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Trainer profile

James Joseph Mangan

201 runners in the last 5 seasons · 27 individual horses
As at 1 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 15 days ago 93% of runners over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
from 1 Jan 2022
13–201
Wins / Runs
6.5%
Strike rate
n=201
37 (18%)
Placed
0.85
Fair A/E
n=201 · 0.69 incl. margin
−135.92
£1 level stake
n=201 at SP · −67.6%
£456k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
25%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 40 runners a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.85).

Deterministic profile computed from 201 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 1 Nov 2026
KTB at a glance Mike O'Connor: 2.8% from 71
The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.2% (n=45, Fair A/E 0.33). Mike O'Connor rides 35% of the entries and sits below the yard's average (2.8% vs 6.5%, A/E 0.48). The yard also reads well in Chase races (12.7%, n=55) and off a 31-60-day break (9.6%, n=52). 9 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Dooley Insurance Group Champion Novice Chase at Punchestown (Apr 2024, £73,750). The stable star of the record: Conna Castle (IRE) — 10 wins from 44 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
2.2%−4.3
n=45 · A/E 0.33 · £1 −42.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−6.5
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.5
n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.5
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−6.5
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
When favourite
36.4%
n=11 · A/E 1.14 · £1 −2.92
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
2.6%−3.9
n=77 · A/E 0.47 · £1 −59.50
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
26.7%+20.2
n=15 · A/E 1.48 · £1 +3.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races. The same beliefs, tested across every yard and every GB and Irish race since 2005: Racing myths.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Chase races 12.7% vs 6.5% · n=55
With a new jockey booking 1.3% vs 6.5% · n=75
With claiming riders up 2.6% vs 6.5% · n=77
With Mike O'Connor 2.8% vs 6.5% · n=71
With horses switching code 2.7% vs 6.5% · n=37
Off a 31-60-day break 9.6% vs 6.5% · n=52
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 122 6 4.9% −83.50
Chase 55 7 12.7% −28.42
Flat 15 0 0% −15.00
NH Flat 9 0 0% −9.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 96 8 8.3% −43.45
Heavy 49 4 8.2% −37.67
Good 25 1 4% −23.80
Good to Soft 24 0 0% −24.00
Standard (AW) 5 0 0% −5.00
Good to Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Cork 41 2 4.9% −38.00
Punchestown 21 5 23.8% −0.92
Tramore 17 0 0% −17.00
Thurles 17 1 5.9% −5.00
Limerick 17 1 5.9% −11.50
Wexford 16 1 6.3% −1.00
Naas 14 1 7.1% −11.00
Tipperary 10 0 0% −10.00
Clonmel 9 0 0% −9.00
Fairyhouse 7 1 14.3% −4.25
Kilbeggan 5 0 0% −5.00
Gowran Park 5 0 0% −5.00
Dundalk (AW) 5 0 0% −5.00
Killarney 4 0 0% −4.00
Downpatrick 2 0 0% −2.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 15 4 26.7% +3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 14 6 42.9% 1.46 +3.08
2nd–3rd fav 31 5 16.1% 0.99 −10.00
4th–6th fav 48 0 0% 0.00 −48.00
7th+ in betting 108 2 1.9% 0.73 −81.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
86.4% completed · 177 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 55 85.5% 2 0 6 0 0
Hurdle 122 86.9% 1 2 13 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Mahlers Cove (IRE) 24 1 7 21 Apr 25
Arthor (IRE) 22 0 2 22 May 25
No Show (IRE)from Richard Hannon 21 1 2 5 Jul 24
Spillane's Tower (IRE) 19 6 10 9 Apr 26
Chelseas Friend (IRE) 14 0 6 15 Sep 23
Capture The Action (IRE) 11 1 2 20 May 23
Pure Steel (IRE) 8 3 4 30 Apr 26
Kates Choice (IRE)then Nikki Evans 7 0 0 11 Jul 25
Glady Max (IRE) 7 0 3 5 Feb 25
Celtic Light (IRE) 7 0 0 26 Aug 23
Kilcrea Castle (IRE) 6 0 0 27 Mar 25
Fourleaf Shamrock (IRE) 6 0 0 23 Apr 24
All 27 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 27 horses listed, 4 arrived from another yard in our archive; 23 had their first archived run for this yard.

5 have since run for another yard, most often for Nikki Evans (2); 22 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
11121030000250513
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderMike O'Connor
35% of all rides
2.8% SR · A/E 0.48
RiderRWSR£1
Mike O'Connor 71 2 2.8% −53.50
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
106
Archived wins
9
Pattern / graded wins
£1.95m
Prize money
2012
Best season · 16 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Spillane's Tower (IRE) — Dooley Insurance Group Champion Novice Chase (Grade 1) Punchestown · Apr 2024 · Grade 1
£73,750
Spillane's Tower (IRE) — Betfair Cotswold Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race) Cheltenham · Jan 2026 · Grade 2
£71,188
Conna Castle (IRE) — Powers Gold Cup Chase (Grade 1) Fairyhouse · Mar 2008 · Grade 1
£66,000
Notable horses
Conna Castle (IRE) Whinstone Boy (IRE) Spillane's Tower (IRE) Noras Fancy (IRE) Capture The Action (IRE) Kilcrea (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Mahler (GB) 4.5% · 2–44
Progeny have won 10.8% of 8,863 runs since 2008 (785 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 15.1% from 119.
Walk In The Park (IRE) 26.1% · 6–23
Progeny have won 13.3% of 7,001 runs since 2008 (699 horses).
Flemensfirth (USA) 0% · 0–22
Progeny have won 11.8% of 17,284 runs since 2008 (1,595 horses).
Showcasing (GB) 4.8% · 1–21
Progeny have won 10.2% of 11,633 runs since 2008 (998 horses). Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 109.
Westerner (GB) 0% · 0–15
Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,846 runs since 2008 (942 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.
Gold Well (GB) 9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 12.2% of 5,648 runs since 2008 (363 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 1 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 1,487 · newest first

The latest 50 of 1,487 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 January 2005 to 17 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
17 Oct 26 Limerick (IRE) Getaway Dreams (IRE)J: Mr J L Gleeson Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race17f · Good To Yielding · 8 ran 8th 66/1
06 Jul 26 Roscommon Aodha's Arrow (IRE)J: Anna McGuinness Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Ladies Pro/Am) Flat Race16f · Good · 16 ran 7th 8/1
30 Apr 26 Punchestown Pure Steel (IRE)J: Mark Walsh Barberstown Castle Novice Chase (Grade 1)16.5f · Yielding · 5 ran 4th 12/1
09 Apr 26 Aintree Spillane's Tower (IRE)J: Mark Walsh Racing Welfare Bowl Chase (Grade 1) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 25f · Good To Soft · 5 ran PU 11/2
05 Apr 26 Fairyhouse Pure Steel (IRE)J: Mark Walsh WillowWarm Gold Cup (Grade 1)20f · Yielding To Soft · 8 ran UR 16/1
15 Feb 26 Punchestown Pure Steel (IRE)J: Mark Walsh Concept Colours Noel Byrne Memorial Rated Novice Chase16.5f · Heavy · 4 ran 1st 5/6F
24 Jan 26 Cheltenham Spillane's Tower (IRE)J: Jack Kennedy Betfair Cotswold Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race)Class 1 · 25.5f · Soft · 4 ran 1st 11/4
11 Jan 26 Punchestown Pure Steel (IRE)J: Mark Walsh Sky Bet Super Sub Novice Chase (Grade 3)19.5f · Soft · 5 ran 5th 6/1
31 Dec 25 Punchestown Spillane's Tower (IRE)J: Mark Walsh Make The Tote App Your New Year's Resolution NYE Hurdle19f · Yielding · 8 ran 3rd 7/4
26 Dec 25 Limerick Allow Sound (IRE)J: Michael Kenneally Signsplus Maiden Hurdle16f · Heavy · 17 ran 15th 200/1
11 Dec 25 Punchestown Pure Steel (IRE)J: Mark Walsh Matchbook Betting Exchange Rated Novice Chase16.5f · Heavy · 7 ran 1st 5/2
07 Dec 25 Cork Allow Sound (IRE)J: Mike O'Connor BAR 1 Casino Maiden Hurdle (Div 1)17f · Soft To Heavy · 19 ran PU 200/1
09 Nov 25 Naas Pure Steel (IRE)J: Simon Torrens Sign Up To GavinLynchRacing.com Beginners Chase16f · Soft · 16 ran 3rd 33/1
09 Nov 25 Naas Spillane's Tower (IRE)J: Mark Walsh SIS Brown Lad Handicap Hurdle (Listed)20f · Soft To Heavy · 14 ran 9th 6/5F
11 Jul 25 Cork Aodha's Arrow (IRE)J: Mr E P O'Brien Racing Again July 25th Fillies Flat Race17f · Good · 16 ran 5th 10/1
11 Jul 25 Cork Kates Choice (IRE)J: Mike O'Connor Follow Us On Instagram Mares Handicap Hurdle20f · Good · 17 ran 6th 25/1
10 Jun 25 Sligo Kates Choice (IRE)J: Mike O'Connor Stephen Mullins & Sons Mares Maiden Hurdle17.5f · Good · 15 ran 6th 5/1
31 May 25 Tramore Kates Choice (IRE)J: Mr E P O'Brien Irish Stallion Farms EBF (Mares) Flat Race16f · Good To Yielding · 10 ran 6th 22/1
22 May 25 Limerick Arthor (IRE)J: Mike O'Connor Treaty Plant Hire Handicap Chase (0-100)22.5f · Good · 16 ran 11th 18/1
10 May 25 Cork Aodha's Arrow (IRE)J: Mr E P O'Brien Irish Stallion Farms EBF 4-y-o Fillies Flat Race16.5f · Good · 15 ran 4th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

KTB’s figures

the forward record · since 5 Oct 2026

KTB’s figures on this yard’s runners since 17 Oct 2026: the KTB Selection in 1 run (won 0) · to 17 Oct 2026.

Each pick was a KTB figure’s choice before the off — the published KTB Selection, the top-rated horse on KTB Rating, the fastest on KTB Speed — settled against the result the next morning and never worked out again; “did not run” is counted apart. GB and Irish races only. A record of weeks so far: read it as a count, not a verdict.

Quick answers

What is James Joseph Mangan's strike rate?
James Joseph Mangan has won 13 of 201 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 6.5% (as at 1 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does James Joseph Mangan do best at?
Cork by strike rate: 2 wins from 41 runners (4.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for James Joseph Mangan?
Mike O'Connor, with 71 runners since 2022 — 35% of the total. That pairing has won 2 (2.8%).
What is James Joseph Mangan's Fair A/E?
0.85, from 201 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 1 November 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).