/1

16 Apr 26 Limerick Fenian Maxios (IRE)J: Mike O'Connor Professor Maria Hinfelaar Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1)19.5f · Soft To Heavy · 13 ran 8th 50/1

16 Apr 26 Limerick Shellrunforbriggs (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe D'Icon Novice Handicap Hurdle16f · Soft To Heavy · 6 ran 1st 3/1

16 Apr 26 Limerick Crowsatedappletart (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe D & J Glazing Handicap Hurdle21.5f · Soft · 8 ran 6th 8/1

06 Apr 26 Cork River Vale (IRE)J: Gavin Brouder Coolmore N.H. Sires Kyprios Handicap Chase17f · Good To Yielding · 6 ran 1st 10/3

06 Apr 26 Cork Fenian Maxios (IRE)J: Mike O'Connor Leisure Dome Ltd. Marquee Hire Maiden Hurdle23f · Yielding · 13 ran 12th 16/1

02 Apr 26 Clonmel Blossom Trixie (IRE)J: Mike O'Connor KEP Italia Superior Helmets Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 7 ran 7th 14/1

19 Mar 26 Cork Blossom Trixie (IRE)J: Mike O'Connor Kearney's Coaches Maiden Hurdle17f · Yielding · 14 ran 9th 28/1

12 Mar 26 Limerick Aleish Lass (IRE)J: Mr L Burke-Ott Party Time Handicap Chase (0-100)23f · Heavy · 16 ran PU 11/2

12 Mar 26 Limerick River Vale (IRE)J: Niall Moore AOS Security Novice Handicap Chase18f · Heavy · 8 ran 4th 13/2

05 Mar 26 Thurles Blossom Trixie (IRE)J: Jordan Canavan Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Soft To Heavy · 18 ran 3rd 50/1

05 Mar 26 Thurles Fenian Maxios (IRE)J: Kevin A Murphy Adare Manor Opportunity Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Soft To Heavy · 18 ran 2nd 100/1

26 Feb 26 Clonmel Clarin Breeze (IRE)J: Darragh O'Keeffe Cloneen Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 1)16.5f · Heavy · 11 ran PU 50/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael Winters's strike rate?: Michael Winters has won 26 of 297 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.8% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Michael Winters do best at?: Limerick by strike rate: 6 wins from 36 runners (16.7%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Michael Winters's Fair A/E?: 1.31, from 297 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.