What is Mr M Wall's strike rate?

Mr M Wall has won 23 of 188 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 12.2% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Mr M Wall do best at?

Cheltenham by strike rate: 2 wins from 31 rides (6.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is Mr M Wall's Fair A/E?

1.05, from 187 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Mr M Wall

188 rides in the lifetime window · 82 individual horses

As at 28 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride May 2016 96% of rides over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

23–188

Wins / Runs

12.2%

Strike rate

n=188

57 (30%)

Placed

1.05

Fair A/E

n=187 · 0.91 incl. margin

−73.59

£1 level stake

n=188 at SP · −39.1%

£138k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 20 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 12% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.05). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 14% off breaks of two months or more (64 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 188 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 28 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Mar–May Fresh horses: 14.1% Claiming: 13%

The read

It is weakest at Cheltenham (6.5% over 31 rides) — the largest sample in the record, and the widest gap. Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 0% (n=45, Fair A/E 0.00). The rider also read well in Class 5 (19.5%, n=41) and off a break of 180+ days (17%, n=53). The record read poorly off a 15-30-day break — 6.9% over 58 rides, 5.3pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the rider in Class 4: Fair A/E 0.68 across 57 rides (7% strike, −47.22 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. The standout partner of the record was Divine Intavention (IRE) — 7 wins from 19 rides together. Seasonally, the rider fired Mar–May.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.2% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

10%−2.2

n=80 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −29.50

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

14.3%+2.1

n=21 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −12.12

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

14.1%+1.9

n=64 · A/E 1.29 · £1 +8.38

When favourite

50%

n=20 · A/E 1.39 · £1 +3.51

Claiming rides · riding with a claim

13%+0.8

n=154 · A/E 1.08 · £1 −48.97

Big fields · 14+ runners

0%−12.2

n=45 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −45.00

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

0%−12.2

n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In Class 5 19.5% vs 12.2% · n=41

Off a 15-30-day break 6.9% vs 12.2% · n=58

In Class 4 7% vs 12.2% · n=57

At Cheltenham 6.5% vs 12.2% · n=31

Off a break of 180+ days 17% vs 12.2% · n=53

Over 2m5f – 3m 15.7% vs 12.2% · n=83

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Chase 151 22 14.6% −40.59

Hurdle 24 1 4.2% −20.00

Flat 7 0 0% −7.00

NH Flat 6 0 0% −6.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Good 84 12 14.3% −1.50

Good to Soft 39 4 10.3% −27.97

Good to Firm 28 3 10.7% −17.50

Soft 25 2 8% −20.62

Heavy 6 1 16.7% −3.75

Standard (AW) 4 0 0% −4.00

Firm 2 1 50% +1.75

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Cheltenham 31 2 6.5% −27.00

Stratford 15 2 13.3% −8.62

Ludlow 14 2 14.3% −5.25

Towcester 14 0 0% −14.00

Leicester 11 2 18.2% +15.00

Taunton 10 2 20% −3.00

Exeter 7 3 42.9% +12.25

Fontwell 7 1 14.3% −3.75

Warwick 7 0 0% −7.00

Chepstow 5 1 20% −2.75

Worcester 5 0 0% −5.00

Doncaster 5 0 0% −5.00

Folkestone 5 1 20% −3.75

Southwell 5 0 0% −5.00

Huntingdon 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 57 4 7% −47.22

Class 6 49 7 14.3% −25.25

Class 5 41 8 19.5% +6.00

Class 2 20 2 10% −12.62

Class 3 20 2 10% +6.50

Class 1 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 22 10 45.5% 1.29 +1.51

2nd–3rd fav 43 9 20.9% 1.13 −7.60

4th–6th fav 57 1 1.8% 0.23 −48.50

7th+ in betting 66 3 4.5% 1.63 −19.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

70.9% completed · 175 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 151 68.2% 5 7 31 2 3

Hurdle 24 87.5% 1 0 2 0 0

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Divine Intavention (IRE) 19 7 12 27 Apr 16

Marblehead (IRE) 12 2 4 23 May 12

Theatre Queen (IRE) 6 2 3 10 Mar 15

Presentandcorrect (IRE) 6 2 3 7 Jun 13

Sovereign King (GB) 6 0 1 11 Mar 12

Danners (IRE) 5 0 1 3 May 14

Arbour Hill (IRE) 5 2 3 16 May 13

Bell On Bike (IRE) 4 0 1 1 May 13

Bradley (GB) 4 1 3 2 May 12

James Pine (IRE) 4 0 2 16 May 11

William Somers (GB) 4 2 4 16 Feb 11

Prophete de Guye (FR) 4 0 0 26 Jan 10

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 82 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

0171614170000000

A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

TrainerRWSR£1

James Evans 20 2 10% −3.00

Fergal O'Brien 16 3 18.8% +20.00

Giles Smyly 15 0 0% −15.00

T F Sage 12 4 33.3% +1.75

H Wilson 12 5 41.7% +2.25

Michael Hawker 11 1 9.1% −8.75

Miss Francesca Moller 10 1 10% −6.75

Martin Keighley 10 3 30% +1.28

Mark Wall 8 2 25% −3.62

Tony Carroll 6 0 0% −6.00

Miss C Herrington 6 0 0% −6.00

Sue Wilson 5 0 0% −5.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£158k

Prize money

2014

Best season · 5 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Divine Intavention (IRE) — H R Smith Group Ltd Handicap Chase Ludlow · Apr 2014 · Class 3

£12,660

Theatre Queen (IRE) — pointtopoint.co.uk Champion Novices' Hunters' Chase (For The John Corbet Cup) Stratford · May 2014 · Class 2

£11,992

Marblehead (IRE) — Mallard Pawnbrokers Hunters' Chase Leicester · Mar 2010 · Class 3

£9,003

Notable horses

Divine Intavention (IRE) Marblehead (IRE) Theatre Queen (IRE) Presentandcorrect (IRE) Arbour Hill (IRE) William Somers (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Exit To Nowhere (USA) 35% · 7–20

Progeny have won 8.5% of 2,787 runs since 2008 (290 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.5% from 155.

Environment Friend (GB) 16.7% · 2–12

Progeny have won 8.2% of 645 runs since 2008 (83 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13% from 108.

Presenting (GB) 28.6% · 2–7

Progeny have won 11% of 20,050 runs since 2008 (1,686 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 24.3% from 136.

King's Theatre (IRE) 33.3% · 2–6

Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.

Sovereign Water (FR) 0% · 0–6

Progeny have won 11.3% of 292 runs since 2008 (34 horses).

Moonax (IRE) 40% · 2–5

Progeny have won 5.8% of 365 runs since 2008 (62 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 1.6% from 122.

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 28 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 260 · newest first

The latest 50 of 260 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 6 January 2005 to 27 May 2016.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

27 May 16 Worcester Flying Gnu (GB)T: Mrs Axelle Wall Hargreave Hale Investment Managers Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 23f · Good · 9 ran 5th 9/1

12 May 16 Fontwell Flying Gnu (GB)T: Mrs Axelle Wall H.D. Tribe Mares' Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 25.5f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 2nd 11/4

27 Apr 16 Cheltenham Divine Intavention (IRE)T: Miss Francesca Moller Champions Hunters' ChaseClass 3 · 26.5f · Good · 12 ran 10th 40/1

27 Apr 16 Cheltenham Dandan (IRE)T: Miss Francesca Moller Racing Uk Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 16.5f · Good · 14 ran 5th 20/1

29 May 15 Stratford Divine Intavention (IRE)T: Miss Francesca Moller Pertemps Network Stratford Foxhunters Champion Hunters' Chase (57th Running)Class 2 · 27.5f · Good · 13 ran PU 50/1

29 May 15 Stratford Dandan (IRE)T: Miss Francesca Moller Subaru 'Restricted Point-To-Point' Series Final (Novices' Hunters' Chase)Class 3 · 22.5f · Good · 13 ran PU 15/2

12 May 15 Wincanton Divine Intavention (IRE)T: Miss Francesca Moller Wessex Open Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 20f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 3rd 5/4F

29 Apr 15 Cheltenham Tarquinius (FR)T: Miss K Frisby Cheltenham Club Open Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 32.5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran PU 66/1

23 Apr 15 Warwick Perfectly Willing (IRE)T: T F Sage Close Brothers Business Finance Hunters' Chase (For The Crudwell Challenge Cup)Class 6 · 26f · Good · 7 ran 3rd 7/1

10 Mar 15 Cheltenham Theatre Queen (IRE)T: Mark Wall Toby Balding National Hunt Chase (Listed Amateur Riders' Novices' Chase)Class 1 · 32f · Good To Soft · 17 ran F 25/1

28 Feb 15 Doncaster Theatre Queen (IRE)T: Mark Wall BetBright Grimthorpe Chase (Handicap)Class 2 · 26f · Good · 12 ran 4th 15/2

26 Jan 15 Ludlow Theatre Queen (IRE)T: Mark Wall Watch Racing Uk Anywhere Novices' Limited Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 24f · Soft · 11 ran 2nd 13/2

30 Dec 14 Taunton Theatre Queen (IRE)T: Mark Wall Steve Logan Memorial (county Contractors) Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 23f · Soft · 5 ran RR 9/4

30 May 14 Stratford Theatre Queen (IRE)T: Mark Wall pointtopoint.co.uk Champion Novices' Hunters' Chase (For The John Corbet Cup)Class 2 · 27.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 1st 11/8F

29 May 14 Worcester Bobble Emerald (IRE)T: Shaun Lycett Worcester News Standard NH Flat Race (Conditional Jockeys And Amateur Riders)Class 6 · 16f · Soft · 7 ran 2nd 7/2

03 May 14 Hexham Danners (IRE)T: Giles Smyly John Hardy 70th Birthday Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 24f · Soft · 9 ran F 11/4F

30 Apr 14 Cheltenham Theatre Queen (IRE)T: Mark Wall Thoroughbred Breeders' Association Mares' Hunters' ChaseClass 4 · 25.5f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 1st EvensF

30 Apr 14 Cheltenham Getmeouthedoldrums (GB)T: C Sands Hunt Staff Benefit Society Hunters' Chase (For The United Hunts Challenge Cup)Class 4 · 25.5f · Good To Soft · 10 ran PU 14/1

25 Apr 14 Chepstow Renta Gallery (IRE)T: Richard A Thomas Dunraven Bowl Novices' Hunters' Chase (For The Dunraven Windows South And West Wales Point-To-Point Championship)Class 5 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 14 ran PU 7/1

22 Apr 14 Ludlow Divine Intavention (IRE)T: Martin Keighley H R Smith Group Ltd Handicap ChaseClass 3 · 25.5f · Good · 9 ran 1st 9/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr M Wall's strike rate?: Mr M Wall has won 23 of 188 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 12.2% (as at 28 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Mr M Wall do best at?: Cheltenham by strike rate: 2 wins from 31 rides (6.5%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Mr M Wall's Fair A/E?: 1.05, from 187 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.