No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 26.5% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
19.5%−7.0
n=41 · A/E 1.67 · £1 +45.80
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
40%+13.5
n=5 · A/E 2.59 · £1 +5.90
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
20%−6.5
n=20 · A/E 1.78 · £1 +31.50
When favourite
60%
n=5 · A/E 2.15 · £1 +12.30
Big fields · 14+ runners
11.8%−14.7
n=17 · A/E 1.45 · £1 −1.90
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 26.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
On first rides for the horse19.5% vs 26.5% · n=41
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW)17317.6%+0.10
Good11218.2%+20.60
Soft9333.3%+11.30
Good to Soft7114.3%+15.00
Heavy4375%+38.00
Firm11100%+7.60
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Deauville (FR)15213.3%+1.10
Maisons-Laffitte (FR)10330%+10.20
Saint-Cloud (FR)10330%+33.60
Chantilly (FR)6233.3%+41.00
Fontainebleau2150%+2.10
Longchamp (FR)200%−2.00
Cagnes-Sur-Mer2150%−1.00
Evreux100%—
Le Croise-Laroche11100%+7.60
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite5360%2.15+12.30
2nd–3rd fav16531.3%1.86+39.70
4th–6th fav12216.7%1.97+6.60
7th+ in betting13215.4%3.85+34.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m2f – 1m4f25624%+43.10
1m – 1m1f11327.3%+6.80
1m5f – 2m9222.2%−0.30
6f – 7f4250%+43.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
20082150%+30.00
201011436.4%+28.80
201110110%−5.40
20128225%+5.90
20136233.3%+31.60
201412325%+1.70
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps1119.1%−5.40
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners12541.7%+27.30
14-16 runners11218.2%+4.10
8-10 runners1119.1%+15.00
17+ runners600%−6.00
5-7 runners5360%+45.60
2-4 runners4250%+6.60
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 41 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
By month
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
050171003300017676740
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Mister Chop (FR) — Prix Aly Khan (Conditions) (4yo+) (Gentlemen Riders) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · May 2010
£14,602
Chopouest (FR) — Prix Aly Khan (Conditions) (4yo+) (Gentlemen Riders) (Turf) Chantilly (FR) · May 2013
£13,415
Prince D'Almaty (FR) — Prix General Blacque-Belair (Conditions) (4yo+) (Gentlemen Riders) (Turf) Saint-Cloud (FR) · Nov 2012
Progeny have won 11.6% of 5,037 runs since 2008 (497 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.6% from 278. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.5% from 153.
American Post (GB)50% · 1–2
Progeny have won 10.1% of 2,964 runs since 2008 (263 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.9% from 108.
Barathea (IRE)50% · 1–2
Progeny have won 8.5% of 4,143 runs since 2008 (315 horses).
Catcher In The Rye (IRE)0% · 0–2
Progeny have won 8.9% of 2,570 runs since 2008 (239 horses).
Indian Rocket (GB)50% · 1–2
Progeny have won 7.7% of 1,230 runs since 2008 (129 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 11.1% from 171. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 4.7% from 301.
Miesque's Son (USA)100% · 2–2
Progeny have won 7.4% of 647 runs since 2008 (72 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 3.8% from 130.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 51 · newest first
The latest 50 of 51 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 26 September 2006 to 12 December 2014.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Mr Christophe Guimard's strike rate?
Mr Christophe Guimard has won 13 of 49 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 26.5% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mr Christophe Guimard's Fair A/E?
2.17, from 43 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Mr Christophe Guimard·SR 26.5%·A/E 2.17
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