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Trainer profile

Patrick Cronin

81 runners in the last 5 seasons · 7 individual horses
As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 103 days ago 99% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2022
4–81
Wins / Runs
4.9%
Strike rate
n=81
16 (20%)
Placed
0.81
n=81 · 0.63 incl. margin
−44.75
£1 level stake
n=81 at SP · −55.2%
£43,074
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.9% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
14.3%+9.4
n=14 · A/E 3.27 · £1 +8.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.9
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.9
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.9
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
40%+35.1
n=5 · A/E 5.23 · £1 +15.00
When favourite
25%
n=4 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −0.75
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
3.6%−1.3
n=56 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −32.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With claiming riders up 3.6% vs 4.9% · n=56 · A/E 0.68
In Hurdle races 5% vs 4.9% · n=60 · A/E 0.77
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 60 3 5% −36.75
Chase 14 1 7.1% −1.00
NH Flat 6 0 0% −6.00
Flat 1 0 0% −1.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 29 3 10.3% −3.75
Good to Soft 27 1 3.7% −16.00
Soft 20 0 0% −20.00
Heavy 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wexford 17 2 11.8% −2.75
Killarney 8 1 12.5% +1.00
Limerick 8 0 0% −8.00
Listowel 8 0 0% −8.00
Thurles 8 1 12.5% +5.00
Tipperary 8 0 0% −8.00
Clonmel 6 0 0% −6.00
Tramore 6 0 0% −6.00
Cork 5 0 0% −5.00
Naas 2 0 0% −2.00
Sligo 2 0 0% −2.00
Bellewstown 1 0 0% −1.00
Gowran Park 1 0 0% −1.00
Punchestown 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 5 1 20% 0.97 −1.75
2nd–3rd fav 16 1 6.3% 0.60 −7.00
4th–6th fav 17 1 5.9% 0.94 −6.00
7th+ in betting 43 1 2.3% 0.86 −30.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
89.2% completed · 74 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 14 78.6% 0 0 3 0 0
Hurdle 60 91.7% 2 0 3 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Onebrightbluerose (IRE) 36 2 9 15 Aug 25
O Mio Babbino (IRE) 16 1 4 21 Jul 23
The Boysofairhill (IRE) 5 0 0 10 Jul 26
Naturally Blond (IRE) 5 1 2 20 Jul 23
All 7 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 7 horses listed, 2 arrived from another yard in our archive; 5 had their first archived run for this yard.

1 has since run for another yard; 6 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
010000601500000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Mr A Burke-Ott 14 2 14.3% +10.00
Kevin A Murphy 11 0 0% −11.00
Darragh O'Keeffe 10 2 20% +2.25
Philip Byrnes 8 0 0% −8.00
Mr C J Shine 6 0 0% −6.00
Miss J Walton 4 0 0% −4.00
John Shinnick 4 0 0% −4.00
Daniel King 3 0 0% −3.00
Shane Fitzgerald 3 0 0% −3.00
Conor Stone-Walsh 2 0 0% −2.00
Miss M O'Sullivan 2 0 0% −2.00
Conor Brassil 2 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→
16
Archived wins
£198k
Prize money
2015
Best season · 3 wins
Give Her Bach (IRE) — Follow Us On Twitter At TramoreRaces Mares Beginners Chase Tramore · Aug 2015
£7,590
Give Her Bach (IRE) — Waterford & Tramore Racecourse 2015 Special Recognition Award Handicap Hurdle (80-109) Tramore · Oct 2015
£7,590
Naturally Blond (IRE) — www.tramore-racecourse.com Maiden Hurdle Tramore · Jun 2017
£7,084

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Excelebration (IRE) 5.6% · 2–36
Progeny have won 9% of 3,605 runs since 2008 (244 horses).
Fame And Glory (GB) 5% · 1–20
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,203 runs since 2008 (504 horses).
Ask (GB) 0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,214 runs since 2008 (283 horses).
Bach (IRE) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 7.8% of 2,289 runs since 2008 (240 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 12.7% from 244.
Sans Frontieres (IRE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 9% of 1,251 runs since 2008 (155 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 14.2% from 183.
Progeny have won 13.2% of 6,933 runs since 2008 (689 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 327 · newest first

The latest 50 of 327 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 28 December 2008 to 10 July 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Patrick Cronin's strike rate?
Patrick Cronin has won 4 of 81 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 4.9% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Patrick Cronin's Fair A/E?
0.81, from 81 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 21 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).