What is J W Hills's strike rate?

J W Hills has won 131 of 1,657 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.9% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does J W Hills do best at?

Newmarket by strike rate: 5 wins from 36 runners (13.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for J W Hills?

Seb Sanders, with 342 runners since 2008 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 32 (9.4%).

What is J W Hills's Fair A/E?

0.82, from 1,644 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

J W Hills

1,657 runners in the lifetime window · 202 individual horses

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Jun 2014 99% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

131–1,657

Wins / Runs

7.9%

Strike rate

n=1,657

410 (25%)

Placed

0.82

Fair A/E

n=1,644 · 0.72 incl. margin

−740.28

£1 level stake

n=1,657 at SP · −44.7%

£981k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.5%

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 240 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.82). Horses in first-time headgear strike at 11% (56 runs, true-first definition).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,657 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Jan–Feb 29.6% when favourite Seb Sanders: 9.4% from 342 Claiming riders: 8.9% Sent off the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Folkestone (16.1%, n=31), clear of the yard's 7.9% baseline. It is weakest at Newbury (0% over 91 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 2.5% (n=157, Fair A/E 0.51). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 6.2% strike, Fair A/E 0.70 and −123.97 to a £1 stake over 193 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Seb Sanders rode 21% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.4%, A/E 0.93). The yard also read well off a 0-7-day break (17%, n=53). 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Sky Bet Melrose Handicap at York (Aug 2010, £42,094). The stable star of the record was Landucci (GB) — 9 wins from 50 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Jan–Feb.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 7.9% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

6.2%−1.7

n=193 · A/E 0.70 · £1 −123.97

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−7.9

n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00

Debutants · first career start

2.5%−5.4

n=157 · A/E 0.51 · £1 −84.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

10.7%+2.8

n=56 · A/E 1.41 · £1 −4.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

3.3%−4.6

n=30 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −21.00

When favourite

29.6%

n=98 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −22.04

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

8.9%+1.0

n=282 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −105.77

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

6.3%−1.6

n=32 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −4.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 7.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

On last-time-out winners 16.8% vs 7.9% · n=125

Off a 0-7-day break 17% vs 7.9% · n=53

At Newbury 0% vs 7.9% · n=91

At Folkestone 16.1% vs 7.9% · n=31

With debutants 2.5% vs 7.9% · n=157

At Leicester 0% vs 7.9% · n=30

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 1,648 131 7.9% −731.28

Hurdle 9 0 0% −9.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 616 52 8.4% −268.67

Good to Firm 422 36 8.5% −159.25

Good 351 23 6.6% −181.88

Good to Soft 109 5 4.6% −68.50

Soft 84 7 8.3% −41.48

Firm 56 7 12.5% −8.50

Heavy 19 1 5.3% −12.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 227 21 9.3% −116.47

Kempton (AW) 215 9 4.2% −152.50

Lingfield (AW) 149 19 12.8% −8.20

Newbury 91 0 0% −91.00

Salisbury 89 6 6.7% −45.00

Goodwood 80 4 5% −48.50

Windsor 73 4 5.5% −40.50

Bath 63 7 11.1% −7.00

Sandown 60 4 6.7% −45.09

Brighton 58 5 8.6% −22.00

Newmarket 50 6 12% +41.75

Ascot 48 4 8.3% −21.00

Nottingham 39 2 5.1% −16.00

Newmarket 36 5 13.9% +4.50

Epsom Downs 36 4 11.1% −15.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 729 63 8.6% −334.63

Class 6 413 37 9% −178.90

Class 4 337 18 5.3% −156.75

Class 3 76 7 9.2% −28.00

Class 2 66 4 6.1% −34.00

Class 1 32 2 6.3% −4.00

Class 7 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 126 34 27% 0.93 −24.79

2nd–3rd fav 343 50 14.6% 0.91 −59.99

4th–6th fav 555 39 7% 0.88 −172.50

7th+ in betting 633 8 1.3% 0.32 −483.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Potentiale (IRE)then Alastair Lidderdale 61 3 24 17 Sep 12

Xinbama (IRE)then B W Hills 34 6 11 1 May 14

Bomber Command (USA) 29 3 7 24 Jul 10

Stanley Goodspeed (GB) 28 2 7 8 Jun 10

Spa's Dancer (IRE)then Ed de Giles 25 2 10 19 Oct 11

Golden Prospect (GB)then Miss J R Tooth 25 3 4 16 Oct 09

Maria Montez (GB)then B W Hills 24 3 9 8 Oct 13

B Fifty Two (IRE)then B W Hills 23 3 5 2 Jun 14

Gobama (GB) 21 4 9 19 Sep 11

Jewelled (GB)then Lady Herries 21 2 7 7 Sep 10

Cocktail Party (IRE)then James Unett 21 1 4 22 Jan 10

Sinbad The Sailor (GB)then George Baker 20 2 7 22 Oct 09

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 202 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 10 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 56 had their first archived run for this yard.

36 have since run for another yard, most often for B W Hills (7) and Alastair Lidderdale (2); 24 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

141677791465650

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderSeb Sanders

21% of all rides
9.4% SR · A/E 0.93

RiderRWSR£1

Seb Sanders 342 32 9.4% −79.00

Patrick Hills 119 9 7.6% −34.62

Eddie Ahern 111 10 9% −50.99

Michael Hills 94 3 3.2% −83.50

Dane O'Neill 70 5 7.1% −55.72

James Doyle 64 6 9.4% −24.02

Martin Lane 54 4 7.4% −19.50

Liam Jones 51 1 2% −42.00

Kieren Fox 38 4 10.5% −12.50

Hayley Turner 34 2 5.9% −27.50

Paul Hanagan 33 5 15.2% −6.50

Richard Hills 31 2 6.5% −20.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

209

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.71m

Prize money

2013

Best season · 27 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Mount Athos (IRE) — Sky Bet Melrose Handicap York · Aug 2010 · Class 2

£42,094

Ashram (IRE) — Somerville Tattersall Stakes (Group 3) Newmarket · Oct 2008 · Group 3

£34,062

Military Attack (IRE) — Deloitte Handicap (Str) Ascot · Jul 2011 · Class 2

£28,013

Notable horses

Landucci (GB) Bomber Command (USA) Xinbama (IRE) Dangerous Age (GB) Potentiale (IRE) Stanley Goodspeed (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Singspiel (IRE) 4.5% · 4–88

Progeny have won 12% of 4,376 runs since 2008 (378 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 8.5% from 118.

Danehill Dancer (IRE) 5.7% · 4–70

Progeny have won 11.2% of 10,094 runs since 2008 (783 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 130.

Dubai Destination (USA) 10% · 5–50

Progeny have won 11% of 6,950 runs since 2008 (521 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.9% from 136.

Excellent Art (GB) 10.4% · 5–48

Progeny have won 9.9% of 4,555 runs since 2008 (298 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.8% from 451.

Acclamation (GB) 6.8% · 3–44

Progeny have won 10% of 19,685 runs since 2008 (1,326 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 194.

Dark Angel (IRE) 7.5% · 3–40

Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,881 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,588 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,588 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 January 2005 to 2 June 2014.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

02 Jun 14 Windsor B Fifty Two (IRE)J: Frankie Dettori Unibet By Players For Players HandicapClass 3 · 6f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 16/1

02 Jun 14 Windsor Boomerang Bob (IRE)J: Seb Sanders Weatherbys Private Banking Leisure Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 6f · Good · 14 ran 12th 25/1

31 May 14 Newbury Mazaaher (GB)J: Robert Havlin Bathwick Tyres Handicap (Rnd)Class 4 · 8f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 8th 33/1

29 May 14 Bath Honiton Lace (GB)J: Oisin Murphy 32RedPoker.com Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 5/1

29 May 14 Bath Mustadrik (USA)J: Dane O'Neill 32RedPoker.com Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 5th 4/1

27 May 14 Lingfield (AW) Keene's Pointe (GB)J: James Doyle Bernard Cork Birthday HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 10/1

23 May 14 Goodwood Katja (GB)J: James Doyle TurfTV For Betting Shops HandicapClass 5 · 5f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 6/1

23 May 14 Haydock Markaz (IRE)J: Paul Hanagan EBF Stallions PHS Washrooms Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good · 9 ran 6th 11/1

22 May 14 Sandown Mawaseel (GB)J: Ted Durcan Breeders Back Racing Ebf Maiden StakesClass 5 · 10f · Soft · 8 ran 3rd 14/1

22 May 14 Goodwood Tansfeeq (GB)J: Frankie Dettori Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden StakesClass 4 · 6f · Soft · 7 ran 3rd 14/1

20 May 14 Bath Synonym (ITY)J: Liam Jones 32red On The App Store HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Firm · 15 ran 12th 33/1

20 May 14 Bath Kibaar (GB)J: Dane O'Neill Merlin Stoves/british Stallion Studs Ebf Maiden StakesClass 5 · 5.5f · Firm · 8 ran 4th 1/2F

19 May 14 Windsor Artistic Muse (IRE)J: Jim Crowley New Horseracing Odds At Unibet.co.uk Maiden Fillies' StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 13th 66/1

19 May 14 Windsor No One Knows (GB)J: William Buick EBF British Stallion Studs Maiden Fillies' StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 4th 8/1

18 May 14 Ripon Makruma (GB)J: Graham Gibbons SIS Live Maiden StakesClass 5 · 9f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 4/1

18 May 14 Ripon Mustadrik (USA)J: Joe Fanning Middleham Trainers Association HandicapClass 4 · 10f · Good · 8 ran 6th 12/1

17 May 14 Doncaster Mezel (GB)J: Dane O'Neill Walsh West HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Good · 11 ran 9th 13/2

16 May 14 York Adhwaa (GB)J: Dane O'Neill Irish Champions Weekend Fillies' Stakes (Registered As The Michael Seely Memorial Stakes) (Listed)Class 1 · 8f · Good · 14 ran 10th 9/1

15 May 14 Newmarket Soul Intent (IRE)J: Joe Fanning Chassis Cab DAF HandicapClass 4 · 12f · Good · 12 ran 2nd 14/1

15 May 14 Newmarket Secure Cloud (IRE)J: Joe Fanning Jane Rutherford Memorial EBF Stallions Maiden StakesClass 4 · 10f · Good · 13 ran 12th 66/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is J W Hills's strike rate?: J W Hills has won 131 of 1,657 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 7.9% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does J W Hills do best at?: Newmarket by strike rate: 5 wins from 36 runners (13.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for J W Hills?: Seb Sanders, with 342 runners since 2008 — 21% of the total. That pairing has won 32 (9.4%).
What is J W Hills's Fair A/E?: 0.82, from 1,644 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.