Nick Slatter
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rides around 40 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 13% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.31). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 27% (30 rides). Rides mostly for David Killahena & Graeme McPherson — 72% of rides in the window.
Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 26.7% (n=30, Fair A/E 1.22). Claiming rides are the standout value angle: 13.4% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.33 and +1.34 to a £1 stake over 202 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. David Killahena & Graeme McPherson supplies 72% of the rides and edges the rider's average (15.4% vs 12.9%, A/E 1.48) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The market has also underrated the rider in Class 5: Fair A/E 1.48 across 98 rides (15.3% strike, +13.84 to a £1 stake). The record reads poorly off a 31-60-day break — 8.6% over 58 rides, 4.3pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Pertemps Network Swinton Handicap Hurdle at Haydock (May 2026, £45,560).
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 12.9% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleBy month
strike by month, 5 seasonsRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2009→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 606 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 606 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 6 May 2009 to 1 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this rider’s mounts since 10 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 2 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 31 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is Nick Slatter's strike rate?
- Nick Slatter has won 29 of 224 rides since 2022, a strike rate of 12.9% (as at 2 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which yard does Nick Slatter ride most for?
- David Killahena & Graeme McPherson, with 162 rides since 2022 — 72% of the total. That pairing has won 25 (15.4%).
- Is Nick Slatter in form?
- Too few rides in the last 14 days to read — 4 rides, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is Nick Slatter's Fair A/E?
- 1.31, from 223 rides with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.