David Killahena & Graeme McPherson
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Sends out around 100 runners a season, winning with 17% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.42).
New recruits from other stables on their first run struggle at 12.1% (n=33, Fair A/E 1.36). Horses returning fresh after 61+ days are the standout value angle: 17.6% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.54 and +53.43 to a £1 stake over 108 runners — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Nick Slatter rides 33% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (15.7%, A/E 1.51) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The yard also reads well in Class 3 (26.7%, n=30) and off a 61-180-day break (23.1%, n=65). The record reads poorly off a break of 180+ days — 9.3% over 43 runners, 7.2pts below the baseline. 2 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Pertemps Network Swinton Handicap Hurdle at Haydock (May 2026, £45,560). The stable star of the record: Moon Chime (GB) — 8 wins from 22 runs for the yard.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 16.5% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 16.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Jumping record
completion over obstacles · same window as headerHorses trained
same window as header · most-raced firstCurrent form
significance-gatedLast 14 days
Small sampleWhen the yard fires
strike by month, 5 seasonsJockey bookings
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2023→Sires in the string
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 498 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 498 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 18 July 2023 to 7 November 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
KTB’s figures
the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 10 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 3 runs (won 0) · top-rated on KTB Rating in 1 run (won 0) · fastest on KTB Speed in 1 run (won 0) · to 31 Oct 2026.
Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.
Quick answers
- What is David Killahena & Graeme McPherson's strike rate?
- David Killahena & Graeme McPherson has won 82 of 498 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 16.5% (as at 11 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does David Killahena & Graeme McPherson do best at?
- Stratford by strike rate: 6 wins from 35 runners (17.1%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Who rides most for David Killahena & Graeme McPherson?
- Nick Slatter, with 166 runners since 2022 — 33% of the total. That pairing has won 26 (15.7%).
- Is David Killahena & Graeme McPherson in form?
- Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 9 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
- What is David Killahena & Graeme McPherson's Fair A/E?
- 1.42, from 496 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.