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Jockey profile

Mr Samuel Davies-Thomas

90 rides in the lifetime window · 66 individual horses
As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Mar 2018 100% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2013→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
17–90
Wins / Runs
18.9%
Strike rate
n=90
33 (37%)
Placed
1.02
Fair A/E
n=89 · 0.89 incl. margin
−33.15
£1 level stake
n=90 at SP · −36.8%
£73,236
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB at a glance Claiming: 19.8%

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 18.9% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
12.1%−6.8
n=66 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −40.69
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
25%+6.1
n=16 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −5.87
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
12.8%−6.1
n=39 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −16.50
When favourite
34.8%
n=23 · A/E 0.84 · £1 −6.98
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
19.8%+0.9
n=86 · A/E 1.03 · £1 −29.15
Big fields · 14+ runners
9.1%−9.8
n=11 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −9.60

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 18.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On first rides for the horse 12.1% vs 18.9% · n=66
On Good going 11.6% vs 18.9% · n=43
In Class 6 23.8% vs 18.9% · n=42
Off a break of 180+ days 14.3% vs 18.9% · n=35
Over 2m5f – 3m 22.9% vs 18.9% · n=35
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 74 14 18.9% −23.38
Hurdle 13 3 23.1% −6.77
NH Flat 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 43 5 11.6% −20.37
Soft 24 6 25% −9.52
Good to Soft 13 2 15.4% −8.09
Heavy 6 1 16.7% +0.50
Good to Firm 4 3 75% +4.33

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Cheltenham 11 0 0% −11.00
Fakenham 10 3 30% +1.83
Fontwell 9 4 44.4% +1.82
Southwell 8 1 12.5% −2.50
Stratford 6 0 0% −6.00
Towcester 5 2 40% −0.33
Wincanton 4 0 0% −4.00
Hereford 3 2 66.7% +4.90
Leicester 3 0 0% −3.00
Ludlow 3 0 0% −3.00
Market Rasen 3 0 0% −3.00
Bangor-on-Dee 3 0 0% −3.00
Sedgefield 3 2 66.7% +1.80
Wetherby 2 0 0% −2.00
Warwick 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 42 10 23.8% −9.71
Class 5 17 4 23.5% +0.33
Class 4 16 2 12.5% −12.77
Class 3 10 1 10% −6.00
Class 2 4 0 0% −4.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 23 8 34.8% 0.84 −6.98
2nd–3rd fav 28 8 28.6% 1.55 +5.83
4th–6th fav 22 1 4.5% 0.65 −15.00
7th+ in betting 17 0 0% 0.00 −17.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
75.9% completed · 87 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 74 71.6% 0 1 19 0 1
Hurdle 13 100% 0 0 0 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Toby Lerone (IRE) 5 2 3 29 Jan 18
Master Workman (IRE) 5 2 2 9 Jun 17
Kikos (FR) 5 0 1 7 Jun 13
Open Hearted (GB) 3 0 1 16 May 17
Mr Raj (IRE) 3 2 2 4 May 17
Bay To Go (IRE) 3 1 1 30 Apr 14
Cobra De Mai (FR) 2 1 2 11 May 17
Murrayana (IRE) 2 0 0 5 May 17
Master Jake (IRE) 2 1 2 17 Mar 17
Kimora (IRE) 2 1 1 12 May 16
Chartreux (FR) 2 0 0 13 Mar 16
Zacharova (IRE) 2 0 0 1 May 13
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 66 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
082620300··0··0
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
TrainerRWSR£1
Dan Skelton 25 6 24% −6.10
David Kemp 7 3 42.9% +2.74
Mrs K Lee 5 0 0% −5.00
N A Pearce 4 0 0% −4.00
Mrs H M Kemp 3 1 33.3% +2.50
Tommy Morgan 3 0 0% −3.00
Thomas Gallagher 3 2 66.7% +5.80
Louise Allan 2 1 50% −0.09
Miss V Collins 2 1 50% +1.50
Mrs Jo Messenger 2 0 0% −2.00
Caroline Bailey 2 0 0% −2.00
Mrs Julie Marles 2 0 0% −2.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2013→
17
Archived wins
£73,236
Prize money
2017
Best season · 14 wins
Master Jake (IRE) — Easter Monday Racing At Fakenham Novices' Handicap Chase Fakenham · Mar 2017 · Class 3
£6,708
Aintree My Dream (FR) — 188bet Enhanced Place Terms Novices' Hurdle Hereford · Mar 2017 · Class 4
£4,549
Cobra De Mai (FR) — Weatherbys Bank Handicap Hurdle Worcester · May 2017 · Class 4
£3,379
Notable horses
Toby Lerone (IRE) Master Workman (IRE) Mr Raj (IRE) Bay To Go (IRE) Cobra De Mai (FR) Master Jake (IRE)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Old Vic (GB) 33.3% · 2–6
Progeny have won 11.7% of 6,916 runs since 2008 (630 horses).
Posidonas (GB) 33.3% · 2–6
Progeny have won 6.4% of 234 runs since 2008 (25 horses).
Nikos (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 12.9% of 628 runs since 2008 (57 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 17.7% from 130. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 8.8% from 147.
Oscar (IRE) 50% · 2–4
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,543 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Generous (IRE) 0% · 0–3
Progeny have won 10.7% of 3,332 runs since 2008 (251 horses).
King's Theatre (IRE) 33.3% · 1–3
Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 90 · newest first

The latest 50 of 90 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 16 January 2013 to 16 March 2018.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
16 Mar 18 Cheltenham Top Wood (FR)T: Kelly Morgan St. James's Place Foxhunter Challenge Cup Open Hunters' ChaseClass 2 · 26.5f · Soft · 24 ran 2nd 50/1
09 Feb 18 Bangor-on-Dee Silver Roque (FR)T: Mary Vestey John Hewitt Memorial Open Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 20.5f · Heavy · 13 ran PU 7/1
29 Jan 18 Hereford Toby Lerone (IRE)T: Dan Skelton Festival Preview Night 1st March Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 21f · Soft · 12 ran PU 4/1
01 Dec 17 Limerick Paper Lantern (IRE)T: Karl Thornton Britain V Ireland (Q.R.) Challenge Handicap Hurdle (80-109)21f · Soft · 7 ran 4th 9/2
09 Sep 17 Stratford Mister Universum (GER)T: Dan Skelton Vote Stratford Racing Post Readers Award Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 3rd 4/5F
07 Sep 17 Sedgefield Gibson Park (GB)T: Dan Skelton Alice Bendle Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 17f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 11/4F
09 Jun 17 Stratford Master Workman (IRE)T: David Kemp Pertemps Network Stratford Foxhunters Champion Hunters' Chase (The 59th Running)Class 2 · 27.5f · Good · 10 ran 8th 20/1
09 Jun 17 Stratford Decade Player (IRE)T: Kelly Morgan Foxdenton Gins Open Hunters' ChaseClass 5 · 17f · Good · 10 ran 6th 9/1
09 Jun 17 Stratford Robin Des People (IRE)T: Mrs Amber Mathias Subaru 'Restricted Point-to-Point' Series Final (Novices' Hunters' Chase)Class 3 · 22.5f · Good · 14 ran 8th 12/1
08 Jun 17 Bangor-on-Dee Holryale (IRE)T: Dan Skelton Watch Racing UK On Youview Now Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 6 · 16.5f · Good To Soft · 5 ran 2nd 1/2F
06 Jun 17 Southwell I'll Be Your Clown (IRE)T: Dan Skelton 7bets4free.com Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 15.5f · Soft · 3 ran 3rd 5/4F
02 Jun 17 Market Rasen Abidjan (FR)T: Dan Skelton J&C Developments Ltd Handicap HurdleClass 3 · 18.5f · Good · 5 ran 3rd 6/4F
02 Jun 17 Market Rasen Azzuri (GB)T: Dan Skelton C&L Fairburn Property Developments Ltd Novices' HurdleClass 4 · 16.5f · Good · 3 ran 2nd 4/11F
19 May 17 Aintree Roll Of The Dice (IRE)T: Dan Skelton Goffs Spring Sales P2P Bumper Standard NH Flat Race (Amateurs)Class 3 · 17f · Good · 10 ran 4th 3/1F
18 May 17 Fontwell Curraigflemens (IRE)T: David Kemp Peter Mendoza Memorial 'Jellyfish' Grassroots Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 21f · Soft · 5 ran 1st 10/11F
18 May 17 Fontwell Sybarite (FR)T: Miss V Collins Porto Racing Specialist Horse Racing Saddlery Novices' Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 25.5f · Soft · 7 ran 5th 9/4
18 May 17 Fontwell Queen Olivia (GB)T: Miss V Collins racebets.com Mares' Open Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 25.5f · Soft · 4 ran 1st 5/2
16 May 17 Southwell Workbench (FR)T: Dan Skelton Nigel Franklin Topline Fencing Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20.5f · Good · 7 ran 4th 8/1
16 May 17 Southwell Open Hearted (GB)T: Dan Skelton South Notts Hunt Open Hunters' ChaseClass 6 · 20.5f · Good · 4 ran 2nd 10/11F
15 May 17 Towcester Goodnight Charlie (GB)T: Caroline Fryer totetrifecta Amateur Riders' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 19f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 1st 2/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Mr Samuel Davies-Thomas's strike rate?
Mr Samuel Davies-Thomas has won 17 of 90 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 18.9% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Mr Samuel Davies-Thomas's Fair A/E?
1.02, from 89 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 6 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).