No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Rider Profile
Rode around 50 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.93).
Deterministic profile computed from 340 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceFired Apr–MayLucy Wadham: 11% from 91
The read
Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 2.3% (n=86, Fair A/E 0.57). Lucy Wadham supplied 27% of the rides and edges the rider's average (11% vs 6.8%, A/E 0.92). The rider also read well in Chase races (12.5%, n=48) and over 2m1f – 2m4f (10.7%, n=84). The record read poorly in Class 3 — 0% over 35 rides, 6.8pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the rider fired Apr–May.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.8% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
5.8%−1.0
n=155 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −65.50
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
13%+6.2
n=23 · A/E 0.89 · £1 −12.75
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
2.9%−3.9
n=70 · A/E 0.50 · £1 −62.30
When favourite
35.3%
n=17 · A/E 1.31 · £1 +2.70
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
6.7%−0.1
n=327 · A/E 0.92 · £1 −148.55
Big fields · 14+ runners
2.3%−4.5
n=86 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −70.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.8
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
With horses switching code1.1% vs 6.8% · n=88
In Class 30% vs 6.8% · n=35
Off a break of 180+ days0% vs 6.8% · n=31
In Chase races12.5% vs 6.8% · n=48
With Lucy Wadham11% vs 6.8% · n=91
Over 2m1f – 2m4f10.7% vs 6.8% · n=84
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle240135.4%−142.75
NH Flat5247.7%−8.50
Chase48612.5%−2.30
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good108109.3%−16.75
Good to Soft9655.2%−59.50
Soft5024%−45.55
Good to Firm3837.9%−4.25
Heavy3339.1%−12.50
Standard (AW)1300%−13.00
Firm200%−2.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Fakenham4449.1%+14.25
Huntingdon4312.3%−36.00
Uttoxeter2900%−29.00
Market Rasen2813.6%−20.00
Towcester20210%−11.50
Southwell18316.7%−9.05
Fontwell15426.7%+13.75
Leicester1400%−14.00
Plumpton10110%+1.00
Stratford9111.1%+2.00
Kempton900%−9.00
Warwick800%−8.00
Wetherby700%−7.00
Worcester6233.3%+2.00
Newbury600%−6.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 4154106.5%−65.30
Class 5109109.2%−28.75
Class 63837.9%−20.50
Class 33500%−35.00
Class 1300%−3.00
Class 2100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite21838.1%1.48+6.70
2nd–3rd fav41512.2%0.69−12.75
4th–6th fav10598.6%1.19+8.50
7th+ in betting17310.6%0.22−156.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m5f – 2m17795.1%−90.00
2m1f – 2m4f84910.7%−30.55
2m5f – 3m5935.1%−35.50
Over 3m18211.1%+4.50
1m2f – 1m4f200%−2.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20087045.7%−45.00
20094724.3%−8.00
20105647.1%−33.00
201181911.1%−18.00
20124924.1%−31.75
20132129.5%−1.80
20141600%−16.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps171148.2%−59.80
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners11597.8%−23.50
11-13 runners7967.6%−37.25
14-16 runners6523.1%−49.50
5-7 runners5223.8%−32.00
17+ runners2100%−21.00
2-4 runners8450%+9.70
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 161 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
8021090811013133
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2006→
26
Archived wins
£121k
Prize money
2011
Best season · 9 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Progeny have won 7.8% of 2,609 runs since 2008 (262 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.3% from 274. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 11.3% from 300.
Machiavellian (USA)18.2% · 2–11
Progeny have won 8% of 1,598 runs since 2008 (74 horses).
Midnight Legend (GB)20% · 2–10
Progeny have won 14.2% of 8,310 runs since 2008 (494 horses).
Linamix (FR)22.2% · 2–9
Progeny have won 11.1% of 1,571 runs since 2008 (133 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 14.1% from 156. Weakest on Good to Firm going: 5.4% from 129. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 14.8% from 418. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 5.3% from 113.
Generous (IRE)0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 10.7% of 3,332 runs since 2008 (251 horses).
Charmer (IRE)14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 8.5% of 153 runs since 2008 (13 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 395 · newest first
The latest 50 of 395 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 24 August 2006 to 21 March 2014.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Matt Crawley's strike rate?
Matt Crawley has won 23 of 340 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.8% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Matt Crawley do best at?
Fakenham by strike rate: 4 wins from 44 rides (9.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Matt Crawley ride most for?
Lucy Wadham, with 91 rides since 2008 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 10 (11%).
What is Matt Crawley's Fair A/E?
0.93, from 340 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Matt Crawley·SR 6.8%·A/E 0.93
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