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Jockey profile

Patrick Mangan

1,593 rides in the lifetime window · 642 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Jul 2018 99% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
84–1,593
Wins / Runs
5.3%
Strike rate
n=1,593
304 (19%)
Placed
0.85
Fair A/E
n=1,592 · 0.65 incl. margin
−817.49
£1 level stake
n=1,593 at SP · −51.3%
£1.30m
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 140 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 5% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.85). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 14% (88 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 1,593 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance 25.4% when favourite James Joseph Mangan: 5.6% from 409 LTO winners: 13.6% Claiming: 6.3% Rode the favourite in 4% of races
The read

It is weakest at Gowran Park (1.2% over 81 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 13.6% (n=88, Fair A/E 1.09). The market has consistently overbet horses returning fresh after 61+ days: 3.8% strike, Fair A/E 0.72 and −242.13 to a £1 stake over 366 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. James Joseph Mangan supplied 26% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (5.6%, A/E 0.76). 7 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the rider has landed: the Fame And Glory & Sans Frontieres Coolmore National Hunt Sires E.B.F. Mares Novice Chase at Thurles (Jan 2013, £34,125).

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 5.3% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
3.9%−1.4
n=641 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −406.40
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
13.6%+8.3
n=88 · A/E 1.09 · £1 −18.22
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
3.8%−1.5
n=366 · A/E 0.72 · £1 −242.13
When favourite
25.4%
n=63 · A/E 1.07 · £1 −10.28
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
6.3%+1.0
n=851 · A/E 0.94 · £1 −335.77
Big fields · 14+ runners
4%−1.3
n=1,011 · A/E 0.80 · £1 −598.44
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
6.6%+1.3
n=106 · A/E 0.96 · £1 −21.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 5.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On last-time-out winners 13.6% vs 5.3% · n=88
With J Morrison 13% vs 5.3% · n=77
With C&D winners 12.7% vs 5.3% · n=71
With debutants 0% vs 5.3% · n=95
With Edmond Kent 0% vs 5.3% · n=31
At Gowran Park 1.2% vs 5.3% · n=81
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 1,046 58 5.5% −550.74
Chase 518 24 4.6% −258.75
NH Flat 21 1 4.8% −4.00
Flat 8 1 12.5% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 487 21 4.3% −250.52
Heavy 475 32 6.7% −265.47
Good 401 16 4% −239.00
Good to Firm 134 7 5.2% −31.00
Good to Soft 80 6 7.5% −37.50
Firm 14 2 14.3% +8.00
Standard (AW) 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Limerick 203 13 6.4% −107.15
Cork 167 7 4.2% −105.67
Clonmel 128 11 8.6% −52.92
Tramore 126 10 7.9% −42.75
Thurles 121 8 6.6% −43.00
Gowran Park 81 1 1.2% −73.00
Punchestown 76 2 2.6% −59.25
Fairyhouse 75 2 2.7% −60.50
Killarney 74 3 4.1% −51.50
Listowel 64 4 6.3% −24.75
Tipperary 61 3 4.9% −16.50
Kilbeggan 56 1 1.8% −43.00
Wexford 54 3 5.6% +3.00
Galway 50 3 6% −21.00
Naas 44 1 2.3% −33.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 108 7 6.5% −23.00
Class 2 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 81 21 25.9% 1.14 −6.90
2nd–3rd fav 216 31 14.4% 1.13 −15.09
4th–6th fav 377 16 4.2% 0.65 −176.50
7th+ in betting 919 16 1.7% 0.57 −619.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
87.9% completed · 1,564 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 518 82.2% 42 14 31 3 2
Hurdle 1,046 90.7% 28 9 50 6 4
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Castle Wings (IRE) 21 2 11 9 Mar 14
Noras Fancy (IRE) 20 4 9 7 Apr 13
Ever Dreaming (USA) 18 2 5 9 May 13
The Grey Guy (IRE) 17 2 6 24 Mar 18
Invincible Don (IRE) 15 2 6 26 Sep 15
Truckin All Night (IRE) 15 2 3 12 Feb 15
Quarryvale (IRE) 15 3 8 7 Feb 13
Rossa Parks (IRE) 14 1 4 18 Aug 13
Gold Cygnet (IRE) 14 1 2 23 Apr 12
Conna Cross (IRE) 13 1 5 1 Jan 18
Cyprusormilan (GB) 13 1 4 7 Jul 13
Forjoetheplumber (IRE) 13 0 9 20 May 12
Showing the 60 most-raced of the 642 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 6 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
576455546657
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardJames Joseph Mangan
26% of all rides
5.6% SR · A/E 0.76
TrainerRWSR£1
James Joseph Mangan 409 23 5.6% −207.96
E J O'Grady 273 16 5.9% −176.30
J Morrison 77 10 13% +21.75
Sean Aherne 48 2 4.2% −9.00
Edmond Kent 31 0 0% −31.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2007→
84
Archived wins
7
Pattern / graded wins
£1.30m
Prize money
2011
Best season · 25 wins
This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Noras Fancy (IRE) — Fame And Glory & Sans Frontieres Coolmore National Hunt Sires E.B.F. Mares Novice Chase (Grade 2) Thurles · Jan 2013 · Grade 2
£34,125
Cry For The Moon (USA) — Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle (Grade B) Killarney · May 2013 · Grade B
£32,500
Much Acclaimed (IRE) — Listowel Races Supporters Club Lartigue Hurdle (Grade C Handicap) Listowel · Sep 2011 · Grade C
£29,250
Notable horses
Noras Fancy (IRE) Quarryvale (IRE) Ghareer (IRE) Irish Soul (IRE) Castle Wings (IRE) Ever Dreaming (USA)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Beneficial (GB) 5.7% · 5–87
Progeny have won 10.5% of 17,043 runs since 2008 (1,155 horses).
Flemensfirth (USA) 4.6% · 3–65
Progeny have won 11.9% of 17,274 runs since 2008 (1,594 horses).
Oscar (IRE) 4.8% · 3–63
Progeny have won 10.9% of 16,542 runs since 2008 (1,456 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 18.1% from 105.
Dr Massini (IRE) 3.3% · 2–61
Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,942 runs since 2008 (406 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14% from 421.
Cloudings (IRE) 7.3% · 4–55
Progeny have won 10.5% of 3,882 runs since 2008 (309 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.6% from 410. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 7.5% from 815.
Definite Article (GB) 10.9% · 6–55
Progeny have won 10.5% of 5,617 runs since 2008 (527 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 5.1% from 138. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 4.3% from 211.
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,596 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,596 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 16 December 2007 to 13 July 2018.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
13 Jul 18 Cork Choice Of Diamonds (IRE)T: Sean Aherne Whitechurch Gaa Goes Racing Maiden Hurdle16f · Good To Firm · 19 ran PU 125/1
23 Jun 18 Gowran Park Milldawn (IRE)T: James Joseph Mangan Kullens Kitchen Thomastown Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 17 ran 17th 50/1
04 Jun 18 Listowel Lacouzette (IRE)T: Mrs Maureen Danagher Kingdom Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 16 ran F 100/1
02 Jun 18 Tramore Miss Bemo (IRE)T: Martin Hurley Waterford & Tramore Racecourse Annual Members Mares Beginners Chase16f · Good · 13 ran PU 125/1
14 May 18 Killarney Lacouzette (IRE)T: Mrs Maureen Danagher Killarney Racegoers Club Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 15 ran 15th 66/1
10 May 18 Tipperary Tias (IRE)T: W J Burke Hotel Minella Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 20 ran 15th 100/1
20 Apr 18 Limerick You Can't Catch Me (IRE)T: Kieran Purcell Panoramic Restaurant Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16f · Soft To Heavy · 18 ran 6th 25/1
01 Apr 18 Cork Montys Meadow (IRE)T: James Joseph Mangan Fbd Insurance Handicap Hurdle (0-145) (grade B)19f · Soft To Heavy · 17 ran PU 16/1
01 Apr 18 Cork Monty's Mission (IRE)T: James Joseph Mangan O'flynn Motors Mallow Mares Maiden Hurdle19f · Soft · 18 ran PU 33/1
24 Mar 18 Thurles The Grey Guy (IRE)T: Brian O'Keeffe Bill Dowling Memorial Handicap Hurdle (80-95)23f · Heavy · 14 ran 5th 8/1
22 Mar 18 Cork Ask And Answer (IRE)T: Sean Aherne Ucc Goes Racing Maiden Hurdle20f · Soft To Heavy · 9 ran 3rd 50/1
19 Mar 18 Limerick The Grey Guy (IRE)T: Brian O'Keeffe 59 Hospitality Packages At Limerick Racecourse Handicap Hurdle (80-95)24.5f · Heavy · 10 ran 7th 6/1
20 Feb 18 Clonmel Hiupinthesky (IRE)T: J P O'Keeffe Surehaul Race Day Mares Maiden Hurdle18.5f · Heavy · 12 ran 6th 33/1
30 Jan 18 Punchestown The Grey Guy (IRE)T: Brian O'Keeffe Toals.com Bookmakers Football Acca Insurance Handicap Hurdle (80-102)22f · Heavy · 13 ran 5th 14/1
11 Jan 18 Clonmel Hiupinthesky (IRE)T: J P O'Keeffe Kilsheelan Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 15 ran 9th 22/1
06 Jan 18 Cork Montys Meadow (IRE)T: James Joseph Mangan Gerardine Mccarthy Memorial Handicap Hurdle20f · Heavy · 12 ran 3rd 4/1
01 Jan 18 Tramore Conna Cross (IRE)T: James Joseph Mangan Ryan's Racecourse Services Handicap Hurdle (80-109)21f · Heavy · 10 ran 10th 5/1
01 Jan 18 Tramore Kris The Ground (IRE)T: Kevin O'Sullivan David Flynn Building Contractors Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 15 ran PU 125/1
28 Dec 17 Limerick The Grey Guy (IRE)T: Brian O'Keeffe Parkway Shopping Centre Handicap Hurdle (80-102)21f · Heavy · 12 ran 1st 5/1
27 Dec 17 Limerick Queen Ella (IRE)T: James Joseph Mangan 'David Fitzgerald - Take It Easee' Mares Maiden Hurdle18f · Heavy · 15 ran PU 100/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Patrick Mangan's strike rate?
Patrick Mangan has won 84 of 1,593 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 5.3% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Patrick Mangan do best at?
Clonmel by strike rate: 11 wins from 128 rides (8.6%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Patrick Mangan ride most for?
James Joseph Mangan, with 409 rides since 2008 — 26% of the total. That pairing has won 23 (5.6%).
What is Patrick Mangan's Fair A/E?
0.85, from 1,592 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).