What is Michael Hills's strike rate?

Michael Hills has won 217 of 1,708 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 12.7% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Michael Hills do best at?

Haydock by strike rate: 16 wins from 76 rides (21.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Michael Hills ride most for?

B W Hills, with 1,013 rides since 2008 — 59% of the total. That pairing has won 139 (13.7%).

What is Michael Hills's Fair A/E?

0.99, from 1,692 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Michael Hills

1,708 rides in the lifetime window · 658 individual horses

As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Sep 2015 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

217–1,708

Wins / Runs

12.7%

Strike rate

n=1,708

549 (32%)

Placed

0.99

Fair A/E

n=1,692 · 0.86 incl. margin

−491.04

£1 level stake

n=1,708 at SP · −28.7%

£3.60m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 210 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 13% of them — level with the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.99). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 19% off breaks of two months or more (291 runs). Rode mostly for B W Hills — 59% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 1,708 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Mar–Apr Fresh horses: 18.6% 33.3% when favourite B W Hills: 13.7% from 1,013 Rode the favourite in 14% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Haydock (21.1%, n=76) and Windsor (19.8%, n=96) — all clear of the rider's 12.7% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 18.6% (n=291, Fair A/E 1.30), but rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 6.6% (n=472, Fair A/E 0.83). The market has consistently overbet rides on last-time-out winners: 10.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.73 and −98.54 to a £1 stake over 224 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. B W Hills supplied 59% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (13.7%, A/E 1.02) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also read well in Class 5 (18.9%, n=470) and off a break of 180+ days (20.1%, n=134). The record read poorly in Class 2 — 6% over 267 rides, 6.7pts below the baseline. 54 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the 300000 St Leger Yearling Stakes at York (Aug 2007, £187,692). The standout partner of the record was Ransom Note (GB) — 7 wins from 19 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.7% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

10.9%−1.8

n=604 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −210.12

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

10.7%−2.0

n=224 · A/E 0.73 · £1 −98.54

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

18.6%+5.9

n=291 · A/E 1.30 · £1 +4.71

When favourite

33.3%

n=240 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −44.28

Big fields · 14+ runners

6.6%−6.1

n=472 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −241.56

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

9.8%−2.9

n=264 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −87.62

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.7% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With J W Hills 3.2% vs 12.7% · n=94

In Class 5 18.9% vs 12.7% · n=470

In Class 2 6% vs 12.7% · n=267

At Haydock 21.1% vs 12.7% · n=76

Off a break of 180+ days 20.1% vs 12.7% · n=134

At Windsor 19.8% vs 12.7% · n=96

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Firm 545 73 13.4% −174.12

Good 467 41 8.8% −217.87

Standard (AW) 261 43 16.5% −53.29

Good to Soft 239 31 13% −22.63

Soft 170 23 13.5% −21.25

Heavy 14 3 21.4% −2.38

Firm 12 3 25% +0.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Newmarket 199 25 12.6% −32.00

Newbury 125 12 9.6% −56.50

Newmarket 122 9 7.4% −55.50

Kempton (AW) 120 14 11.7% −65.60

Doncaster 98 16 16.3% +14.83

Ascot 97 7 7.2% −46.77

Goodwood 96 10 10.4% −24.44

Windsor 96 19 19.8% +6.66

York 80 5 6.3% −47.00

Haydock 76 16 21.1% −5.13

Lingfield (AW) 75 14 18.7% −1.95

Leicester 58 6 10.3% −31.81

Chester 54 6 11.1% −20.67

Sandown 54 3 5.6% +0.00

Warwick 42 7 16.7% −21.91

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 481 61 12.7% −146.58

Class 5 470 89 18.9% −90.57

Class 2 267 16 6% −156.02

Class 1 263 25 9.5% −95.62

Class 3 146 18 12.3% +26.75

Class 6 75 7 9.3% −26.50

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 271 91 33.6% 1.05 −26.95

2nd–3rd fav 445 80 18% 1.12 −27.09

4th–6th fav 529 34 6.4% 0.79 −174.50

7th+ in betting 463 12 2.6% 0.67 −262.50

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Red Jazz (USA) 21 4 11 13 Oct 12

Huzzah (IRE) 21 2 4 27 Aug 11

Ransom Note (GB) 19 7 9 28 Jul 12

Swilly Ferry (USA) 19 2 6 28 Aug 11

Prime Defender (GB) 17 1 3 9 Apr 10

Damien (IRE) 14 1 2 6 Nov 10

Royal Confidence (GB) 14 1 3 26 Sep 09

Equiano (FR) 13 3 6 20 Aug 10

Critical Moment (USA) 12 3 5 14 Sep 11

Featherweight (IRE) 12 2 6 12 Aug 10

High Heeled (IRE) 12 4 7 24 Oct 09

Hail Promenader (IRE) 10 0 4 2 Jul 11

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 658 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

1421291913131371211107

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardB W Hills

59% of all rides
13.7% SR · A/E 1.02

TrainerRWSR£1

B W Hills 1,013 139 13.7% −295.32

Charles Hills 223 36 16.1% −11.93

William Haggas 116 19 16.4% −7.40

J W Hills 94 3 3.2% −83.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

395

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£7.92m

Prize money

2006

Best season · 71 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Dark Angel (IRE) — 300000 St Leger Yearling Stakes York · Aug 2007 · Class 2

£187,692

Red Clubs (IRE) — Betfred Sprint Cup (Group 1) Haydock · Sep 2007 · Group 1

£179,027

Equiano (FR) — King's Stand Stakes (British Leg Of The Global Sprint Challenge) (Group 1) Ascot · Jun 2010 · Group 1

£170,310

Notable horses

Ransom Note (GB) Prime Defender (GB) Red Clubs (IRE) La Cucaracha (GB) Red Jazz (USA) Giganticus (USA)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Acclamation (GB) 10% · 9–90

Progeny have won 10% of 19,696 runs since 2008 (1,327 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 194.

Danehill Dancer (IRE) 7.3% · 4–55

Progeny have won 11.2% of 10,094 runs since 2008 (783 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 130.

Royal Applause (GB) 12.7% · 7–55

Progeny have won 8.6% of 12,434 runs since 2008 (774 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 323.

Oasis Dream (GB) 18% · 9–50

Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,014 runs since 2008 (1,510 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 483. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 790.

High Chaparral (IRE) 21.7% · 10–46

Progeny have won 10.3% of 8,730 runs since 2008 (682 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 419.

Namid (GB) 4.8% · 2–42

Progeny have won 8.2% of 4,102 runs since 2008 (276 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 2.4% from 164. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 0.8% from 119.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,209 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,209 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 31 January 2005 to 9 September 2015.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

09 Sep 15 Doncaster George Baker (IRE)T: George Baker Clipper Logistics Leger Legends Classified Stakes (Str)Class 5 · 8f · Good · 16 ran 15th 16/1

10 Sep 14 Doncaster Dansili Dutch (IRE)T: David O'Meara Clipper Logistics Leger Legends Classified Stakes (Str)Class 5 · 8f · Good · 16 ran 3rd 7/1

11 Sep 13 Doncaster Callmeakhab (IRE)T: Charles Hills Clipper Logistics Leger Legends Classified Stakes (Str)Class 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 12th 11/2F

02 Nov 12 Newmarket Flawless Beauty (GB)T: Hugo Palmer E.B.F. Express Cafes Bosra Sham Fillies' Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 6f · Soft · 16 ran 8th 16/1

02 Nov 12 Newmarket Fehaydi (GB)T: William Haggas E.b.f. Warrens Of Warwick Maiden StakesClass 4 · 7f · Soft · 12 ran 2nd 14/1

02 Nov 12 Newmarket Winter Song (IRE)T: Charles Hills E.b.f. Express Coffee Cars Maiden StakesClass 4 · 6f · Soft · 6 ran 1st 11/4

27 Oct 12 Doncaster Lucky Beggar (IRE)T: Charles Hills Park Hill Hospital Stakes (Registered As The Doncaster Stakes) (Listed)Class 1 · 6f · Soft · 6 ran 5th 8/1

24 Oct 12 Newmarket No Truth (IRE)T: Charles Hills British Stallion Studs E.B.F. TBA Maiden Stakes (Div 1)Class 4 · 8f · Soft · 11 ran 11th 10/1

24 Oct 12 Newmarket Desert Image (GB)T: Charles Hills Thoroughbred Breeders' Association Median Auction Maiden Fillies' StakesClass 5 · 7f · Soft · 14 ran 1st 11/4

17 Oct 12 Kempton (AW) Flawless Beauty (GB)T: Hugo Palmer Download The Free Racing Plus App Maiden Fillies' StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 8 ran 1st 5/1

17 Oct 12 Lingfield (AW) Short Squeeze (IRE)T: Hugo Palmer Natwest Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Maiden StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 13 ran 9th 10/1

15 Oct 12 Windsor Overrider (GB)T: Charles Hills E.B.F. Joe Ward Hill Memorial Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Soft · 7 ran 6th 8/1

13 Oct 12 Newmarket Glenard (GB)T: Charles Hills Autumn Stakes (Group 3)Class 1 · 8f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 10th 20/1

13 Oct 12 Newmarket Just The Judge (IRE)T: Charles Hills Vision.ae Rockfel Stakes (Fillies' Group 2)Class 1 · 7f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 1st 6/1

13 Oct 12 Newmarket Blue Bajan (IRE)T: David O'Meara Betfred Cesarewitch (Heritage Handicap)Class 2 · 18f · Good To Soft · 34 ran 6th 33/1

13 Oct 12 Newmarket Funk Soul Brother (GB)T: Charles Hills Dubai Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1)Class 1 · 7f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 6th 100/1

13 Oct 12 Newmarket Red Jazz (USA)T: Charles Hills Dubai Challenge Stakes (Group 2)Class 1 · 7f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 2nd 12/1

09 Oct 12 Leicester Desert Image (GB)T: Charles Hills British Stallion Studs Supporting British Racing E.B.F. Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Div 2)Class 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 3rd 11/8F

09 Oct 12 Leicester Puligny (IRE)T: Charles Hills British Stallion Studs Supporting British Racing E.B.F. Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Div 1)Class 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 5th 16/1

06 Oct 12 Newmarket Polygon (USA)T: John Gosden TRM Severals Stakes (Fillies' Listed)Class 1 · 10f · Soft · 14 ran 1st 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael Hills's strike rate?: Michael Hills has won 217 of 1,708 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 12.7% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Michael Hills do best at?: Haydock by strike rate: 16 wins from 76 rides (21.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Michael Hills ride most for?: B W Hills, with 1,013 rides since 2008 — 59% of the total. That pairing has won 139 (13.7%).
What is Michael Hills's Fair A/E?: 0.99, from 1,692 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.