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Trainer profile

Giles Smyly

355 runners in the lifetime window · 56 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Mar 2020 100% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
24–355
Wins / Runs
6.8%
Strike rate
n=355
78 (22%)
Placed
0.91
Fair A/E
n=355 · 0.79 incl. margin
−117.75
£1 level stake
n=355 at SP · −33.2%
£200k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 30 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.91).

Deterministic profile computed from 355 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fired Oct–Nov David England: 5.2% from 97
The read

The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 5.5% strike, Fair A/E 0.74 and −55.50 to a £1 stake over 127 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. David England rode 27% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (5.2%, A/E 1.01) — the market has that partnership priced right. The record read poorly in NH Flat races — 0% over 43 runners, 6.8pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard over 1m5f – 2m: Fair A/E 0.35 across 73 runners (1.4% strike, −63.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. Seasonally, the yard fired Oct–Nov.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.6%−1.2
n=90 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −5.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
7.1%+0.3
n=28 · A/E 1.17 · £1 +8.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.8
n=29 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −29.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
9.5%+2.7
n=21 · A/E 1.37 · £1 −3.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.8
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
When favourite
29.4%
n=17 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −2.25
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.5%−1.3
n=127 · A/E 0.74 · £1 −55.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−6.8
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 25.8% vs 6.8% · n=31
In NH Flat races 0% vs 6.8% · n=43
Over 1m5f – 2m 1.4% vs 6.8% · n=73
With Mr David Maxwell 13.3% vs 6.8% · n=30
In Class 5 2% vs 6.8% · n=51
With Tom Cannon 12.1% vs 6.8% · n=33
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 162 14 8.6% −32.50
Hurdle 150 10 6.7% −42.25
NH Flat 43 0 0% −43.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 126 6 4.8% −40.75
Soft 97 8 8.2% −19.00
Good to Soft 83 5 6% −41.25
Heavy 32 3 9.4% −14.25
Good to Firm 15 2 13.3% −0.50
Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wincanton 31 3 9.7% +22.50
Warwick 27 3 11.1% +4.00
Fontwell 21 0 0% −21.00
Chepstow 18 1 5.6% −1.00
Stratford 18 1 5.6% −8.00
Huntingdon 17 3 17.6% −1.50
Towcester 17 2 11.8% +13.00
Exeter 15 1 6.7% −11.50
Uttoxeter 15 0 0% −15.00
Market Rasen 14 0 0% −14.00
Taunton 13 1 7.7% −5.50
Southwell 13 3 23.1% +22.75
Kempton 13 2 15.4% −1.75
Leicester 13 4 30.8% +9.25
Hereford 12 0 0% −12.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 4 193 19 9.8% +17.50
Class 3 69 4 5.8% −46.25
Class 5 51 1 2% −47.00
Class 6 25 0 0% −25.00
Class 2 11 0 0% −11.00
Class 1 6 0 0% −6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 20 6 30% 1.22 −1.75
2nd–3rd fav 58 7 12.1% 0.75 −20.50
4th–6th fav 94 7 7.4% 1.01 −24.50
7th+ in betting 183 4 2.2% 0.77 −71.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
75.3% completed · 312 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 162 67.3% 12 3 37 0 1
Hurdle 150 84% 4 1 19 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Le Burf (FR) 27 3 8 22 Mar 12
Plum Pudding (FR)then David Bridgwater 25 4 7 2 Apr 13
Letemgo (IRE)then Chris Gordon 22 3 7 18 May 16
Maybe Plenty (GB) 18 2 6 12 Mar 20
Taigan (FR)from Alain Couetil 17 3 7 23 Aug 16
Badger Wood (GB) 14 1 4 25 May 16
Noakarad De Verzee (FR)from Mrs Kim Smyly 14 2 5 26 Nov 13
Danners (IRE) 13 0 3 11 Apr 15
Pingaro De La Vire (FR)from Mrs Kim Smyly 13 2 4 23 Feb 12
Hit The Highway (IRE)from Seamus Roche · then Chris Gordon 12 2 3 31 Jan 18
Stella's Fella (GB) 12 0 2 2 May 16
Cheltenam De Vaige (FR)then Mark Wall 9 0 2 9 Mar 17
All 56 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 56 horses listed, 24 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Mrs Kim Smyly (6); 32 had their first archived run for this yard.

16 have since run for another yard, most often for David Bridgwater (3) and Chris Gordon (2); 40 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
13845317000985
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderDavid England
27% of all rides
5.2% SR · A/E 1.01
RiderRWSR£1
David England 97 5 5.2% −1.25
Tom Cannon 33 4 12.1% −15.00
Mr David Maxwell 30 4 13.3% −10.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
25
Archived wins
£208k
Prize money
2010
Best season · 5 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Le Burf (FR) — Connaught Compliance Handicap Chase Wincanton · Jan 2009 · Class 3
£13,328
Le Burf (FR) — Raceform Update Handicap Chase Kempton · Feb 2009 · Class 3
£9,393
Plum Pudding (FR) — Ladbrokes.com Trial Handicap Chase Leicester · Feb 2010 · Class 3
£6,337
Notable horses
Le Burf (FR) Plum Pudding (FR) Letemgo (IRE) Taigan (FR) Maybe Plenty (GB) Noakarad De Verzee (FR)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Overbury (IRE) 9.4% · 3–32
Progeny have won 10.7% of 4,657 runs since 2008 (423 horses).
Lute Antique (FR) 11.1% · 3–27
Progeny have won 11.4% of 254 runs since 2008 (30 horses).
Fado (FR) 16% · 4–25
Progeny have won 11.6% of 129 runs since 2008 (8 horses).
Brian Boru (GB) 13.6% · 3–22
Progeny have won 11% of 4,121 runs since 2008 (285 horses).
Panoramic (GB) 15% · 3–20
Progeny have won 12.6% of 516 runs since 2008 (50 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.2% from 122.
Septieme Ciel (USA) 0% · 0–20
Progeny have won 6.9% of 391 runs since 2008 (52 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 418 · newest first

The latest 50 of 418 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 31 January 2005 to 12 March 2020.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
12 Mar 20 Doncaster Maybe Plenty (GB)J: Ciaran Gethings MansionBet Faller Insurance Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 24f · Good · 10 ran 8th 20/1
05 Mar 20 Wincanton Fenrir Binding (GB)J: Jordan Nailor Julia Duff 60th Birthday Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Soft · 17 ran 10th 50/1
19 Dec 19 Hereford Fenrir Binding (GB)J: Jordan Nailor Appliance Solutions Ledbury Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 16f · Heavy · 14 ran 9th 100/1
25 Nov 19 Ludlow Fenrir Binding (GB)J: Dave Crosse British EBF 'National Hunt' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 21f · Soft · 12 ran PU 100/1
08 Nov 19 Warwick Fenrir Binding (GB)J: Dave Crosse Only 3000 RacingTV Free Trials Available Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 19f · Good To Soft · 13 ran 13th 100/1
09 May 19 Huntingdon Minerfortyniner (IRE)J: Jordan Nailor MansionBet Novices' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 23.5f · Good · 7 ran PU 8/1
22 Apr 19 Huntingdon Edabean (IRE)J: Harry Reed MansionBet Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20.5f · Good · 9 ran 4th 50/1
10 Apr 19 Warwick Minerfortyniner (IRE)J: Jordan Nailor Brian Overson Stephen Allday Perpetual Plate Chase (Novices' Limited Handicap)Class 4 · 24f · Good · 7 ran 4th 8/1
28 Mar 19 Warwick Fenrir Binding (GB)J: Dave Crosse Bet At racingtv.com Maiden Open NH Flat RaceClass 5 · 16f · Good · 12 ran 6th 50/1
26 Mar 19 Hereford Minerfortyniner (IRE)J: Jordan Nailor S & A Produce Novices' ChaseClass 4 · 25f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 7/1
20 Mar 19 Chepstow Maybe Plenty (GB)J: James Bowen Brett Martin Daylight Systems Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 26f · Soft · 16 ran 6th 12/1
09 Mar 19 Hereford Maybe Plenty (GB)J: James Bowen MansionBet Mares' Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 25f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 5th 7/2
28 Feb 19 Ludlow Edabean (IRE)J: Jordan Nailor Watch Racing TV Now Conditional Jockeys' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Good · 7 ran PU 33/1
27 Feb 19 Wincanton Big Bang De Loire (FR)J: Mr David Maxwell Frome Scaffolding Group Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran UR 16/1
17 Feb 19 Huntingdon Big Bang De Loire (FR)J: Mr David Maxwell Download The MansionBet App Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 23.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran PU 16/1
21 Jan 19 Warwick Maybe Plenty (GB)J: James Bowen Trial Racing TV For Free Now Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 25.5f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 6th 8/1
14 Jan 19 Fontwell Minerfortyniner (IRE)J: Jordan Nailor 'Goodwin Racing Call 08000 421 321' Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Good To Soft · 12 ran 4th 16/1
22 Dec 18 Ascot Minerfortyniner (IRE)J: Mikey Hamill Foundation Developments Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 23.5f · Soft · 13 ran 12th 16/1
19 Dec 18 Ludlow Edabean (IRE)J: Mikey Hamill Tanners Burgundy 'National Hunt' Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16f · Soft · 11 ran 5th 100/1
15 Dec 18 Hereford Maybe Plenty (GB)J: James Bowen Drive A George Smith Horsebox Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 25f · Soft · 14 ran 3rd 9/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Giles Smyly's strike rate?
Giles Smyly has won 24 of 355 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.8% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Giles Smyly do best at?
Wincanton by strike rate: 3 wins from 31 runners (9.7%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Giles Smyly?
David England, with 97 runners since 2008 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (5.2%).
What is Giles Smyly's Fair A/E?
0.91, from 355 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).