What is Stuart Crawford's strike rate?

Stuart Crawford has won 92 of 1,112 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Stuart Crawford do best at?

Ayr by strike rate: 24 wins from 152 runners (15.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Stuart Crawford?

J J Slevin, with 301 runners since 2022 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 28 (9.3%).

Is Stuart Crawford in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Stuart Crawford's Fair A/E?

0.87, from 1,112 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Stuart Crawford

1,112 runners in the last 5 seasons · 213 individual horses

As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 4 days ago 95% of runners over jumps

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

from 1 Jan 2022

92–1,112

Wins / Runs

8.3%

Strike rate

n=1,112

300 (27%)

Placed

0.87

Fair A/E

n=1,112 · 0.74 incl. margin

−280.26

£1 level stake

n=1,112 at SP · −25.2%

£1.64m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

6.4%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 220 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 8% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.87).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,112 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 1 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fires Oct–Nov Fresh horses: 8.5% 33.3% when favourite J J Slevin: 9.3% from 301 Sends off the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Ayr (15.8%, n=152), clear of the yard's 8.3% baseline. In Group and Graded company the record reads poorly at 3.4% (n=87, Fair A/E 0.58). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 5.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.68 and −108.05 to a £1 stake over 313 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. J J Slevin rides 27% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (9.3%, A/E 0.99) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well in Class 4 (16.2%, n=216). The record reads poorly beyond 3m — 0% over 34 runners, 8.3pts below the baseline. 7 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Paddy Mullins Mares Handicap Hurdle at Leopardstown (Feb 2024, £59,000). The stable star of the record: Fine Rightly (IRE) — 8 wins from 33 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fires Oct–Nov.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.3% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

8.5%+0.2

n=258 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −33.09

New recruits · first run for the yard

15%+6.7

n=20 · A/E 1.63 · £1 +34.00

Debutants · first career start

6.5%−1.8

n=154 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −66.99

First-time headgear · true-first definition

7.7%−0.6

n=91 · A/E 0.99 · £1 −11.13

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

15%+6.7

n=20 · A/E 2.03 · £1 −3.00

When favourite

33.3%

n=72 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −12.22

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5.8%−2.5

n=313 · A/E 0.68 · £1 −108.05

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

3.4%−4.9

n=87 · A/E 0.58 · £1 −10.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

In Class 4 16.2% vs 8.3% · n=216

With Daryl Jacob 16.3% vs 8.3% · n=135

At Ayr 15.8% vs 8.3% · n=152

On last-time-out winners 15.7% vs 8.3% · n=83

With C&D winners 16.3% vs 8.3% · n=43

Beyond 3m 0% vs 8.3% · n=34

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Hurdle 684 59 8.6% −137.08

Chase 192 13 6.8% −117.93

NH Flat 178 15 8.4% −31.00

Flat 58 5 8.6% +5.75

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Soft 472 38 8.1% −160.86

Good 257 19 7.4% −118.16

Good to Soft 240 20 8.3% +3.59

Heavy 126 12 9.5% −24.83

Standard (AW) 15 2 13.3% +13.00

Good to Firm 2 1 50% +7.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Down Royal 173 10 5.8% −84.63

Ayr 152 24 15.8% −46.82

Perth 101 12 11.9% +34.32

Downpatrick 87 6 6.9% −30.75

Navan 86 2 2.3% −53.00

Fairyhouse 74 5 6.8% −16.75

Punchestown 68 1 1.5% −42.00

Naas 49 2 4.1% −38.00

Leopardstown 29 4 13.8% +54.50

Kelso 25 5 20% +34.13

Carlisle 24 2 8.3% −14.50

Musselburgh 21 3 14.3% −0.63

Haydock 18 1 5.6% −14.00

Kilbeggan 16 1 6.3% −7.00

Dundalk (AW) 14 2 14.3% +14.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 4 216 35 16.2% +44.67

Class 1 96 3 3.1% −19.00

Class 3 88 11 12.5% −13.80

Class 2 54 6 11.1% −2.00

Class 5 45 4 8.9% −13.25

Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 84 28 33.3% 1.02 −7.97

2nd–3rd fav 243 26 10.7% 0.64 −124.29

4th–6th fav 362 24 6.6% 0.93 −112.00

7th+ in betting 423 14 3.3% 1.25 −36.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header

86.1% completed · 876 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)

CodeRCompFURPUBDOth

Chase 192 76.6% 8 9 28 0 0

Hurdle 684 88.7% 17 13 43 3 1

Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Now Where Or When (IRE) 22 3 7 1 May 26

Bleu D'enfer (FR)then Donald McCain 22 2 10 19 Apr 25

Park Annonciade (FR)then Sarah Humphrey 21 3 6 15 May 25

Carnfunnock (IRE) 20 3 7 2 May 26

Ottizzini (IRE)from Patrick Eugene Turley 20 3 8 5 Mar 26

Step Out (IRE) 18 1 7 5 May 25

Paddy Elvis (IRE) 18 0 4 9 Sep 24

Kinbara Firstdraft (IRE)then Leonard Kerr 17 2 4 14 May 26

The Flier Begley (IRE)then Gary Hanmer 16 1 6 6 May 24

Ayiko (GB) 15 2 6 18 Apr 26

I Love My Baie (FR) 15 4 8 6 Dec 25

Maimie's Magic (IRE) 15 2 4 11 Nov 24

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 213 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 7 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 9 arrived from another yard in our archive; 51 had their first archived run for this yard.

21 have since run for another yard, most often for Gary Hanmer (2) and T Ellis (2); 39 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

0 from 1

Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

1483671079710156

A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJ J Slevin

27% of all rides
9.3% SR · A/E 0.99

RiderRWSR£1

J J Slevin 301 28 9.3% −37.50

Mr S Connor 173 11 6.4% −20.55

Daryl Jacob 135 22 16.3% −51.69

Sam Ewing 73 2 2.7% −64.75

Ben Bromley 55 5 9.1% −28.75

Danny Mullins 38 2 5.3% −24.50

Mr B G Crawford 37 2 5.4% +7.25

Brian Hughes 32 3 9.4% −24.89

James Bowen 31 4 12.9% +6.12

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→

272

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£3.47m

Prize money

2014

Best season · 30 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Brucio (GB) — Irish Stallion Farms Ebf Paddy Mullins Mares Handicap Hurdle (Listed) Leopardstown · Feb 2024 · Listed

£59,000

Lily Du Berlais (GB) — Coolmore N.H. Sires Santiago Irish EBF Mares I.N.H. Flat Race (Grade 2) Leopardstown · Feb 2022 · Grade 2

£59,000

Oh Jackie (IRE) — Avon Ri Corporate & Leisure Resort La Touche Cup Chase Punchestown · Apr 2008

£32,550

Notable horses

Fine Rightly (IRE) Now This Is It (IRE) Baby Bach (IRE) O'toole (IRE) Trucking Along (IRE) Now Where Or When (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Getaway (GER) 12.2% · 6–49

Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,962 runs since 2008 (1,029 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.1% from 134.

Authorized (IRE) 12.8% · 6–47

Progeny have won 13.5% of 7,030 runs since 2008 (543 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 9.3% from 1,044. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 19.8% from 126. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.4% from 267.

Shirocco (GER) 11.4% · 4–35

Progeny have won 11.2% of 9,177 runs since 2008 (921 horses). Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 7.4% from 203.

Libertarian (GB) 0% · 0–34

Progeny have won 7.5% of 558 runs since 2008 (74 horses).

Turgeon (USA) 15.2% · 5–33

Progeny have won 12.3% of 3,189 runs since 2008 (341 horses). Weakest beyond 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 268.

Fame And Glory (GB) 12.5% · 4–32

Progeny have won 12.5% of 6,209 runs since 2008 (504 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,037 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,037 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 24 April 2007 to 28 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

28 Oct 26 Dundalk (AW) (IRE) Courtier (IRE)J: Gavin Ryan Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden7f · Standard · 11 ran 10th 200/1

14 Oct 26 Punchestown (IRE) Green Heritage (IRE)J: J J Slevin Irish Stallion Farms EBF Academy Hurdle19f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 5/4F

10 Oct 26 Fairyhouse (IRE) Takenasred (IRE)J: Sam Ewing Winter Festival Early Bird Tickets On Sale Now Beginners Steeplechase16.5f · Good · 6 ran 5th 18/1

10 Oct 26 Naas (IRE) Island Bloom (IRE)J: J M Sheridan Irish EBF Maiden (Smullen Series)8f · Soft · 18 ran 13th 10/1

09 Oct 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Oh Janey (IRE)J: J J Slevin McGrady Financial Services Beginners Steeplechase19.5f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 5/1

19 Sep 26 Gowran Park (IRE) Courtier (IRE)J: James Ryan Irish EBF (C & G) Maiden (Smullen Series)8f · Yielding To Soft · 12 ran 12th 125/1

18 Sep 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Loves A Laugh (IRE)J: Miss H Ross Dunleath Flat Race18f · Good · 12 ran 4th 10/1

17 Sep 26 Naas (IRE) Island Bloom (IRE)J: J M Sheridan Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden7f · Yielding · 15 ran 3rd 40/1

07 Sep 26 Galway (IRE) Mongibello (GB)J: J J Slevin Watch Every Irish Race Live On Racing TV Beginners Steeplechase18f · Soft · 6 ran 2nd 12/1

31 Aug 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Ritz Plan (IRE)J: J J Slevin North Down Marquees Maiden Hurdle22f · Good · 9 ran 4th 9/2

31 Aug 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Tullynakill (IRE)J: J J Slevin Randox Maiden Hurdle18f · Good · 9 ran F 10/1

21 Aug 26 Kilbeggan (IRE) Bellahill (GB)J: Mr S Connor John Thomas McNamara Series Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 11 ran 2nd 4/1

09 Aug 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Loves A Laugh (IRE)J: Miss H Ross Alan Dunlop, 90th Birthday Flat Race19f · Good · 6 ran 3rd 7/2

09 Aug 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Oh Janey (IRE)J: Sam Ewing Franco Hughes Away Bet Mares Handicap Hurdle22f · Good · 10 ran 8th 10/1

14 Jul 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Loves A Laugh (IRE)J: Miss H Ross Downpatrick Racecourse Family Funday Supporters Flat Race19f · Good · 10 ran 3rd 25/1

14 Jul 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Oh Janey (IRE)J: Sam Ewing Tote Guarantee, Never Beaten By SP Handicap Hurdle22f · Good · 13 ran 5th 18/1

14 Jul 26 Downpatrick (IRE) Ritz Plan (IRE)J: J J Slevin ITBA Mares Maiden Hurdle18f · Good · 11 ran 7th 8/1

14 Jun 26 Downpatrick Irish Lace (IRE)J: Mr S Connor Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race18f · Good · 8 ran 1st 5/1

13 Jun 26 Downpatrick Dorking Cock (IRE)J: John Shinnick Join Racing TV Now With A Free Trial Handicap Chase19.5f · Good · 14 ran PU 40/1

08 Jun 26 Roscommon Ritz Plan (IRE)J: P J O'Hanlon Garvey's Bar, Ballintubber Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding To Soft · 11 ran 4th 10/3

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 9 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0, 1 did not run) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0, 1 did not run) · to 30 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is Stuart Crawford's strike rate?: Stuart Crawford has won 92 of 1,112 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Stuart Crawford do best at?: Ayr by strike rate: 24 wins from 152 runners (15.8%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Stuart Crawford?: J J Slevin, with 301 runners since 2022 — 27% of the total. That pairing has won 28 (9.3%).
Is Stuart Crawford in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Stuart Crawford's Fair A/E?: 0.87, from 1,112 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.