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Trainer profile

Tom Keddy

593 runners in the lifetime window · 50 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Jul 2014 94% of runners on the flat
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
50–593
Wins / Runs
8.4%
Strike rate
n=593
130 (22%)
Placed
1.22
Fair A/E
n=590 · 1.05 incl. margin
−73.01
£1 level stake
n=593 at SP · −12.3%
£272k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5.3%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 80 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.22).

Deterministic profile computed from 593 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fired Oct–Dec Ryan Clark: 10.4% from 67 Claiming riders: 8.8%
The read

Runners with a claiming rider up are the standout value angle: 8.8% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.47 and +23.00 to a £1 stake over 217 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Ryan Clark rode 11% of the entries and edges the yard's average (10.4% vs 8.4%, A/E 1.66) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also read well at trips under 6f (17.5%, n=57) and in Class 3 (17.6%, n=34). The record read poorly in Hurdle races — 0% over 36 runners, 8.4pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m5f – 2m: Fair A/E 0.22 across 74 runners (1.4% strike, −53.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. The stable star of the record was Piscean (USA) — 14 wins from 97 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Oct–Dec.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
6.7%−1.7
n=75 · A/E 1.25 · £1 +26.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
9.1%+0.7
n=22 · A/E 1.70 · £1 −1.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−8.4
n=17 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −17.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
15.4%+7.0
n=13 · A/E 3.39 · £1 +7.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
16.7%+8.3
n=24 · A/E 3.17 · £1 +94.00
When favourite
21.7%
n=23 · A/E 0.81 · £1 −3.01
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8.8%+0.4
n=217 · A/E 1.47 · £1 +23.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−8.4
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With C&D winners 21.3% vs 8.4% · n=122
At trips under 6f 17.5% vs 8.4% · n=57
In Class 3 17.6% vs 8.4% · n=34
Over 1m5f – 2m 1.4% vs 8.4% · n=74
In Hurdle races 0% vs 8.4% · n=36
On Good going 2.2% vs 8.4% · n=89
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 555 50 9% −35.01
Hurdle 36 0 0% −36.00
Chase 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 320 36 11.3% −12.51
Good to Firm 122 10 8.2% +9.50
Good 89 2 2.2% −56.00
Good to Soft 28 0 0% −28.00
Soft 24 0 0% −24.00
Heavy 7 2 28.6% +41.00
Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Kempton (AW) 114 14 12.3% −11.25
Wolverhampton (AW) 92 11 12% +44.91
Lingfield (AW) 73 7 9.6% −31.75
Yarmouth 60 3 5% +9.00
Newmarket 24 1 4.2% −7.00
Southwell (AW) 21 2 9.5% −2.00
Chelmsford (AW) 20 2 10% −12.42
Sandown 18 1 5.6% −1.00
Doncaster 14 0 0% −14.00
Newmarket 13 1 7.7% +0.00
Windsor 13 1 7.7% −4.00
Goodwood 12 3 25% +36.50
Nottingham 11 0 0% −11.00
Brighton 8 1 12.5% −4.00
Lingfield 8 0 0% −8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 201 17 8.5% −71.34
Class 6 188 16 8.5% +6.83
Class 4 110 8 7.3% −28.00
Class 2 41 3 7.3% +19.00
Class 3 34 6 17.6% +19.50
Class 7 18 0 0% −18.00
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 32 6 18.8% 0.75 −8.01
2nd–3rd fav 72 17 23.6% 1.51 +23.50
4th–6th fav 165 16 9.7% 1.27 −7.50
7th+ in betting 324 11 3.4% 1.14 −81.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Piscean (USA) 89 13 24 7 Jun 14
Archie Rice (USA)from William Jarvis · then Jimmy Frost 54 8 18 18 Jul 14
Dinner Date (GB)from William Jarvis 46 6 14 27 Jun 12
Apache Fort (GB) 36 4 9 2 Oct 09
Cairanne (GB) 34 1 10 7 May 13
Rasteau (IRE) 33 0 1 4 Jul 13
Greyfriarschorista (GB)from Richard Guest · then Giles Bravery 24 3 7 5 Jun 14
Maryolini (GB)from Tom Dascombe 17 2 7 14 Jul 11
Peas 'n Beans (IRE)from Michael Bell 17 0 0 24 Mar 09
Pedasus (USA)then Ronald Harris 15 0 5 19 Oct 10
Big Sur (GB) 14 1 4 3 Oct 12
Womaniser (IRE)from Luca Cumani · then Clive Drew 14 0 1 27 Jan 10
All 50 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 50 horses listed, 25 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Alastair Lidderdale (2) and Gay Kelleway (2); 25 had their first archived run for this yard.

21 have since run for another yard, most often for Olivia Maylam (5) and Alastair Lidderdale (2); 29 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
411104105468141219
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderRyan Clark
11% of all rides
10.4% SR · A/E 1.66
RiderRWSR£1
Ryan Clark 67 7 10.4% +45.25
Jimmy Quinn 55 4 7.3% −15.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
71
Archived wins
£385k
Prize money
2010
Best season · 11 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Piscean (USA) — Turf Club Handicap Goodwood · Aug 2008 · Class 3
£12,462
Piscean (USA) — IBA Handicap Goodwood · May 2013 · Class 2
£12,450
Piscean (USA) — Turftv Stakes Handicap Goodwood · May 2009 · Class 2
£11,657
Notable horses
Piscean (USA) Dinner Date (GB) Archie Rice (USA) Apache Fort (GB) Abbeygate (GB) Sa Nau (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Stravinsky (USA) 14.6% · 13–89
Progeny have won 10.7% of 1,074 runs since 2008 (66 horses).
Arch (USA) 14.8% · 8–54
Progeny have won 12.9% of 1,676 runs since 2008 (171 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 9.4% from 180.
Barathea (IRE) 0% · 0–48
Progeny have won 8.5% of 4,143 runs since 2008 (315 horses).
Groom Dancer (USA) 13% · 6–46
Progeny have won 7% of 1,020 runs since 2008 (94 horses).
Desert Prince (IRE) 11.1% · 4–36
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,734 runs since 2008 (178 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5.6% from 425.
High Chaparral (IRE) 2.9% · 1–34
Progeny have won 10.3% of 8,730 runs since 2008 (682 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 419.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 879 · newest first

The latest 50 of 879 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 18 July 2014.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
18 Jul 14 Newmarket Archie Rice (USA)J: Ryan Tate newmarketracecourses.co.uk Handicap (Jockey Club Grassroots Flat Middle Distance Series Qualifier)Class 5 · 10f · Good · 8 ran 7th 33/1
21 Jun 14 Newmarket Archie Rice (USA)J: Ryan Clark Paddocks House HandicapClass 5 · 13f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 6th 28/1
09 Jun 14 Windsor Archie Rice (USA)J: Robert Tart Daily Unibet Early Prices From 9am Claiming StakesClass 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 6th 25/1
07 Jun 14 Lingfield Piscean (USA)J: William Carson Invicta Building Services HandicapClass 4 · 6f · Good · 7 ran 6th 12/1
05 Jun 14 Kempton (AW) Greyfriarschorista (GB)J: William Carson 25 Free Bet At BetVictor.com Handicap (London Mile Series Qualifier)Class 4 · 8f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 25/1
01 May 14 Lingfield (AW) Archie Rice (USA)J: Robert Tart City Fire Protection/cpfc Study Centre HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 12/1
29 Apr 14 Yarmouth Funky Cold Medina (GB)J: William Carson Haven Seashore At Caister HandicapClass 5 · 9f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 7th 16/1
28 Apr 14 Southwell (AW) Greyfriarschorista (GB)J: Paddy Aspell Exclusive Ticket Giveaways At totepool HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 6 ran 4th 2/1J
19 Apr 14 Kempton (AW) Piscean (USA)J: Oisin Murphy Betfred 'goals Galore Extra' HandicapClass 2 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 11/1
05 Apr 14 Lingfield (AW) Piscean (USA)J: George Baker Ladbrokes HandicapClass 3 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 5th 25/1
29 Mar 14 Kempton (AW) Piscean (USA)J: Jimmy Quinn Grand National 6 Places At BetVictor.com HandicapClass 2 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 14/1
26 Mar 14 Southwell (AW) Greyfriarschorista (GB)J: Jimmy Quinn Ladbrokes HandicapClass 2 · 7f · Standard · 6 ran 3rd 10/1
17 Mar 14 Kempton (AW) Piscean (USA)J: George Baker 25 Free Bet At BetVictor.com HandicapClass 3 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 7/1
04 Mar 14 Southwell (AW) Greyfriarschorista (GB)J: Robert Tart Ladbrokes HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 8 ran 2nd 5/1
09 Feb 14 Southwell (AW) Greyfriarschorista (GB)J: Robert Tart Ladbrokes HandicapClass 3 · 8f · Standard · 7 ran 3rd 5/1
08 Feb 14 Lingfield (AW) Piscean (USA)J: George Baker Compare Bookmakers At Bookmakers.co.uk HandicapClass 2 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 8th 33/1
19 Jan 14 Kempton (AW) Archie Rice (USA)J: Robert Tart Like Racing Post On Facebook HandicapClass 5 · 11f · Standard · 13 ran 9th 11/1
11 Jan 14 Lingfield (AW) Archie Rice (USA)J: Robert Tart Coral Mobile 'Just Three Clicks To Bet' HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 9/2
05 Jan 14 Southwell (AW) Greyfriarschorista (GB)J: Shelley Birkett Ladbrokes HandicapClass 3 · 8f · Standard · 5 ran 3rd 2/1F
27 Dec 13 Southwell (AW) Greyfriarschorista (GB)J: Shelley Birkett Ladbrokes HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 6/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Tom Keddy's strike rate?
Tom Keddy has won 50 of 593 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.4% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Tom Keddy do best at?
Kempton (AW) by strike rate: 14 wins from 114 runners (12.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Tom Keddy?
Ryan Clark, with 67 runners since 2008 — 11% of the total. That pairing has won 7 (10.4%).
What is Tom Keddy's Fair A/E?
1.22, from 590 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).