What is Michael Jarvis's strike rate?

Michael Jarvis has won 268 of 1,230 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 21.8% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Michael Jarvis do best at?

Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 17 wins from 48 runners (35.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Michael Jarvis?

Philip Robinson, with 581 runners since 2008 — 47% of the total. That pairing has won 132 (22.7%).

What is Michael Jarvis's Fair A/E?

1.18, from 1,220 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Michael Jarvis

1,230 runners in the lifetime window · 226 individual horses

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Jan 2011 100% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

268–1,230

Wins / Runs

21.8%

Strike rate

n=1,230

577 (47%)

Placed

1.18

Fair A/E

n=1,220 · 1.01 incl. margin

−30.61

£1 level stake

n=1,230 at SP · −2.5%

£4.09m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

50%

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 310 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 22% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.18). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 25% off breaks of two months or more (231 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,230 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Apr–May Fresh horses: 25.1% 41.4% when favourite Philip Robinson: 22.7% from 581 Sent off the favourite in 27% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Wolverhampton (AW) (35.4%, n=48), clear of the yard's 21.8% baseline. It is weakest at Newmarket (8.5% over 82 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 25.1% (n=231, Fair A/E 1.29), but a horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 11.4% (n=44, Fair A/E 0.93). Debutants are the standout value angle: 16.3% strikes only just below baseline, but Fair A/E 1.21 and +10.99 to a £1 stake over 166 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. The market has consistently overbet in Group and Graded company the record: 13.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.84 and −47.82 to a £1 stake over 166 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Philip Robinson rode 47% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (22.7%, A/E 1.21) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also read well in Class 6 (35.3%, n=34) and in Class 5 (29.1%, n=330). The record read poorly in Class 1 — 13.9% over 166 runners, 7.9pts below the baseline. 42 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Tattersalls Timeform Fillies' 800 at Newmarket (Oct 2008, £433,360). The stable star of the record was Laaheb (GB) — 7 wins from 12 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Apr–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 21.8% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

25.1%+3.3

n=231 · A/E 1.29 · £1 +22.65

New recruits · first run for the yard

28.6%+6.8

n=7 · A/E 2.22 · £1 +9.50

Debutants · first career start

16.3%−5.5

n=166 · A/E 1.21 · £1 +10.99

First-time headgear · true-first definition

11.4%−10.4

n=44 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −21.75

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

10%−11.8

n=10 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −7.50

When favourite

41.4%

n=333 · A/E 1.21 · £1 +16.99

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

14.3%−7.5

n=14 · A/E 1.04 · £1 −6.30

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

13.9%−7.9

n=166 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −47.82

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 21.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Newmarket 8.5% vs 21.8% · n=82

At Wolverhampton (AW) 35.4% vs 21.8% · n=48

With Frankie Dettori 34.8% vs 21.8% · n=46

In Class 6 35.3% vs 21.8% · n=34

In Class 5 29.1% vs 21.8% · n=330

In Class 1 13.9% vs 21.8% · n=166

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good to Firm 343 75 21.9% −5.38

Standard (AW) 303 75 24.8% −21.80

Good 295 60 20.3% +12.01

Good to Soft 140 31 22.1% +14.00

Soft 113 20 17.7% −22.51

Heavy 21 5 23.8% −1.93

Firm 15 2 13.3% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 121 29 24% +13.86

Lingfield (AW) 90 18 20% −35.69

Newmarket 82 7 8.5% −33.37

Newmarket 80 12 15% −12.25

Doncaster 70 15 21.4% +0.61

Newbury 63 15 23.8% +17.93

Ascot 61 10 16.4% −2.05

Sandown 58 8 13.8% −20.72

Haydock 53 16 30.2% +27.14

Leicester 52 13 25% +29.22

Wolverhampton (AW) 48 17 35.4% +2.87

Nottingham 43 11 25.6% −5.35

Yarmouth 39 11 28.2% +17.29

Windsor 36 9 25% +19.38

Goodwood 34 7 20.6% −7.79

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 339 61 18% −2.11

Class 5 330 96 29.1% −12.79

Class 2 195 38 19.5% +18.94

Class 1 166 23 13.9% −47.82

Class 3 165 38 23% −3.35

Class 6 34 12 35.3% +17.52

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 375 145 38.7% 1.19 +1.24

2nd–3rd fav 423 88 20.8% 1.21 +19.65

4th–6th fav 312 30 9.6% 1.13 −30.50

7th+ in betting 120 5 4.2% 0.95 −21.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Kings Destiny (GB)then Nicky Henderson 18 5 10 9 Oct 10

Silent Hero (GB) 17 3 5 21 Oct 09

Philatelist (USA) 16 4 5 14 Jan 10

Dark Prospect (GB)then Noel Meade 16 2 10 19 Oct 09

Russian Spirit (GB)then Roger Varian 15 3 10 6 Nov 10

Learo Dochais (USA)from M J Wallace 14 2 3 8 Aug 10

We'll Come (GB) 14 2 6 2 Oct 09

Opinion Poll (IRE)then Mahmood Al Zarooni 13 6 8 24 Oct 10

Sri Putra (GB)then Roger Varian 13 5 7 16 Oct 10

Almiqdaad (GB) 13 2 3 18 Sep 10

Red Dune (IRE) 13 2 4 3 Dec 09

Today's The Day (GB) 13 0 7 30 Apr 09

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 226 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 2 arrived from another yard in our archive; 58 had their first archived run for this yard.

20 have since run for another yard, most often for Roger Varian (6) and Saeed bin Suroor (2); 40 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

371521242621192225141830

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderPhilip Robinson

47% of all rides
22.7% SR · A/E 1.21

RiderRWSR£1

Philip Robinson 581 132 22.7% +62.16

Neil Callan 182 39 21.4% +5.58

Richard Hills 131 30 22.9% −27.42

Frankie Dettori 46 16 34.8% +19.08

Tadhg O'Shea 34 7 20.6% +2.71

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

469

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£7.31m

Prize money

2008

Best season · 106 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Tiger Eye (IRE) — Tattersalls Timeform Fillies' 800 Newmarket · Oct 2008 · Class 2

£433,360

Eswarah (GB) — Vodafone Oaks (Group 1 Fillies) Epsom Downs · Jun 2005 · Group 1

£222,488

Rakti (GB) — Juddmonte Lockinge Stakes (Group 1) Newbury · May 2005 · Group 1

£132,820

Notable horses

Laaheb (GB) Millville (GB) Opinion Poll (IRE) Philatelist (USA) Dichoh (GB) Kings Destiny (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

King's Best (USA) 26.2% · 16–61

Progeny have won 9.9% of 7,763 runs since 2008 (574 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.8% from 249.

Singspiel (IRE) 23.2% · 13–56

Progeny have won 12% of 4,376 runs since 2008 (378 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 8.5% from 118.

Rahy (USA) 28.3% · 15–53

Progeny have won 14.3% of 1,207 runs since 2008 (96 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 8.3% from 109.

Dubai Destination (USA) 32% · 16–50

Progeny have won 11% of 6,950 runs since 2008 (521 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.9% from 136.

Oasis Dream (GB) 25.6% · 10–39

Progeny have won 11.8% of 18,002 runs since 2008 (1,509 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.3% from 150. Weakest on Heavy going: 8.5% from 482. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.1% from 790.

Diktat (GB) 15.8% · 6–38

Progeny have won 8.2% of 4,931 runs since 2008 (337 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.4% from 431. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 5.1% from 156.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 2,439 · newest first

The latest 50 of 2,439 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 16 February 2005 to 22 January 2011.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

22 Jan 11 Lingfield (AW) Medaille D'or (GB)J: Jack Mitchell Bet On Today's Football At bluesq.com HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Standard · 9 ran 1st 5/4F

21 Jan 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Swimsuit (GB)J: Ryan Clark Enhanced SP's At bluesq.com HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Standard · 6 ran 3rd 15/2

12 Jan 11 Lingfield (AW) Super Collider (GB)J: Jack Mitchell Play Free Bingo At Bluesq.com Maiden StakesClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 5 ran 1st 1/4F

05 Jan 11 Kempton (AW) Swimsuit (GB)J: Jack Mitchell skysports.com Racing HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard · 4 ran 4th 6/4F

30 Dec 10 Lingfield (AW) Steps (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell Bet SP+ With totesport 0800 221 221 NurseryClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 6 ran 2nd 9/4

29 Dec 10 Kempton (AW) Medaille D'or (GB)J: Jack Mitchell digibet Sports Betting Maiden Stakes (Div 1)Class 5 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 3rd 11/2

15 Dec 10 Lingfield (AW) Dark Promise (GB)J: Jimmy Fortune Bet On Tonight's Football At totesport.com HandicapClass 4 · 10f · Standard · 8 ran 1st 6/4F

13 Dec 10 Wolverhampton (AW) Steps (IRE)J: Jack Mitchell Bet totepool At totesport.com Maiden StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 1st 5/4

10 Dec 10 Southwell (AW) Swimsuit (GB)J: Jack Mitchell European Breeders' Fund Maiden StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 5 ran 1st 4/9F

30 Nov 10 Lingfield (AW) Dark Promise (GB)J: Jimmy Fortune Bet Ashes Cricket - Betdaq HandicapClass 4 · 10f · Standard · 5 ran 1st 8/13F

27 Nov 10 Kempton (AW) Russian Affair (GB)J: Jack Mitchell William Hill Winter Festival At Kempton E.B.F. Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 4/1

27 Nov 10 Kempton (AW) Hidden Brief (GB)J: Tom Queally williamhill.com Wild Flower Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 12f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 25/1

25 Nov 10 Wolverhampton (AW) Dylanesque (GB)J: Jack Mitchell Betdaq On 0870 178 1221 HandicapClass 4 · 12f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 8/1

20 Nov 10 Wolverhampton (AW) Boogie Shoes (GB)J: Jack Mitchell E.B.F. Cheryl's Birthday Party Maiden StakesClass 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 13 ran 1st 13/8F

20 Nov 10 Lingfield (AW) Hidden Brief (GB)J: Jamie Spencer Ladbrokes Churchill Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 10f · Standard · 8 ran 6th 10/1

13 Nov 10 Wolverhampton (AW) Medaille D'or (GB)J: Neil Callan European Breeders' Fund Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Div 1)Class 5 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 6th 3/1

12 Nov 10 Lingfield (AW) Steps (IRE)J: Philip Robinson European Breeders' Fund Maiden StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 3rd 5/2

11 Nov 10 Wolverhampton (AW) Indian Emperor (IRE)J: Philip Robinson Enjoy The Party Pack Group Offer Median Auction Maiden StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 1st 11/8F

06 Nov 10 Doncaster Russian Spirit (GB)J: Philip Robinson Bet On Breeders Cup At totesport.com Wentworth Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 6f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 1st 18/1

06 Nov 10 Doncaster Hidden Brief (GB)J: Philip Robinson Bet On totescoop6 At totesport.com E.B.F. Gillies Fillies' Stakes (Listed)Class 1 · 10f · Good To Soft · 17 ran 5th 33/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Michael Jarvis's strike rate?: Michael Jarvis has won 268 of 1,230 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 21.8% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Michael Jarvis do best at?: Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 17 wins from 48 runners (35.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Michael Jarvis?: Philip Robinson, with 581 runners since 2008 — 47% of the total. That pairing has won 132 (22.7%).
What is Michael Jarvis's Fair A/E?: 1.18, from 1,220 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.