No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Rider Profile
Rode around 100 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.65). In big fields of 14 or more the record reads 8% (64 rides). Rode mostly for Nicky Henderson — 40% of rides in the window.
Deterministic profile computed from 208 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceNicky Henderson: 10.8% from 83First rides: 7.4%
The read
Nicky Henderson supplied 40% of the rides and beats the rider's average (10.8% vs 5.8%, A/E 0.79). The record read poorly over 2m5f – 3m — 2.2% over 46 rides, 3.6pts below the baseline. The standout partner of the record was Terramarique (IRE) — 8 wins from 16 rides together.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 5.8% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
7.4%+1.6
n=95 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −53.50
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
8.3%+2.5
n=12 · A/E 0.38 · £1 −9.25
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
3.4%−2.4
n=58 · A/E 0.50 · £1 −46.50
When favourite
26.7%
n=15 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −1.83
Big fields · 14+ runners
7.8%+2.0
n=64 · A/E 1.28 · £1 −27.25
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−5.8
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
With horses switching code0% vs 5.8% · n=48
With Nicky Henderson10.8% vs 5.8% · n=83
With Richard Rowe2% vs 5.8% · n=50
Over 2m5f – 3m2.2% vs 5.8% · n=46
In Class 32.6% vs 5.8% · n=38
On Good to Soft going7.9% vs 5.8% · n=63
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle10965.5%−68.25
Chase7545.3%−48.83
NH Flat2328.7%−14.25
Flat100%−1.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good to Soft6357.9%−33.58
Good5935.1%−41.00
Soft3825.3%−24.75
Good to Firm3126.5%−16.00
Heavy1400%−14.00
Firm300%−3.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Wincanton1616.3%−4.00
Fontwell1400%−14.00
Plumpton1417.1%−7.00
Huntingdon13215.4%+2.00
Kempton1200%−12.00
Newbury1100%−11.00
Towcester1100%−11.00
Cheltenham9222.2%−0.75
Folkestone900%−9.00
Ascot9111.1%+1.00
Chepstow8112.5%−3.50
Uttoxeter700%−7.00
Worcester7114.3%+1.00
Newton Abbot700%−7.00
Taunton600%−6.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 410587.6%−51.33
Class 33812.6%−28.00
Class 52700%−27.00
Class 21616.3%−10.00
Class 61317.7%−9.75
Class 19111.1%−6.25
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite19421.1%0.68−5.83
2nd–3rd fav38513.2%0.88−5.50
4th–6th fav5923.4%0.48−41.00
7th+ in betting9211.1%0.39−80.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
2m1f – 2m4f7956.3%−47.75
1m5f – 2m7157%−41.58
2m5f – 3m4612.2%−36.50
Over 3m1218.3%−6.50
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
2008139107.2%−74.83
20096922.9%−57.50
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps9455.3%−55.50
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners6423.1%−55.75
8-10 runners5435.6%−34.50
14-16 runners4137.3%−21.75
5-7 runners2528%−13.83
17+ runners2328.7%−5.50
2-4 runners100%−1.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 127 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
648120170001604
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
74
Archived wins
£619k
Prize money
2005
Best season · 27 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Aigle D'or (GB) — Ballymore Properties Novices' Hurdle (Grade 2) Cheltenham · Jan 2008 · Class 1
Progeny have won 5.7% of 53 runs since 2008 (14 horses).
Anshan (GB)0% · 0–10
Progeny have won 9.6% of 4,216 runs since 2008 (387 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 520.
Supreme Leader (GB)0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 9.2% of 2,984 runs since 2008 (349 horses).
Silver Patriarch (IRE)0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 7.8% of 2,609 runs since 2008 (262 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.3% from 274. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 11.3% from 300.
Namaqualand (USA)16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 11.6% of 241 runs since 2008 (18 horses).
Weld (GB)0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 7.1% of 281 runs since 2008 (34 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 720 · newest first
The latest 50 of 720 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 11 August 2009.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Marcus Foley's strike rate?
Marcus Foley has won 12 of 208 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.8% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Marcus Foley ride most for?
Nicky Henderson, with 83 rides since 2008 — 40% of the total. That pairing has won 9 (10.8%).
What is Marcus Foley's Fair A/E?
0.65, from 208 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Marcus Foley·SR 5.8%·A/E 0.65
KTB
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