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Jockey profile

Miss Olive Nicholls

162 rides in the last 5 seasons · 64 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride 160 days ago 94% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2022→)
from 1 Jan 2022
25–162
Wins / Runs
15.4%
Strike rate
n=162
63 (39%)
Placed
1.02
Fair A/E
n=161 · 0.88 incl. margin
−27.06
£1 level stake
n=162 at SP · −16.7%
£312k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
12.9%
KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 30 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 15% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.02). Rides mostly for Paul Nicholls — 49% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 162 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Paul Nicholls: 22.5% from 80 Claiming: 16.1%
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 10.3% (n=39, Fair A/E 0.74). Paul Nicholls supplies 49% of the rides and beats the rider's average (22.5% vs 15.4%, A/E 1.23) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also reads well in Chase races (23.6%, n=55) and in Class 5 (23.9%, n=46).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 15.4% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
12.5%−2.9
n=64 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −35.65
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
24%+8.6
n=25 · A/E 1.28 · £1 −2.84
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
10.3%−5.1
n=39 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −20.25
When favourite
53.6%
n=28 · A/E 1.38 · £1 +3.94
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
16.1%+0.7
n=137 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −13.39
Big fields · 14+ runners
0%−15.4
n=26 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −26.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−15.4
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 15.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Chase races 23.6% vs 15.4% · n=55
In Class 5 23.9% vs 15.4% · n=46
With Georgina Nicholls 7.5% vs 15.4% · n=53
With Paul Nicholls 22.5% vs 15.4% · n=80
On Good going 19.2% vs 15.4% · n=78
Off a 31-60-day break 20% vs 15.4% · n=35
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 82 11 13.4% +15.09
Chase 55 13 23.6% −20.15
NH Flat 15 1 6.7% −12.00
Flat 10 0 0% −10.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 78 15 19.2% +23.23
Good to Soft 47 6 12.8% −26.89
Soft 21 3 14.3% −11.15
Heavy 8 1 12.5% −4.25
Good to Firm 7 0 0% −7.00
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wincanton 19 6 31.6% +1.65
Cheltenham 11 0 0% −11.00
Taunton 11 2 18.2% +1.36
Newton Abbot 10 4 40% −1.26
Kempton 10 3 30% +4.67
Stratford 9 1 11.1% −6.50
Worcester 8 0 0% −8.00
Ascot 7 1 14.3% −3.25
Hereford 6 1 16.7% +45.00
Exeter 5 1 20% −3.00
Warwick 5 2 40% +1.80
Aintree 5 0 0% −5.00
Ludlow 5 0 0% −5.00
Haydock 4 0 0% −4.00
Newbury 4 0 0% −4.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 49 7 14.3% +28.05
Class 5 46 11 23.9% −17.73
Class 3 27 7 25.9% +2.62
Class 2 25 0 0% −25.00
Class 1 7 0 0% −7.00
Class 6 5 0 0% −5.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 29 16 55.2% 1.43 +6.19
2nd–3rd fav 39 4 10.3% 0.54 −20.75
4th–6th fav 57 5 8.8% 1.02 +24.50
7th+ in betting 37 0 0% 0.00 −37.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
88.3% completed · 137 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 55 85.5% 1 1 6 0 0
Hurdle 82 90.2% 1 1 5 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Thank You Ma'am (GB) 16 2 10 23 Apr 26
Viroflay (FR) 11 3 8 13 May 26
Him Malaya (FR) 10 2 4 8 Jan 26
Remember Moi (IRE) 9 0 2 27 Jul 25
Fasol (GB) 7 2 3 25 Apr 26
Shantou Flyer (IRE) 7 2 4 31 May 24
Saint Bibiana (IRE) 6 1 3 25 Aug 25
Magic Saint (FR) 6 1 3 14 Jun 23
Golden Son (FR) 4 2 2 13 May 26
Stolen Silver (FR) 4 0 0 4 May 26
George Henry (GB) 4 0 0 17 Mar 26
Cap Du Mathan (FR) 4 2 2 28 May 25
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 64 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
171514172913000251220
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardPaul Nicholls
49% of all rides
22.5% SR · A/E 1.23
TrainerRWSR£1
Paul Nicholls 80 18 22.5% −9.40
Georgina Nicholls 53 4 7.5% +5.17
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2022→
25
Archived wins
£312k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 9 wins
Viroflay (FR) — Ladbrokes 'Big Football Bet Builder Boosts' Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Kempton · Dec 2025 · Class 3
£26,164
Fasol (GB) — Virgin Bet A Good Bet Hogmaneigh Handicap Hurdle Musselburgh · Jan 2026 · Class 3
£15,609
Fasol (GB) — Download The BetMGM App Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) Wincanton · Nov 2025 · Class 3
£9,531
Notable horses
Viroflay (FR) Oscars Moonshine (IRE) Thank You Ma'am (GB) Him Malaya (FR) Fasol (GB) Shantou Flyer (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Black Sam Bellamy (IRE) 12.5% · 2–16
Progeny have won 10.3% of 4,682 runs since 2008 (466 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 145.
Martaline (GB) 25% · 4–16
Progeny have won 14.2% of 7,340 runs since 2008 (723 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.4% from 128. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 10% from 120.
Air Chief Marshal (IRE) 27.3% · 3–11
Progeny have won 8.6% of 1,982 runs since 2008 (190 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5.2% from 672. Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 14.3% from 266. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5.3% from 565.
Shantou (USA) 20% · 2–10
Progeny have won 13.6% of 7,819 runs since 2008 (539 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 20.3% from 158.
Jukebox Jury (IRE) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 13.5% of 2,217 runs since 2008 (251 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 10.3% from 155.
Galileo (IRE) 25% · 2–8
Progeny have won 14.5% of 18,190 runs since 2008 (1,776 horses). Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 18.2% from 1,383. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 9.3% from 888.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 162 · newest first

The latest 50 of 162 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 30 March 2022 to 13 May 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
13 May 26 Newton Abbot Golden Son (FR)T: Paul Nicholls Totnes And Bridgetown Chase Company Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Good · 6 ran 1st 5/6F
13 May 26 Newton Abbot Viroflay (FR)T: Paul Nicholls St. Austell Brewery Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 26f · Good · 3 ran 1st 5/6F
04 May 26 Fakenham Stolen Silver (FR)T: Georgina Nicholls Chestnut Group Norfolk National Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 29f · Good · 10 ran 7th 25/1
25 Apr 26 Sandown Fasol (GB)T: Paul Nicholls bet365 Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 2 · 20f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 11/2
23 Apr 26 Warwick Thank You Ma'am (GB)T: Georgina Nicholls John Sillett Memorial Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 25f · Good · 5 ran 2nd 11/4
18 Apr 26 Ayr Stolen Silver (FR)T: Georgina Nicholls Coral Scottish Grand National Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 32f · Heavy · 16 ran PU 50/1
12 Apr 26 Ffos Las Meatloaf (FR)T: Paul Nicholls Tommy Williams Memorial Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good To Soft · 10 ran PU 11/1
10 Apr 26 Aintree Pourquoi Pas Papa (FR)T: Paul Nicholls Debenhams Handicap Hurdle (Conditional Jockeys/Amateur Riders) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 21 ran 3rd 6/1
10 Apr 26 Aintree Viroflay (FR)T: Paul Nicholls Randox Topham Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 21f · Good To Soft · 27 ran 17th 10/1
09 Apr 26 Aintree Golden Son (FR)T: Paul Nicholls Randox Foxhunters' Open Hunters' ChaseClass 2 · 21f · Good To Soft · 24 ran 12th 17/2
05 Apr 26 Plumpton Fasol (GB)T: Paul Nicholls BetGoodwin Sussex Champion Hurdle Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 2 · 16f · Good · 14 ran 4th 11/1
27 Mar 26 Wetherby Thank You Ma'am (GB)T: Georgina Nicholls Watch Racing TV In Stunning HD Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 24f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 6/1
20 Mar 26 Newbury Inch House (IRE)T: Paul Nicholls Highclere Horse Feeds Oataalin Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran F 5/2
17 Mar 26 Exeter George Henry (GB)T: Paul Nicholls Oddschecker Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 21.5f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 8th 25/1
14 Mar 26 Kempton Fasol (GB)T: Paul Nicholls Virgin Bet A Good Bet Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)Class 2 · 21f · Good · 13 ran 7th 15/2
13 Mar 26 Cheltenham Golden Son (FR)T: Paul Nicholls Princess Royal Challenge Cup Open Hunters' ChaseClass 2 · 26.5f · Good To Soft · 23 ran 4th 16/1
12 Mar 26 Cheltenham Il Ridoto (FR)T: Paul Nicholls Rosconn Group Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)Class 2 · 26.5f · Good · 23 ran 15th 40/1
10 Mar 26 Cheltenham Stolen Silver (FR)T: Georgina Nicholls Trustmarque Ultima Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 25f · Good To Soft · 22 ran 14th 150/1
28 Feb 26 Kelso Stolen Silver (FR)T: Georgina Nicholls bet365 Premier Chase (Listed) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 4 ran 3rd 40/1
27 Feb 26 Newbury Thank You Ma'am (GB)T: Georgina Nicholls OLBG 'Chasing Excellence' Novices' Chase (GBB Race)Class 3 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 5 ran PU 20/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Miss Olive Nicholls's strike rate?
Miss Olive Nicholls has won 25 of 162 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 15.4% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Miss Olive Nicholls ride most for?
Paul Nicholls, with 80 rides since 2022 — 49% of the total. That pairing has won 18 (22.5%).
What is Miss Olive Nicholls's Fair A/E?
1.02, from 161 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).