What is John Ryan's strike rate?

John Ryan has won 56 of 635 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.8% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does John Ryan do best at?

Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 7 wins from 52 runners (13.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for John Ryan?

Darragh Keenan, with 143 runners since 2022 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (5.6%).

Is John Ryan in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is John Ryan's Fair A/E?

1.01, from 634 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

John Ryan

635 runners in the last 5 seasons · 60 individual horses

As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner yesterday 97% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

56–635

Wins / Runs

8.8%

Strike rate

n=635

153 (24%)

Placed

1.01

Fair A/E

n=634 · 0.86 incl. margin

−160.19

£1 level stake

n=635 at SP · −25.2%

£845k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

5.7%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 130 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.01). Horses with headgear back on after a bare run strike at 16% (32 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 635 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Dec–Jan 37.5% when favourite Darragh Keenan: 5.6% from 143 Headgear returns: 15.6% Group/Graded: 12.9% Sends off the favourite in 6% of races

The read

A horse having headgear put back on after a bare run has been a positive signal at 15.6% (n=32, Fair A/E 2.00), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 4.7% (n=64, Fair A/E 0.72). Darragh Keenan rides 23% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (5.6% vs 8.8%, A/E 0.75). The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (19%, n=79) and on Soft going (20.5%, n=39). The market has also underrated the yard at trips under 6f: Fair A/E 1.32 across 74 runners (14.9% strike, +11.87 to a £1 stake). 14 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the William Hill Lincoln at Doncaster (Mar 2014, £62,250). The stable star of the record: Thecornishcowboy (GB) — 14 wins from 95 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Dec–Jan.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

4.7%−4.1

n=64 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −29.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

4.2%−4.6

n=24 · A/E 0.45 · £1 −17.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−8.8

n=23 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −23.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

8.7%−0.1

n=23 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −7.50

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

15.6%+6.8

n=32 · A/E 2.00 · £1 +23.33

When favourite

37.5%

n=40 · A/E 1.26 · £1 +3.15

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8%−0.8

n=150 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −63.71

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

12.9%+4.1

n=31 · A/E 1.83 · £1 −13.88

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 0-7-day break 19% vs 8.8% · n=79

On Soft going 20.5% vs 8.8% · n=39

On last-time-out winners 17.9% vs 8.8% · n=56

At trips under 6f 14.9% vs 8.8% · n=74

With headgear back on 15.6% vs 8.8% · n=32

On Good to Soft going 14.5% vs 8.8% · n=55

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 613 53 8.6% −171.69

Hurdle 20 3 15% +13.50

NH Flat 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 298 22 7.4% −116.01

Good 117 11 9.4% −35.55

Good to Firm 115 5 4.3% −71.00

Good to Soft 55 8 14.5% −12.75

Soft 39 8 20.5% +75.62

Heavy 10 2 20% +0.50

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Lingfield (AW) 107 6 5.6% −61.21

Yarmouth 91 10 11% +17.50

Southwell (AW) 52 7 13.5% −2.55

Kempton (AW) 47 3 6.4% +3.25

Chelmsford City (AW) 43 4 9.3% −12.00

Newmarket 42 2 4.8% −29.50

Newmarket 30 1 3.3% −25.67

Wolverhampton (AW) 29 0 0% −29.00

Brighton 26 4 15.4% +4.12

Newcastle (AW) 19 1 5.3% −15.50

Ascot 15 2 13.3% −5.50

Lingfield 15 2 13.3% +3.50

Windsor 11 2 18.2% +0.00

Newbury 10 0 0% −10.00

Nottingham 9 2 22.2% +1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 237 22 9.3% −46.17

Class 5 151 17 11.3% +44.58

Class 4 123 7 5.7% −85.55

Class 2 53 3 5.7% −36.00

Class 3 40 3 7.5% −23.17

Class 1 31 4 12.9% −13.88

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 50 18 36% 1.28 +7.65

2nd–3rd fav 113 19 16.8% 1.01 −4.34

4th–6th fav 200 11 5.5% 0.75 −75.50

7th+ in betting 272 8 2.9% 0.97 −88.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

World Of Darcy (IRE)from K R Burke 38 4 5 20 Apr 26

Roman Emperor (GB) 37 2 9 28 Feb 26

Moreginplease (GB) 34 1 9 5 Apr 25

Pistoletto (USA)from A P O'Brien 30 2 3 11 Dec 23

Catch My Breath (GB) 29 1 5 13 May 23

Jack Ryan (IRE) 27 2 10 1 Aug 23

Chloe's Courage (GB)from Iain Jardine 22 1 9 13 Oct 26

Ecclefechan (GB) 21 2 3 20 Oct 26

Harry With Style (GB) 21 2 5 20 Apr 24

First Emperor (GB)from Donnacha Aidan O'Brien 21 3 8 29 Mar 24

Naina (GB) 20 5 9 20 Nov 25

The X O (IRE)then Robert Cowell 19 2 8 25 Oct 24

All 60 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 28 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John Butler (5) and A P O'Brien (2); 32 had their first archived run for this yard.

12 have since run for another yard, most often for Gihan Arnolda (2) and Robert Cowell (2); 48 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 8

Only 8 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

1542972878191016

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderDarragh Keenan

23% of all rides
5.6% SR · A/E 0.75

RiderRWSR£1

Darragh Keenan 143 8 5.6% −73.42

Laura Pearson 40 3 7.5% +0.62

Luke Morris 33 3 9.1% +8.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

321

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.20m

Prize money

2018

Best season · 33 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Ocean Tempest (GB) — William Hill Lincoln (Heritage Handicap) (Str) Doncaster · Mar 2014 · Class 2

£62,250

Silver Grecian (GB) — Meydan Superlative Stakes (Group 2) Newmarket · Jul 2009 · Group 2

£45,416

Manaccan (GB) — Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Dash (Handicap) Ascot · Aug 2022 · Class 2

£36,885

Notable horses

Thecornishcowboy (GB) Ocean Tempest (GB) Merhoob (IRE) Goddess Of Fire (GB) Plucky Dip (GB) Catch My Breath (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Bated Breath (GB) 6% · 3–50

Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,132 runs since 2008 (669 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 7.7% from 846.

Soldier's Call (GB) 11.6% · 5–43

Progeny have won 9.1% of 2,099 runs since 2008 (215 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.1% from 198. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 4.1% from 243.

Magna Grecia (IRE) 5.4% · 2–37

Progeny have won 7.8% of 1,468 runs since 2008 (170 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 12.4% from 169.

Time Test (GB) 2.9% · 1–34

Progeny have won 10.8% of 3,106 runs since 2008 (337 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 5.9% from 324. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 14.7% from 312.

War Front (USA) 6.3% · 2–32

Progeny have won 15.7% of 2,496 runs since 2008 (297 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.9% from 923. Weakest on Good going: 10.9% from 533. Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 19.3% from 1,009.

Expert Eye (GB) 16.7% · 5–30

Progeny have won 10.1% of 2,188 runs since 2008 (196 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,695 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,695 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 1 October 2005 to 20 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Sedgemoor (IRE)J: Alexandra Egan Midnite It's Actually Pretty Good Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 18/1

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Aleppo Pepper (IRE)J: Luke Morris Midnite Ain't Your Grandad's Bookie Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 11/1

20 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Brazen Idol (GB)J: David Allan Make The Move To Midnite Handicap StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 13 ran 7th 100/30J

20 Oct 26 Yarmouth Ecclefechan (GB)J: Christian Howarth Join Moulton Racing Syndicate Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 4 · 7f · Soft · 9 ran 5th 12/1

17 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Shush A Minute (GB)J: William Carson Winter Ladies Night Saturday 28th November Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 33/1

13 Oct 26 Southwell Chloe's Courage (GB)J: Sean Bowen Book The Bistro In Seasons Restaurant Mares' Maiden Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 4 · 16f · Good · 4 ran 4th 28/1

12 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Brazen Idol (GB)J: Saffie Osborne Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 12 ran 2nd 9/1

08 Oct 26 Ayr Emery Down (GB)J: Oisin Orr San Miguel Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Heavy · 10 ran 5th 11/1

05 Oct 26 Yarmouth Ecclefechan (GB)J: Donagh Murphy Moulton Racing Club Handicap StakesClass 4 · 8f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 10th 28/1

05 Oct 26 Yarmouth Aleppo Pepper (IRE)J: Donagh Murphy White Swan Fish & Seafood Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 9th 11/1

02 Oct 26 Newcastle (AW) Brazen Idol (GB)J: Stevie Donohoe Pipes Vs Wires Centenary Showdown Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 4th 10/1

29 Sep 26 Bath Foxsbrush (GB)J: Alice Bond Power Logistics Nursery Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5.5f · Good To Firm · 11 ran 10th 80/1

27 Sep 26 Ffos Las Shush A Minute (GB)J: Paddy Bradley Alex And Salvo Welcome You To The Bridge Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 9th 17/2

26 Sep 26 Market Rasen Chloe's Courage (GB)J: David Noonan Market Rasen Racecourse Conference & Events Mares' Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 16.5f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 80/1

24 Sep 26 Newmarket Ecclefechan (GB)J: Christian Howarth JRA Japan Cup Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good · 12 ran 9th 40/1

24 Sep 26 Newmarket Del Pearo (IRE)J: Christian Howarth Plantation Stud British EBF Maiden Stakes (Colts And Geldings Only)Class 3 · 8f · Good · 7 ran 4th 80/1

17 Sep 26 Yarmouth Emery Down (GB)J: Pat Cosgrave White Swan Fishermans Fortune Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 13 ran 3rd 15/8F

16 Sep 26 Yarmouth Minnie Idol (GB)J: Pat Cosgrave Eastern Power Systems Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 12th 22/1

11 Sep 26 Chester Emery Down (GB)J: Sean D Bowen Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 5th 14/1

10 Sep 26 Lingfield (AW) El Carrusel (GB)J: Kieran O'Neill Get Raceday Ready Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John Ryan's strike rate?: John Ryan has won 56 of 635 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.8% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does John Ryan do best at?: Southwell (AW) by strike rate: 7 wins from 52 runners (13.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for John Ryan?: Darragh Keenan, with 143 runners since 2022 — 23% of the total. That pairing has won 8 (5.6%).
Is John Ryan in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 8 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is John Ryan's Fair A/E?: 1.01, from 634 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.