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Trainer profile

Paul Power

109 runners in the last 5 seasons · 17 individual horses
As at 19 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 11 days ago
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2015→)
from 1 Jan 2022
7–109
Wins / Runs
6.4%
Strike rate
n=109
29 (27%)
Placed
0.95
Fair A/E
n=109 · 0.75 incl. margin
−68.17
£1 level stake
n=109 at SP · −62.5%
£84,799
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 20 runners a season, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.95).

Deterministic profile computed from 109 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 19 Oct 2026
The read

Runners with a claiming rider up have been a poor signal at 1.9% (n=52, Fair A/E 0.40). The yard also reads well on Good going (9.5%, n=42). The record reads poorly on Soft going — 3.2% over 31 runners, 3.2pts below the baseline.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%−6.4
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−6.4
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.4
n=12 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −12.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
14.3%+7.9
n=7 · A/E 2.79 · £1 +0.50
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.4
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
0%
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
1.9%−4.5
n=52 · A/E 0.40 · £1 −47.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.4
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With claiming riders up 1.9% vs 6.4% · n=52
On Good going 9.5% vs 6.4% · n=42
On Soft going 3.2% vs 6.4% · n=31
With a new jockey booking 7.5% vs 6.4% · n=53 · A/E 1.16
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 63 5 7.9% −33.17
Flat 24 0 0% −24.00
Chase 16 2 12.5% −5.00
NH Flat 6 0 0% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 42 4 9.5% −22.17
Soft 31 1 3.2% −23.50
Good to Soft 21 2 9.5% −7.50
Heavy 10 0 0% −10.00
Standard (AW) 5 0 0% −5.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Tramore 17 1 5.9% −11.00
Cork 9 0 0% −9.00
Killarney 9 1 11.1% −4.67
Limerick 8 0 0% −8.00
Gowran Park 8 0 0% −8.00
Tipperary 7 1 14.3% +0.50
Wexford 7 0 0% −7.00
Dundalk (AW) 5 0 0% −5.00
Naas 5 0 0% −5.00
Clonmel 5 0 0% −5.00
Listowel 4 0 0% −4.00
Punchestown 4 0 0% −4.00
Thurles 4 0 0% −4.00
Fairyhouse 3 0 0% −3.00
Navan 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 7 1 14.3% 0.80 −2.67
2nd–3rd fav 24 5 20.8% 1.62 +5.00
4th–6th fav 27 1 3.7% 0.51 −19.50
7th+ in betting 51 0 0% 0.00 −51.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
94.9% completed · 79 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 16 81.3% 0 0 3 0 0
Hurdle 63 98.4% 0 0 1 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Game Phoenix (IRE) 23 0 8 25 Sep 26
Morepowertoya (FR) 17 2 4 3 Nov 24
Charlies Pride (IRE) 12 2 5 23 Jul 25
Shannon Glory (IRE) 11 2 5 15 Sep 23
Flotus Radiance (IRE) 9 0 0 29 Sep 23
Well Loved (IRE)from Liz Doyle 6 1 2 1 Jul 25
Orlando Spirit (FR)from Declan Queally 5 0 3 13 May 26
Pebble To A Pearl (IRE) 5 0 1 7 Jul 25
Tiantu (IRE)from Vincent Laurence Halley 5 0 0 18 Aug 23
Alzurs Thunder (IRE) 3 0 0 18 Apr 26
Kingston Fire (IRE) 3 0 0 9 Oct 25
Game Beaaa (IRE)then Daragh Bourke 3 0 1 26 Aug 22
All 17 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 17 horses listed, 5 arrived from another yard in our archive; 12 had their first archived run for this yard.

3 have since run for another yard; 14 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
00065101717000·
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Darragh O'Keeffe 19 1 5.3% −13.00
Cian Quirke 13 0 0% −13.00
Ben Coen 7 0 0% −7.00
Miss J M Cook 7 0 0% −7.00
Hugh Morgan 5 0 0% −5.00
Sean O'Keeffe 5 1 20% +2.50
Liam Quinlan 4 1 25% +0.50
Jack Kearney 4 0 0% −4.00
Mr B T Stone 4 0 0% −4.00
Jack Kennedy 4 3 75% +12.33
John Shinnick 3 0 0% −3.00
Mike O'Connor 3 0 0% −3.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2015→
19
Archived wins
£238k
Prize money
2022
Best season · 3 wins
Drakaina (IRE) — Iwp Home Improvement Centre Mares Handicap Hurdle Limerick · Oct 2017
£10,164
Tiantu (IRE) — Follow BetVictorRacing On Twitter Beginners Chase Tramore · May 2019
£7,700
Memory Tree (IRE) — Listowel Beginners Chase Listowel · Sep 2020
£7,375
Notable horses
Tiantu (IRE) Game Puppeteer (IRE) Drakaina (IRE) Morepowertoya (FR) Game Catch (IRE) Charlies Pride (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Phoenix Of Spain (IRE) 0% · 0–23
Progeny have won 13.3% of 1,320 runs since 2008 (140 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 9.8% from 133.
Rajsaman (FR) 11.8% · 2–17
Progeny have won 6.9% of 2,835 runs since 2008 (311 horses).
Conduit (IRE) 16.7% · 2–12
Progeny have won 6.2% of 403 runs since 2008 (57 horses).
Fame And Glory (GB) 18.2% · 2–11
Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,203 runs since 2008 (504 horses).
James Garfield (IRE) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 9% of 721 runs since 2008 (64 horses). Strongest on Good going: 13.1% from 183.
Well Chosen (GB) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 12.5% of 1,916 runs since 2008 (155 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 19 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 280 · newest first

The latest 50 of 280 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 22 June 2015 to 8 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
08 Oct 26 Thurles (IRE) Miss Glenville (IRE)J: G. F. Carroll BOYLE Sports Handicap (Div II)8.5f · Yielding · 14 ran 9th 22/1
25 Sep 26 Listowel (IRE) Game Phoenix (IRE)J: Mr B T Stone Trant Goodwill Stakes Handicap Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 15 ran 11th 25/1
16 Sep 26 Clonmel (IRE) Miss Glenville (IRE)J: G. F. Carroll Camida Winning Solution Handicap10f · Yielding · 14 ran 5th 50/1
07 Aug 26 Wexford (IRE) Game Phoenix (IRE)J: Mr B T Stone Treo Eile Mares Handicap Hurdle17f · Good · 14 ran 2nd 25/1
29 May 26 Tramore Game Shadow (IRE)J: Ms J I Stokes August Festival Early Bird Tickets At tramoreraces.ie (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good · 11 ran 4th 12/1
29 May 26 Tramore Game Phoenix (IRE)J: Dylan Whelan Tramore Derby July 7th Beginners Chase15.5f · Good · 8 ran 7th 50/1
14 May 26 Clonmel Game Phoenix (IRE)J: Dylan Whelan Watch Danny's Diary At ToteRacing Mares Maiden Hurdle16.5f · Good To Yielding · 18 ran 9th 11/1
13 May 26 Punchestown Orlando Spirit (FR)J: Michael Kenneally Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)24f · Good · 18 ran 4th 15/2
18 Apr 26 Bellewstown Alzurs Thunder (IRE)J: Mr B T Stone Irish Stallion Farms EBF Auction (Pro/Am) Flat Race17f · Yielding · 15 ran 13th 12/1
16 Apr 26 Limerick Orlando Spirit (FR)J: Michael Kenneally Professor Maria Hinfelaar Handicap Hurdle (0-100) (Div 2)19.5f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 8th 5/1
19 Mar 26 Cork Orlando Spirit (FR)J: Jack Kennedy William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Handicap Hurdle (0-100)17f · Yielding · 22 ran 3rd 15/2
12 Mar 26 Limerick Alzurs Thunder (IRE)J: Mr E Mahon Irish Stallion Farms EBF (Pro/Am) Auction Flat Race17f · Heavy · 7 ran 4th 12/1
19 Feb 26 Thurles Orlando Spirit (FR)J: Ms J I Stokes Connolly's RED MILLS Ladies Handicap Hurdle16.5f · Soft To Heavy · 17 ran 2nd 28/1
10 Feb 26 Limerick Alzurs Thunder (IRE)J: Mr B T Stone Irish Stallion Farms EBF Auction (Pro/Am) Flat Race15.5f · Heavy · 7 ran PU 22/1
09 Jan 26 Naas Orlando Spirit (FR)J: Sean O'Keeffe Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 25 ran 17th 200/1
30 Oct 25 Thurles Game Phoenix (IRE)J: Sean O'Keeffe Racing Again November 20th Beginners Chase18.5f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 10th 11/1
09 Oct 25 Tramore Kingston Fire (IRE)J: Mr J D Coffey www.tramoreraces.ie Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding · 8 ran 8th 40/1
08 Oct 25 Navan Game Phoenix (IRE)J: Ben Coen Racing Again 22nd October Handicap (0-60) (Div 2)10f · Yielding · 17 ran 13th 13/2
27 Sep 25 Listowel Kingston Fire (IRE)J: Mike O'Connor John Lynch Memorial Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Yielding · 17 ran 15th 200/1
06 Sep 25 Navan Game Phoenix (IRE)J: Ben Coen Return Of The Jumps At Navan Racecourse September 20th Handicap (0-60)10f · Good · 19 ran 4th 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Paul Power's strike rate?
Paul Power has won 7 of 109 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.4% (as at 19 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Is Paul Power in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Paul Power's Fair A/E?
0.95, from 109 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 19 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).