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Trainer profile

Georgina Nicholls

329 runners in the last 5 seasons · 45 individual horses
As at 5 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner yesterday
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
31–329
Wins / Runs
9.4%
Strike rate
n=329
105 (32%)
Placed
0.98
Fair A/E
n=328 · 0.84 incl. margin
−54.28
£1 level stake
n=329 at SP · −16.5%
£355k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
5%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 70 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 9% of them — level with the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.98).

Deterministic profile computed from 329 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 5 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Fires May–Jun Miss Olive Nicholls: 7.5% from 53
The read

The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 6.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.71 and −20.63 to a £1 stake over 131 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Miss Olive Nicholls rides 16% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (7.5%, A/E 0.70). The yard also reads well on Good going (17.1%, n=111). The record reads poorly on Soft going — 0% over 34 runners, 9.4pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Sea Of Charm (FR) — 6 wins from 46 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires May–Jun.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 9.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
6.6%−2.8
n=61 · A/E 0.99 · £1 +2.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
10%+0.6
n=20 · A/E 1.22 · £1 +10.00
Debutants · first career start
3.8%−5.6
n=26 · A/E 0.56 · £1 −23.80
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−9.4
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−9.4
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
When favourite
37%
n=27 · A/E 1.19 · £1 +1.39
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.9%−2.5
n=131 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −20.63
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−9.4
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 9.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Good going 17.1% vs 9.4% · n=111
On last-time-out winners 19.4% vs 9.4% · n=31
On Soft going 0% vs 9.4% · n=34
With Joshua Bryan 18.2% vs 9.4% · n=33
Over 1m – 1m1f 2.4% vs 9.4% · n=41
Over 6f – 7f 2.7% vs 9.4% · n=37
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 149 11 7.4% −53.05
Hurdle 122 17 13.9% +41.07
Chase 29 2 6.9% −15.50
NH Flat 29 1 3.4% −26.80

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 111 19 17.1% +65.02
Standard (AW) 73 5 6.8% −4.50
Good to Soft 57 3 5.3% −42.75
Good to Firm 38 4 10.5% −22.05
Soft 34 0 0% −34.00
Heavy 12 0 0% −12.00
Firm 4 0 0% −4.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 30 4 13.3% +12.50
Lingfield (AW) 18 1 5.6% +8.00
Chepstow 17 0 0% −17.00
Windsor 17 2 11.8% −9.30
Kempton (AW) 16 0 0% −16.00
Stratford 15 2 13.3% −5.80
Newbury 11 1 9.1% −4.50
Bath 11 0 0% −11.00
Worcester 11 1 9.1% −6.67
Leicester 11 1 9.1% −4.50
Huntingdon 10 2 20% +18.00
Ludlow 9 1 11.1% +12.00
Wincanton 9 0 0% −9.00
Uttoxeter 8 1 12.5% +5.00
Ascot 7 1 14.3% −3.25

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 117 11 9.4% +2.00
Class 4 93 10 10.8% +14.15
Class 6 64 7 10.9% −34.05
Class 3 25 1 4% −23.38
Class 2 21 2 9.5% −4.00
Class 1 9 0 0% −9.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 30 10 33.3% 1.11 −1.61
2nd–3rd fav 64 12 18.8% 1.14 −0.67
4th–6th fav 124 7 5.6% 0.79 +20.00
7th+ in betting 111 2 1.8% 0.63 −72.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Sea Of Charm (FR)from Barry Brennan 46 6 16 2 Nov 26
Thank You Ma'am (GB) 24 2 15 24 Oct 26
Musique De Fee (IRE)then Mickey Bowen 20 5 7 27 Dec 25
Saint Bibiana (IRE)from Kim Bailey 18 6 11 25 Aug 25
Betties Bay (GB)then James Owen 16 1 3 26 Oct 24
Dark Rosa (IRE)from Mark Rimell 15 1 5 4 Nov 26
Bobacious (GB)then Ed Dunlop 15 2 7 14 Oct 24
Take The Boat (IRE)from D Donovan 14 2 9 19 Aug 26
Pepper Fizz (GB) 12 0 1 3 Oct 26
Al Hofzan (IRE) 11 0 3 26 Jun 26
Remember Moi (IRE) 11 0 2 27 Jul 25
Pop's Folly (IRE) 8 0 0 12 Oct 26
All 45 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 45 horses listed, 19 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Paul Nicholls (3) and Kim Bailey (2); 26 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard, most often for Mickey Bowen (2); 36 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
1 from 5
Only 5 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
09143181371113398
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderMiss Olive Nicholls
16% of all rides
7.5% SR · A/E 0.70
RiderRWSR£1
Miss Olive Nicholls 53 4 7.5% +5.17
William Cox 42 3 7.1% −3.50
Joshua Bryan 33 6 18.2% −8.98
Finn Lambert 30 2 6.7% −13.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
32
Archived wins
£400k
Prize money
2025
Best season · 13 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Saint Bibiana (IRE) — bet365 Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Uttoxeter · Jun 2025 · Class 2
£15,843
Musique De Fee (IRE) — Molson Coors Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Cartmel · May 2025 · Class 2
£15,609
Thank You Ma'am (GB) — Thames Materials Novices' Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race) Ascot · Dec 2024 · Class 4
£8,265
Notable horses
Sea Of Charm (FR) Saint Bibiana (IRE) Musique De Fee (IRE) Thank You Ma'am (GB) Bobacious (GB) Take The Boat (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Charm Spirit (IRE) 13% · 6–46
Progeny have won 9.4% of 3,827 runs since 2018 (339 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15% from 448. Weakest on Heavy going: 3.7% from 134. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13% from 446.
Jukebox Jury (IRE) 16.1% · 5–31
Progeny have won 13.5% of 2,246 runs since 2016 (256 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 10.3% from 155.
Cable Bay (IRE) 3.6% · 1–28
Progeny have won 9.9% of 3,727 runs since 2019 (243 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 13.8% from 645. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 290.
Black Sam Bellamy (IRE) 8.3% · 2–24
Progeny have won 10.3% of 4,686 runs since 2008 (466 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 145.
Sholokhov (IRE) 33.3% · 6–18
Progeny have won 12.5% of 4,269 runs since 2008 (422 horses). Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 8.9% from 157.
Dark Angel (IRE) 6.7% · 1–15
Progeny have won 11.3% of 21,934 runs since 2011 (1,595 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15% from 107.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 5 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 378 · newest first

The latest 50 of 378 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 2 January 2005 to 4 November 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
04 Nov 26 Nottingham Dark Rosa (IRE)J: Rob Hornby racingtv.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Soft · 15 ran 7th 12/1
02 Nov 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Sea Of Charm (FR)J: Rob Hornby Midnite It's Actually Pretty Good Handicap StakesClass 5 · 14f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 14/1
02 Nov 26 Plumpton Bandjo (FR)J: Lorcan Murtagh Southern Cranes Handicap Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 2 · 20.5f · Good · 12 ran 8th 22/1
28 Oct 26 Huntingdon What's Your Game (IRE)J: Lorcan Murtagh Peterborough Chase 6 December 2026 Book Now Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good · 6 ran 1st 22/1
24 Oct 26 Cheltenham Thank You Ma'am (GB)J: Lorcan Murtagh Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle Race (Pertemps Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 2 · 24f · Good · 19 ran 4th 20/1
21 Oct 26 Fontwell Ritaan (IRE)J: Lorcan Murtagh tigerbet.co.uk Extra Place Races Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle RaceClass 5 · 21.5f · Soft · 7 ran 4th 50/1
19 Oct 26 Bath Quest For Glory (GB)J: Harry Vigors Wiltshire And Bath Air Ambulance Nursery Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 5th 20/1
15 Oct 26 Brighton Dark Rosa (IRE)J: Rob Hornby bet365 Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good · 14 ran 3rd 7/1
15 Oct 26 Fontwell Miralago (FR)J: Gavin Sheehan tigerbet.co.uk Download Our App Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)Class 4 · 19.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 6th 6/1
12 Oct 26 Worcester Pop's Folly (IRE)J: Lorcan Williams Richard Davis Memorial Handicap Steeple ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran PU 11/1
11 Oct 26 Chepstow Thank You Ma'am (GB)J: Lorcan Murtagh Dragonbet Cefnogi Rasio Ceffylau Cymreig Handicap Hurdle Race (gbb Race)Class 2 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 2nd 40/1
08 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Solar Mission (IRE)J: William Cox Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Nursery Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 50/1
03 Oct 26 Fontwell Pepper Fizz (GB)J: Lorcan Williams Attheraces.com/marketmovers Juvenile Hurdle (gbb Race)Class 4 · 17.5f · Good · 8 ran 6th 18/1
21 Sep 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Solar Mission (IRE)J: William Cox Free Tips On attheraces.com EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Band D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 4 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 6th 80/1
13 Sep 26 Bath Dark Rosa (IRE)J: Luke Morris Loud Hire Supporting Bath Racecourse Handicap Stakes (Div II)Class 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 2nd 6/1
13 Sep 26 Bath Pepper Fizz (GB)J: Harry Vigors Royal Bath & West Society Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good · 12 ran 4th 15/2
08 Sep 26 Leicester Solar Mission (IRE)J: William Cox British Ebf "confined" Expotile Novice Stakes (For Horses Which Have Had No More Than Three Runs) (Div II)Class 3 · 7f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 8th 300/1
29 Aug 26 Chepstow Pepper Fizz (GB)J: Hope Regan Download The At The Races App Apprentice Handicap StakesClass 6 · 10f · Good To Soft · 6 ran 3rd 3/1F
28 Aug 26 Sandown Dark Rosa (IRE)J: Billy Loughnane Killik Fillies' Handicap StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 3/1
26 Aug 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Solar Mission (IRE)J: Kieran O'Neill Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Ebf Restricted Novice Stakes (for Horses In Bands B, C And D) (Ebf Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)Class 5 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 28/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 15 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · to 2 Nov 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Georgina Nicholls's strike rate?
Georgina Nicholls has won 31 of 329 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 9.4% (as at 5 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Georgina Nicholls do best at?
Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 4 wins from 30 runners (13.3%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Georgina Nicholls?
Miss Olive Nicholls, with 53 runners since 2022 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 4 (7.5%).
Is Georgina Nicholls in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Georgina Nicholls's Fair A/E?
0.98, from 328 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 5 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).