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Trainer profile

David Kenneth Budds

405 runners in the last 5 seasons · 39 individual horses
As at 20 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner 2 days ago
from 1 Jan 2022
18–405
Wins / Runs
4.4%
Strike rate
n=405
80 (20%)
Placed
0.80
n=405 · 0.63 incl. margin
−185.25
£1 level stake
n=405 at SP · −45.7%
£282k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
7.4%
KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 80 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 0.80). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 7% off breaks of two months or more (81 runs).

Deterministic profile computed from 405 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 20 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 7.4% Darragh O'Keeffe: 6.4% from 78
The read

It is weakest at Limerick (0% over 31 runners) — the widest gap in the record. Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a positive signal at 7.4% (n=81, Fair A/E 1.46). The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 4.3% strike, Fair A/E 0.85 and −80.75 to a £1 stake over 208 runners — those runners underperform what the price implies. Darragh O'Keeffe rides 19% of the entries and edges the yard's average (6.4% vs 4.4%, A/E 0.99) — the market has that partnership priced right. The yard also reads well on Good to Soft going (8.8%, n=68) and off a 61-180-day break (8.5%, n=59). The record reads poorly on Soft going — 0.7% over 141 runners, 3.7pts below the baseline. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the MD O'Shea's Tourist Attraction Mares Hurdle at Killarney (May 2025, £15,340). The stable star of the record: Getaway Queen (IRE) — 8 wins from 50 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.4% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
7.4%+3.0
n=81 · A/E 1.46 · £1 −26.50
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.4
n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00
Debutants · first career start
8.7%+4.3
n=23 · A/E 4.85 · £1 +40.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
12.5%+8.1
n=24 · A/E 2.31 · £1 +41.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
7.4%+3.0
n=27 · A/E 1.17 · £1 −9.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=9 · A/E 1.56 · £1 +1.75
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
4.3%−0.1
n=208 · A/E 0.85 · £1 −80.75
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
5%+0.6
n=20 · A/E 1.28 · £1 −10.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
On Good to Soft going 8.8% vs 4.4% · n=68
On Soft going 0.7% vs 4.4% · n=141
Off a 61-180-day break 8.5% vs 4.4% · n=59
With Shane Fitzgerald 0% vs 4.4% · n=37
On Good going 7.6% vs 4.4% · n=119
At Limerick 0% vs 4.4% · n=31
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 245 11 4.5% −138.25
Flat 102 3 2.9% −56.50
Chase 39 3 7.7% −5.50
NH Flat 19 1 5.3% +15.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 141 1 0.7% −131.00
Good 119 9 7.6% −34.75
Good to Soft 68 6 8.8% +20.00
Heavy 44 1 2.3% −15.00
Standard (AW) 27 1 3.7% −18.50
Good to Firm 6 0 0% −6.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wexford 38 2 5.3% −16.00
Cork 37 2 5.4% +6.00
Tramore 37 2 5.4% −17.50
Limerick 31 0 0% −31.00
Dundalk (AW) 27 1 3.7% −18.50
Punchestown 27 1 3.7% −16.00
Clonmel 22 1 4.5% −18.25
Listowel 22 0 0% −22.00
Killarney 21 2 9.5% −2.00
Gowran Park 18 1 5.6% +11.00
Thurles 17 0 0% −17.00
Fairyhouse 16 0 0% −16.00
Kilbeggan 13 2 15.4% +13.00
Galway 9 0 0% −9.00
Sligo 9 0 0% −9.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 1 20 1 5% −10.00
Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00
Class 4 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 15 3 20% 1.10 −4.25
2nd–3rd fav 47 2 4.3% 0.34 −36.00
4th–6th fav 113 8 7.1% 1.05 −39.00
7th+ in betting 230 5 2.2% 0.81 −106.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
87% completed · 284 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 39 76.9% 1 3 4 1 0
Hurdle 245 88.6% 7 2 17 0 2
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Craic Eile (IRE) 39 0 6 28 May 26
Stormalong (IRE) 35 4 14 9 May 26
Tastyee (IRE) 34 1 8 6 Aug 25
Oogum Boogum (IRE) 29 1 8 26 Sep 26
Anyway (GER) 27 5 10 18 Oct 26
Inchiquin Maid (IRE)from D J Bunyan · then Chris Timmons 27 0 6 19 Nov 24
Tilloughna (IRE) 21 1 5 13 Jan 25
Boola Times (IRE) 17 1 4 11 Oct 26
Esthers Marvel (IRE) 16 1 3 19 Jun 23
The Toothpicker (IRE) 14 0 2 28 Aug 26
All 39 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 39 horses listed, 7 arrived from another yard in our archive; 32 had their first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard; 32 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample
0 from 5
Only 5 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
06031233130220
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderDarragh O'Keeffe
19% of all rides
6.4% SR · A/E 0.99
RiderRWSR£1
Darragh O'Keeffe 78 5 6.4% −25.50
Shane Fitzgerald 37 0 0% −37.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2011→
39
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£578k
Prize money
2024
Best season · 6 wins
Stormalong (IRE) — MD O'Shea's Tourist Attraction Mares Hurdle (Listed) Killarney · May 2025 · Listed
£15,340
Anyway (GER) — Bunkers Bar & Restaurant Handicap Hurdle Killarney · Aug 2024
£12,980
Kates Benefit (IRE) — Jeremy O'neill Memorial Mares Hurdle Killarney · May 2015
£12,075

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Palavicini (USA) 0% · 0–39
Progeny have won 4.5% of 268 runs since 2008 (16 horses).
September Storm (GER) 11.4% · 4–35
Progeny have won 8.5% of 1,131 runs since 2008 (103 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.4% from 148. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.9% from 101.
Markaz (IRE) 2.9% · 1–34
Progeny have won 9.6% of 997 runs since 2008 (66 horses).
Ocovango (GB) 3.4% · 1–29
Progeny have won 9.4% of 2,980 runs since 2008 (302 horses). Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 14.1% from 191.
Kodi Bear (IRE) 0% · 0–28
Progeny have won 10.3% of 3,926 runs since 2008 (386 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7% from 256.
Estidhkaar (IRE) 0% · 0–27
Progeny have won 6.9% of 1,586 runs since 2008 (112 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.8% from 119. Weakest on Soft going: 2.6% from 227.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 818 · newest first

The latest 50 of 818 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 5 March 2011 to 18 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is David Kenneth Budds's strike rate?
David Kenneth Budds has won 18 of 405 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 4.4% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does David Kenneth Budds do best at?
Cork by strike rate: 2 wins from 37 runners (5.4%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for David Kenneth Budds?
Darragh O'Keeffe, with 78 runners since 2022 — 19% of the total. That pairing has won 5 (6.4%).
Is David Kenneth Budds in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 5 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is David Kenneth Budds's Fair A/E?
0.80, from 405 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 20 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).