What is John Patrick Ryan's strike rate?

John Patrick Ryan has won 102 of 1,578 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.5% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does John Patrick Ryan do best at?

Gowran Park by strike rate: 5 wins from 40 runners (12.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for John Patrick Ryan?

Daniel King, with 245 runners since 2022 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 17 (6.9%).

Is John Patrick Ryan in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 10 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is John Patrick Ryan's Fair A/E?

0.90, from 1,576 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

John Patrick Ryan

1,578 runners in the last 5 seasons · 119 individual horses

As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Non-runners: 8.2% of 402 declared in the last 365 days, counting all recorded withdrawals, including reserves. For context, a typical day across all racing ends with about 6.5% withdrawn (middle half 5.3–8.1% over 364 racing days). As at 20 Oct 2026.

Last runner 3 days ago 99% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

102–1,578

Wins / Runs

6.5%

Strike rate

n=1,578

328 (21%)

Placed

0.90

Fair A/E

n=1,576 · 0.74 incl. margin

−676.84

£1 level stake

n=1,578 at SP · −42.9%

£1.91m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

7.5%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 320 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.90).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,578 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Jun–Jul 37.9% when favourite Daniel King: 6.9% from 245 Sends off the favourite in 4% of races

The read

It is weakest at Naas (0% over 36 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Debutants struggle at 0% (n=74, Fair A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet in Group and Graded company the record: 1.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.37 and −120.50 to a £1 stake over 158 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Daniel King rides 16% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (6.9%, A/E 0.85). The yard also reads well off a 0-7-day break (10.8%, n=203). The record reads poorly in Class 1 — 1.9% over 159 runners, 4.6pts below the baseline. 11 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Guinness Handicap Chase at Punchestown (Apr 2012, £49,600). The stable star of the record: Kylecrue (IRE) — 12 wins from 81 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Jun–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5.2%−1.3

n=194 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −31.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

11.1%+4.6

n=18 · A/E 2.25 · £1 +42.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−6.5

n=74 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −74.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

8%+1.5

n=25 · A/E 1.48 · £1 +2.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−6.5

n=35 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −35.00

When favourite

37.9%

n=58 · A/E 1.44 · £1 +11.03

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5.7%−0.8

n=867 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −433.04

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

1.9%−4.6

n=158 · A/E 0.37 · £1 −120.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With debutants 0% vs 6.5% · n=74

In Class 1 1.9% vs 6.5% · n=159

At Naas 0% vs 6.5% · n=36

In Group / Graded races 1.9% vs 6.5% · n=158

With headgear back on 0% vs 6.5% · n=35

Off a 0-7-day break 10.8% vs 6.5% · n=203

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 845 64 7.6% −271.32

Chase 633 35 5.5% −324.52

NH Flat 86 3 3.5% −67.00

Flat 14 0 0% −14.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 539 20 3.7% −376.52

Good 513 42 8.2% −139.17

Good to Soft 350 27 7.7% −116.68

Heavy 174 13 7.5% −42.47

Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kilbeggan 205 16 7.8% −20.79

Clonmel 155 15 9.7% +38.16

Ballinrobe 152 12 7.9% −80.00

Sligo 136 14 10.3% −25.72

Limerick 132 10 7.6% −66.27

Thurles 87 3 3.4% −61.75

Killarney 81 8 9.9% −29.17

Listowel 66 2 3% −52.50

Tramore 63 5 7.9% −36.75

Cork 56 1 1.8% −51.50

Fairyhouse 54 1 1.9% −42.00

Punchestown 51 1 2% −34.00

Galway 49 1 2% −46.38

Roscommon 42 4 9.5% −12.12

Gowran Park 40 5 12.5% +6.62

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 159 3 1.9% −121.50

Class 4 6 0 0% −6.00

Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00

Class 5 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 81 24 29.6% 1.21 −5.09

2nd–3rd fav 221 30 13.6% 0.94 −48.25

4th–6th fav 560 30 5.4% 0.77 −266.50

7th+ in betting 716 18 2.5% 0.80 −357.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

85% completed · 1,478 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 633 80.3% 46 14 64 1 0

Hurdle 845 88.5% 21 7 64 2 3

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

The Little Yank (IRE) 76 4 18 30 Sep 26

Kilashee (IRE) 65 6 16 4 Oct 26

Drumgill (IRE) 54 7 13 11 Oct 26

Love Like This (IRE) 52 1 15 7 Sep 26

Zolpharine (IRE) 49 3 9 4 Oct 26

Grange Walk (IRE)from Pat Phelan 46 2 12 25 Sep 26

Father Jed (IRE) 45 2 6 25 Aug 25

The Dara Man (IRE) 42 3 8 21 Aug 26

Mount Frisco (IRE) 42 4 14 19 Apr 26

Ad Caelum (IRE) 41 5 10 28 Sep 26

Gaelic Arc (IRE) 39 5 10 17 Jul 26

Andyourbirdcansing (IRE) 36 3 7 30 Sep 26

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 119 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 8 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 8 arrived from another yard in our archive; 52 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 57 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 10

Only 10 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

69457131247353

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderDaniel King

16% of all rides
6.9% SR · A/E 0.85

RiderRWSR£1

Daniel King 245 17 6.9% −104.43

Liam Quinlan 175 17 9.7% −40.24

Danny Mullins 172 13 7.6% −40.75

Philip Donovan 93 2 2.2% −68.50

Michael Kenneally 88 9 10.2% −11.38

Sean O'Keeffe 86 5 5.8% −31.50

Shane Fitzgerald 81 6 7.4% −44.87

J J Slevin 44 5 11.4% +12.38

John Aherne 43 2 4.7% −16.00

Harry Sexton 43 2 4.7% −19.50

Mr H C Swan 38 2 5.3% −28.00

Niall Prendergast 32 2 6.3% +9.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

244

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£4.46m

Prize money

2021

Best season · 37 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Foildubh (IRE) — Guinness Handicap Chase (Grade A) Punchestown · Apr 2012 · Grade A

£49,600

Kilcarry Bridge (IRE) — Msl Cork Mercedes-benz Handicap Chase (grade B) Killarney · Aug 2017 · Grade B

£29,500

Donacheady Gale (IRE) — Charlie Chute Memorial Handicap Chase Listowel · Sep 2024

£29,500

Notable horses

Kylecrue (IRE) Draycott Place (IRE) Father Jed (IRE) The Little Yank (IRE) Presenting Mahler (IRE) Kilashee (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Yeats (IRE) 4.9% · 5–102

Progeny have won 11.9% of 9,807 runs since 2008 (704 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 6.9% from 203. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.3% from 816.

Elusive Pimpernel (USA) 8.8% · 8–91

Progeny have won 7.6% of 3,119 runs since 2008 (315 horses).

Arcadio (GER) 13.8% · 12–87

Progeny have won 9.2% of 3,977 runs since 2008 (375 horses).

Kalanisi (IRE) 7.2% · 6–83

Progeny have won 10.5% of 6,742 runs since 2008 (648 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 16.1% from 355.

Westerner (GB) 6.2% · 5–81

Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,823 runs since 2008 (941 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.

Mount Nelson (GB) 7.7% · 5–65

Progeny have won 9.9% of 6,257 runs since 2008 (538 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,660 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,660 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2005 to 17 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Run For The Border (IRE)J: Michael Kenneally Greenpark Limerick Handicap Hurdle (Div II)21.5f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 7th 10/1

17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Pets Georgina (IRE)J: Daniel King Master Chefs Novice Hurdle (Listed)Class 1 · 21.5f · Good To Yielding · 6 ran 5th 20/1

17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Akako (IRE)J: John Aherne #Thisisracing Maiden Hurdle19f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 15th 40/1

14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Smallcraftwarning (IRE)J: Daniel King Matchbook Betting Exchange Steeplechase (Grade 3)Class 1 · 23f · Good · 4 ran F 40/1

11 Oct 26 Cork (IRE) Drumgill (IRE)J: Daniel King Co-Op Superstores Handicap Steeplechase17.5f · Good · 8 ran 6th 12/1

11 Oct 26 Cork (IRE) Piccolo Player (IRE)J: Peter Smithers Co-Op Superstores Handicap Steeplechase17.5f · Good · 8 ran 5th 11/2

11 Oct 26 Cork (IRE) Finnicky Filly (IRE)J: Michael Kenneally Kendellen Construction Handicap Hurdle18.5f · Good · 14 ran 6th 33/1

10 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Crystabel (IRE)J: Daniel King Powerscreen New England Supporting Louth GAA Handicap Hurdle16f · Good · 9 ran 5th 22/1

10 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Mistakenforanother (IRE)J: Michael Kenneally Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 12 ran 10th 100/1

10 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Smallcraftwarning (IRE)J: Daniel King Malone Windows Supporting Louth GAA Handicap Steeplechase24.5f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 5/2J

04 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Zolpharine (IRE)J: Daniel King Killarney Races Handicap Steeplechase23.5f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 7th 7/1

04 Oct 26 Killarney (IRE) Kilashee (IRE)J: Kevin Healy Killarney Races Handicap Steeplechase23.5f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 6th 10/1

03 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Drumgill (IRE)J: Daniel King Sign up to – GavinLynchRacing.com Handicap Steeplechase20f · Good To Yielding · 6 ran UR 9/1

03 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Smallcraftwarning (IRE)J: Daniel King Jack Duggan Memorial Handicap Hurdle24f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 1st 4/1F

03 Oct 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Goeasyonme (FR)J: J J Slevin BOYLE Sports Novice Hurdle (Grade 3)Class 1 · 16.5f · Good To Yielding · 6 ran 4th 125/1

01 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Finnicky Filly (IRE)J: Daniel King Glenary Handicap Hurdle23f · Good · 15 ran 14th 12/1

01 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Bangor Lady (IRE)J: Peter Smithers Glenary Handicap Hurdle23f · Good · 15 ran 10th 28/1

01 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Akako (IRE)J: John Aherne Kilmore Maiden Hurdle19.5f · Good · 11 ran 6th 9/1

01 Oct 26 Clonmel (IRE) Marlpark (IRE)J: Brian Barry Slievenamon Claiming Hurdle19.5f · Good · 13 ran F 100/1

30 Sep 26 Sligo (IRE) The Little Yank (IRE)J: John Aherne Sligo Races Handicap Steeplechase26f · Good · 12 ran 7th 14/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John Patrick Ryan's strike rate?: John Patrick Ryan has won 102 of 1,578 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.5% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does John Patrick Ryan do best at?: Gowran Park by strike rate: 5 wins from 40 runners (12.5%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for John Patrick Ryan?: Daniel King, with 245 runners since 2022 — 16% of the total. That pairing has won 17 (6.9%).
Is John Patrick Ryan in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 10 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is John Patrick Ryan's Fair A/E?: 0.90, from 1,576 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.