No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
32–262
Wins / Runs
12.2%
Strike rate
n=262
96 (37%)
Placed
0.96
Fair A/E
n=260 · 0.81 incl. margin
−56.27
£1 level stake
n=261 at SP · −21.6%
£310k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
16.7%
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sent out around 90 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 12% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.96). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 14% off breaks of two months or more (35 runs).
Deterministic profile computed from 262 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceFresh horses: 14.3%28.6% when favouriteSent off the favourite in 13% of races
The read
The yard also read well in Class 5 (17.1%, n=76) and on Standard (AW) going (15.7%, n=127). The record read poorly over 1m – 1m1f — 7.4% over 68 runners, 4.8pts below the baseline. 5 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Intercasino.com Champagne Stakes at Doncaster (Sep 2005, £40,000). The stable star of the record was Diriculous (GB) — 7 wins from 26 runs for the yard.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 12.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
14.3%+2.1
n=35 · A/E 1.18 · £1 +27.25
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−12.2
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Debutants · first career start
6.7%−5.5
n=15 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −11.50
First-time headgear · true-first definition
9.1%−3.1
n=11 · A/E 0.98 · £1 +2.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−12.2
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
28.6%
n=35 · A/E 0.90 · £1 −4.02
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
14.3%+2.1
n=21 · A/E 1.35 · £1 +0.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−12.2
n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
In Class 517.1% vs 12.2% · n=76
Over 1m – 1m1f7.4% vs 12.2% · n=68
With C&D winners17.5% vs 12.2% · n=40
On Standard (AW) going15.7% vs 12.2% · n=127
With a new jockey booking15.6% vs 12.2% · n=141
With Jim Crowley15.6% vs 12.2% · n=32
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Flat2563011.7%−55.99
Hurdle6233.3%−0.28
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW)1272015.7%−22.74
Good to Firm62711.3%−15.75
Good39410.3%+7.22
Good to Soft2015%−11.00
Soft1100%−11.00
Firm300%−3.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Lingfield (AW)48714.6%−5.50
Kempton (AW)47510.6%−20.37
Ascot2114.8%−14.00
Goodwood18422.2%+32.00
Sandown1800%−18.00
Chelmsford (AW)14535.7%+13.25
Windsor1218.3%−5.00
Newmarket1119.1%+2.00
Southwell (AW)10330%−2.12
Newmarket8112.5%+1.00
Wolverhampton (AW)800%−8.00
Brighton7114.3%−3.25
Newbury500%−5.00
Salisbury500%−5.00
Folkestone500%−5.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 4851112.9%−22.40
Class 5761317.1%+22.63
Class 22827.1%−10.00
Class 328310.7%−13.00
Class 626311.5%−15.50
Class 11800%−18.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite401230%0.99−2.27
2nd–3rd fav751418.7%1.15+3.00
4th–6th fav7545.3%0.65−33.00
7th+ in betting7122.8%0.73−24.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
6f – 7f1111513.5%−9.74
1m – 1m1f6857.4%−38.75
1m2f – 1m4f59813.6%−3.50
1m5f – 2m900%−9.00
Under 6f9111.1%+0.00
2m1f – 2m4f5360%+5.72
2m5f – 3m100%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20081291713.2%−42.24
20091271411%−11.53
20106116.7%−2.50
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps1842212%−57.74
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
8-10 runners921415.2%+4.72
11-13 runners791012.7%−21.49
5-7 runners3438.8%−17.50
14-16 runners33412.1%−6.00
17+ runners1915.3%−12.00
2-4 runners500%−4.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 30 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 30 horses listed, 1 arrived from another yard in our archive; 29 had their first archived run for this yard.
19 have since run for another yard, most often for Robert Mills (13) and Lucy Wadham (2); 11 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
22171291181515134138
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
114
Archived wins
5
Pattern / graded wins
£1.17m
Prize money
2005
Best season · 36 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Close To You (IRE) — Intercasino.com Champagne Stakes (Group 2) Doncaster · Sep 2005 · Group 2
Progeny have won 9% of 4,740 runs since 2008 (295 horses).
Diktat (GB)25% · 6–24
Progeny have won 8.2% of 4,931 runs since 2008 (337 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.4% from 431. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 5.1% from 156.
Invincible Spirit (IRE)4.8% · 1–21
Progeny have won 11.9% of 20,807 runs since 2008 (1,573 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 16.1% from 161. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.8% from 843.
Desert Prince (IRE)15% · 3–20
Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,734 runs since 2008 (178 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5.6% from 425.
Daylami (IRE)15.8% · 3–19
Progeny have won 10.6% of 3,508 runs since 2008 (253 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 109.
Fusaichi Pegasus (USA)16.7% · 3–18
Progeny have won 8.4% of 681 runs since 2008 (61 horses). Weakest on Good going: 3.2% from 157. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 11.4% from 140.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 790 · newest first
The latest 50 of 790 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 January 2005 to 20 January 2010.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is T G Mills's strike rate?
T G Mills has won 32 of 262 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 12.2% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does T G Mills do best at?
Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 7 wins from 48 runners (14.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is T G Mills's Fair A/E?
0.96, from 260 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
T G Mills·SR 12.2%·A/E 0.96
KTB
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