What is Mr D Roche's strike rate?

Mr D Roche has won 23 of 333 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.9% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Mr D Roche do best at?

Fairyhouse by strike rate: 5 wins from 32 rides (15.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Mr D Roche ride most for?

Henry De Bromhead, with 233 rides since 2008 — 70% of the total. That pairing has won 21 (9%).

What is Mr D Roche's Fair A/E?

0.69, from 332 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Mr D Roche

333 rides in the lifetime window · 224 individual horses

As at 14 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Apr 2023

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it

23–333

Wins / Runs

6.9%

Strike rate

n=333

97 (29%)

Placed

0.69

Fair A/E

n=332 · 0.54 incl. margin

−151.19

£1 level stake

n=333 at SP · −45.4%

£278k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rides around 20 times a season, winning on 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.69). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 16% off breaks of two months or more (61 runs). Rides mostly for Henry De Bromhead — 70% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 333 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 14 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Mar–Apr Fresh horses: 16.4% Henry De Bromhead: 9% from 233 First rides: 7.5% Claiming: 7.2%

The read

The record is strongest at Fairyhouse (15.6%, n=32), clear of the rider's 6.9% baseline. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 16.4% (n=61, Fair A/E 1.55). The market has consistently overbet rides in big fields of 14 or more: 4.1% strike, Fair A/E 0.57 and −106.50 to a £1 stake over 171 rides — those runners underperform what the price implies. Henry De Bromhead supplies 70% of the rides and edges the rider's average (9% vs 6.9%, A/E 0.75). The rider also reads well off a 61-180-day break (17.8%, n=45). The record reads poorly off a 15-30-day break — 1.7% over 59 rides, 5.2pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider on Heavy going: Fair A/E 0.73 across 61 rides (9.8% strike, −27.92 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperform what the price implies. Seasonally, the rider fires Mar–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.9% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

7.5%+0.6

n=214 · A/E 0.76 · £1 −78.22

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

10%+3.1

n=10 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −4.50

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

16.4%+9.5

n=61 · A/E 1.55 · £1 +19.15

When favourite

13.6%

n=22 · A/E 0.45 · £1 −15.22

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

7.2%+0.3

n=318 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −136.19

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.1%−2.8

n=171 · A/E 0.57 · £1 −106.50

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−6.9

n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 61-180-day break 17.8% vs 6.9% · n=45

At Fairyhouse 15.6% vs 6.9% · n=32

With Paul A Roche 0% vs 6.9% · n=56

Off a 15-30-day break 1.7% vs 6.9% · n=59

On Good to Soft going 2.9% vs 6.9% · n=34

On Heavy going 9.8% vs 6.9% · n=61

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

NH Flat 224 17 7.6% −110.64

Flat 77 6 7.8% −8.55

Hurdle 22 0 0% −22.00

Chase 10 0 0% −10.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 124 10 8.1% −38.10

Good 85 6 7.1% −48.17

Heavy 61 6 9.8% −27.92

Good to Soft 34 1 2.9% −8.00

Good to Firm 23 0 0% −23.00

Firm 3 0 0% −3.00

Standard (AW) 3 0 0% −3.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Punchestown 48 4 8.3% +7.50

Fairyhouse 32 5 15.6% +18.38

Cork 27 3 11.1% −13.30

Tramore 21 1 4.8% −18.50

Thurles 20 0 0% −20.00

Killarney 18 3 16.7% −5.92

Limerick 18 1 5.6% −8.00

Gowran Park 18 1 5.6% −13.00

Leopardstown 17 0 0% −17.00

Clonmel 13 0 0% −13.00

Kilbeggan 12 1 8.3% −8.25

Galway 12 0 0% −12.00

Naas 11 1 9.1% +4.00

Tipperary 11 0 0% −11.00

Navan 10 1 10% −8.10

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 1 12 0 0% −12.00

Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 26 5 19.2% 0.66 −11.72

2nd–3rd fav 102 9 8.8% 0.59 −63.47

4th–6th fav 106 7 6.6% 0.94 −5.00

7th+ in betting 99 2 2% 0.65 −71.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

71.9% completed · 32 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 10 40% 2 0 3 1 0

Hurdle 22 86.4% 1 0 2 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Joys Island (IRE) 6 0 2 9 May 10

Carrolls Cross (IRE) 6 0 1 13 Jun 09

Presenting Prince (IRE) 5 0 1 29 May 09

Harcus Six Zero (IRE) 5 0 1 11 Jul 08

Gone Platinum (IRE) 4 1 3 16 May 14

Anothercoppercoast (IRE) 4 0 0 14 Nov 09

Tag Man (IRE) 3 1 1 28 Apr 22

Classic Theatre (IRE) 3 1 2 9 Apr 17

Judgement Day (IRE) 3 0 3 9 Mar 17

Tailspin (IRE) 3 0 0 14 Feb 16

Loughmore Queen (IRE) 3 0 3 12 Jun 15

Solatentif (FR) 3 1 1 30 Apr 15

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 224 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

101212834900098

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardHenry De Bromhead

70% of all rides
9% SR · A/E 0.75

TrainerRWSR£1

Henry De Bromhead 233 21 9% −72.19

Paul A Roche 56 0 0% −56.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£377k

Prize money

2007

Best season · 7 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Tag Man (IRE) — Jp & M Doyle Celebrating 70 Years In Business (c & G) Flat Race Punchestown · Apr 2022

£10,325

Joys Island (IRE) — Slievenamon Handicap Hurdle (74-109) Clonmel · May 2007

£8,638

Steel Band (GB) — Guillamene Handicap Hurdle (81-109) Tramore · Apr 2006

£8,638

Notable horses

Joys Island (IRE) Buckers Bridge (IRE) Harcus Six Zero (IRE) Anothercoppercoast (IRE) Lyical Assassin (IRE) Steel Band (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Presenting (GB) 0% · 0–20

Progeny have won 11% of 20,053 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

Flemensfirth (USA) 6.7% · 1–15

Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,298 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).

King's Theatre (IRE) 6.7% · 1–15

Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.

Oscar (IRE) 0% · 0–14

Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.

Milan (GB) 7.7% · 1–13

Progeny have won 11.3% of 16,892 runs since 2008 (1,465 horses).

Heron Island (IRE) 0% · 0–10

Progeny have won 11.2% of 2,819 runs since 2008 (317 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 162.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 14 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 415 · newest first

The latest 50 of 415 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 5 February 2005 to 25 April 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

25 Apr 23 Punchestown Nouvotic (FR)T: Henry De Bromhead Goffs Defender Bumper16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 16 ran 6th 18/1

10 Apr 23 Cork Whotookthebiscuit (IRE)T: Paul Power Cork & Waterford Mares Point-To-Point Flat Race16f · Yielding To Soft · 9 ran 9th 6/1

10 Apr 23 Cork Doonbeg Don (IRE)T: Henry De Bromhead Pegus Horse Feed Point-To-Point Flat Race19f · Yielding To Soft · 9 ran 7th 11/2

08 Apr 23 Fairyhouse Theatre Native (IRE)T: Henry De Bromhead Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Total Enjoyment Mares Flat Race (listed)16.5f · Yielding · 9 ran 4th 7/4F

30 Mar 23 Naas Mahon's Way (IRE)T: Henry De Bromhead Nursery Of Champions Flat Race16.5f · Yielding To Soft · 8 ran 3rd 10/3

23 Mar 23 Cork Native Speaker (IRE)T: Henry De Bromhead Irish Stallion Farms EBF (Pro/Am) Auction Flat Race16f · Heavy · 7 ran 4th 7/2

20 Mar 23 Navan Coming Up Easy (IRE)T: Henry De Bromhead Racing Again March 29th (pro/am) Flat Race16f · Heavy · 10 ran 6th 10/1

08 Jan 23 Naas Boots And Jeans (IRE)T: Henry De Bromhead Fifty Stars Standing At Sunnyhill Stud (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Soft · 10 ran 7th 7/1

30 Oct 22 Wexford New York Style (GB)T: Henry De Bromhead Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Heavy · 11 ran 2nd 7/2

25 Jul 22 Galway Nuits St Georges (IRE)T: Henry De Bromhead Connacht Hotel (Q.R.) Handicap (70-100)17f · Soft · 20 ran 12th 33/1

05 May 22 Tipperary Ami Des Flots (IRE)T: Bernard Martin Crowley P2p.ie Mares Point-to-point Flat Race18f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 8th 12/1

30 Apr 22 Punchestown Spirit Of Legend (FR)T: Henry De Bromhead Buggyman (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Yielding To Soft · 23 ran 8th 10/1

28 Apr 22 Punchestown Tag Man (IRE)T: Henry De Bromhead Jp & M Doyle Celebrating 70 Years In Business (c & G) Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 1st 25/1

18 Apr 22 Cork Belle The Lioness (IRE)T: Henry De Bromhead Cork & Waterford Mares Point-To-Point Flat Race16f · Soft To Heavy · 11 ran 1st 16/5

18 Apr 22 Cork Senior Chief (GB)T: Henry De Bromhead Pegus Horse Feed Point-To-Point Flat Race19f · Soft To Heavy · 9 ran 2nd 6/1

14 Apr 22 Clonmel Top Speed (IRE)T: Henry De Bromhead Next Race Meeting May 12th (Pro/Am) Flat Race16.5f · Yielding · 15 ran 3rd 10/3

10 Apr 22 Tramore Queen Jane (IRE)T: Henry De Bromhead Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 5th 17/2

08 Apr 22 Ballinrobe Harry Des Ongrais (FR)T: Henry De Bromhead Connacht Tribune Flat Race17.5f · Good To Yielding · 16 ran 15th 5/1

07 Mar 22 Leopardstown Monty's Star (IRE)T: Henry De Bromhead Leopardstown Members Flat Race16f · Yielding · 7 ran 4th 15/2

22 Jan 22 Navan Tag Man (IRE)T: Henry De Bromhead Slane (Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Yielding · 15 ran 4th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr D Roche's strike rate?: Mr D Roche has won 23 of 333 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 6.9% (as at 14 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mr D Roche do best at?: Fairyhouse by strike rate: 5 wins from 32 rides (15.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Mr D Roche ride most for?: Henry De Bromhead, with 233 rides since 2008 — 70% of the total. That pairing has won 21 (9%).
What is Mr D Roche's Fair A/E?: 0.69, from 332 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.