Skip to content
Trainer profile

David Kemp

32 runners in the last 5 seasons · 5 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner May 2025 100% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2022
9–32
Wins / Runs
28.1%
Strike rate
n=32
18 (56%)
Placed
1.30
n=32 · 1.13 incl. margin
−1.61
£1 level stake
n=32 at SP · −5.0%
£50,184
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
50%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 28.1% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
33.3%+5.2
n=12 · A/E 1.42 · £1 −0.87
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−28.1
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−28.1
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−28.1
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−28.1
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
When favourite
40%
n=10 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −0.49
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
36%+7.9
n=25 · A/E 1.44 · £1 +5.39

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 28.1% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 22 6 27.3% −3.11
Soft 7 2 28.6% −1.00
Heavy 2 0 0% −2.00
Good to Soft 1 1 100% +4.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Cheltenham 12 3 25% −0.62
Stratford 8 1 12.5% −5.62
Fakenham 4 1 25% +0.00
Leicester 2 1 50% +0.50
Newbury 2 1 50% +3.50
Southwell 1 1 100% +1.25
Wetherby 1 0 0% −1.00
Ascot 1 1 100% +1.38
Aintree 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 12 7 58.3% +13.63
Class 4 11 2 18.2% −6.24
Class 2 7 0 0% −7.00
Class 3 1 0 0% −1.00
Class 6 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 10 4 40% 1.14 −0.49
2nd–3rd fav 15 5 33.3% 1.67 +5.88
4th–6th fav 6 0 0% 0.00 −6.00
7th+ in betting 1 0 0% 0.00 −1.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
68.8% completed · 32 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 32 68.8% 0 1 8 1 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Rebel Dawn Rising (IRE) 14 6 8 30 May 25
Law Of Gold (IRE) 11 2 6 30 May 25
Caryto Des Brosses (FR) 5 1 3 3 May 24
Clara Sorrento (FR)from Noel Meade 1 0 1 2 Jun 23
How To Get Away (IRE) 1 0 0 29 Apr 22
All 5 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 5 horses listed, 1 arrived from another yard in our archive; 4 had their first archived run for this yard.

None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
·0710290······
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
RiderRWSR£1
Mr Dale Peters 28 9 32.1% +2.39
Mr Alex Chadwick 2 0 0% −2.00
Mr Rupert Stearn 1 0 0% −1.00
Tristan Durrell 1 0 0% −1.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
30
Archived wins
£149k
Prize money
2017
Best season · 4 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Moroman (IRE) — Pertemps Network Stratford Foxhunters Champion Hunters' Chase (57th Running) Stratford · May 2015 · Class 2
£14,990
Law Of Gold (IRE) — pointtopoint.co.uk Champion Novices' Hunters' Chase (For The John Corbet Cup) Stratford · May 2019 · Class 2
£11,992
Law Of Gold (IRE) — Pertemps Network Stratford Foxhunters Champion Hunters' Chase Stratford · May 2021 · Class 2
£9,778

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Getaway (GER) 40% · 6–15
Progeny have won 11.3% of 10,918 runs since 2008 (1,028 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 23.7% from 131.
Gold Well (GB) 18.2% · 2–11
Progeny have won 12.2% of 5,648 runs since 2008 (363 horses).
Maresca Sorrento (FR) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 10.1% of 1,431 runs since 2008 (182 horses). Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 14.2% from 323.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 124 · newest first

The latest 50 of 124 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 18 February 2005 to 30 May 2025.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is David Kemp's strike rate?
David Kemp has won 9 of 32 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 28.1% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is David Kemp's Fair A/E?
1.30, from 32 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).