Miss S O'Brien
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 20 times a season, across both codes, winning on 21% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.14). Rode mostly for A P O'Brien — 75% of rides in the window.
Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 12.2% (n=49, Fair A/E 1.04). A P O'Brien supplied 75% of the rides and edges the rider's average (24.5% vs 21.3%, A/E 1.22) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well on Good going (29.8%, n=47) and in NH Flat races (27%, n=74). The record read poorly in Flat races — 14.9% over 67 rides, 6.4pts below the baseline.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 21.3% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 21.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2011→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 141 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 141 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 17 July 2011 to 15 May 2017.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Miss S O'Brien's strike rate?
- Miss S O'Brien has won 30 of 141 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 21.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which yard does Miss S O'Brien ride most for?
- A P O'Brien, with 106 rides since 2008 — 75% of the total. That pairing has won 26 (24.5%).
- What is Miss S O'Brien's Fair A/E?
- 1.14, from 141 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.