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Jockey profile

Patrick O'Donnell

348 rides in the lifetime window · 213 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Sep 2017 100% of rides on the flat
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
44–348
Wins / Runs
12.6%
Strike rate
n=348
92 (26%)
Placed
1.21
Fair A/E
n=348 · 1.03 incl. margin
+104.94
£1 level stake
n=348 at SP · +30.2%
£243k
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
3.1%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 60 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 13% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.21). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 14% (42 rides).

Deterministic profile computed from 348 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Fired Jun–Jul 27.3% when favourite Ralph Beckett: 16% from 119 First rides: 12.7% Rode the favourite in 9% of races
The read

Rides in big fields of 14 or more have been a poor signal at 3.9% (n=76, Fair A/E 0.71). First rides on a horse are the standout value angle: 12.7% strikes only just above baseline, but Fair A/E 1.23 and +105.71 to a £1 stake over 213 rides — a record the market has persistently underpriced. Ralph Beckett supplied 34% of the rides and edges the rider's average (16% vs 12.6%, A/E 1.18) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well at trips under 6f (22.2%, n=36) and in Class 5 (18.4%, n=103). The market has also underrated the rider on Good to Firm going: Fair A/E 1.81 across 53 rides (17% strike, +22.50 to a £1 stake). The record read poorly on Soft going — 4.8% over 42 rides, 7.8pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the rider fired Jun–Jul.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 12.6% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
12.7%+0.1
n=213 · A/E 1.23 · £1 +105.71
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
14.3%+1.7
n=42 · A/E 0.77 · £1 −16.79
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
10.7%−1.9
n=56 · A/E 1.30 · £1 +119.00
When favourite
27.3%
n=33 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −7.39
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
12.5%−0.1
n=320 · A/E 1.21 · £1 +93.19
Big fields · 14+ runners
3.9%−8.7
n=76 · A/E 0.71 · £1 −48.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 12.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
At trips under 6f 22.2% vs 12.6% · n=36
On Soft going 4.8% vs 12.6% · n=42
In Class 5 18.4% vs 12.6% · n=103
On Good to Firm going 17% vs 12.6% · n=53
On Good going 8.5% vs 12.6% · n=59
With Ralph Beckett 16% vs 12.6% · n=119
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 134 20 14.9% +143.06
Good 59 5 8.5% −22.25
Good to Firm 53 9 17% +22.50
Good to Soft 45 6 13.3% −11.37
Soft 42 2 4.8% −31.50
Heavy 13 2 15.4% +6.50
Firm 2 0 0% −2.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW) 35 5 14.3% +103.75
Kempton (AW) 30 4 13.3% +44.43
Lingfield (AW) 29 5 17.2% −0.25
Chelmsford (AW) 17 2 11.8% −2.00
Chepstow 15 4 26.7% +3.25
Nottingham 14 2 14.3% +0.00
Newbury 14 4 28.6% +23.50
Bath 13 1 7.7% −1.00
Dundalk (AW) 12 0 0% −12.00
Salisbury 10 1 10% +5.00
Sandown 9 2 22.2% +8.50
Southwell (AW) 8 2 25% −2.87
Brighton 8 0 0% −8.00
Doncaster 7 2 28.6% −0.37
Gowran Park 7 1 14.3% +6.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 103 19 18.4% +10.60
Class 6 92 14 15.2% +143.21
Class 4 58 6 10.3% +4.38
Class 2 17 2 11.8% −5.25
Class 3 15 1 6.7% −8.00
Class 7 1 1 100% +9.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 40 10 25% 0.90 −9.89
2nd–3rd fav 75 14 18.7% 1.24 +0.83
4th–6th fav 114 14 12.3% 1.49 +22.00
7th+ in betting 119 6 5% 1.32 +92.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Res Nullius (IRE) 12 0 2 9 Oct 13
Another Boy (GB) 8 2 3 19 Sep 17
Foxtrot Jubilee (IRE) 7 0 1 31 Aug 15
Cape Banjo (USA) 6 0 3 8 Aug 17
Mr Bossy Boots (IRE) 6 2 2 23 Jun 16
Italian Beauty (IRE) 6 3 3 23 Oct 15
Southern Storm (IRE) 5 2 2 26 Apr 16
Thane of Cawdor (IRE) 5 0 1 13 Apr 16
Prince Regal (GB) 5 0 1 19 Oct 15
Jonnie Skull (IRE) 5 1 2 19 Jun 15
Taquka (IRE) 5 1 3 21 Oct 14
Apache Gold (IRE) 5 1 2 27 Aug 12
The 60 most-raced of 213 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
1220171761521118900
A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardRalph Beckett
34% of all rides
16% SR · A/E 1.18
TrainerRWSR£1
Ralph Beckett 119 19 16% +16.23
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→
44
Archived wins
£243k
Prize money
2015
Best season · 27 wins
Pacify (GB) — Greenall's Gin Handicap Newmarket · Jul 2015 · Class 2
£12,938
Mr Bossy Boots (IRE) — Betfred 'Home Of Goals Galore' Handicap Newcastle (AW) · Jun 2016 · Class 2
£12,450
Mr Bossy Boots (IRE) — Dorman Handicap Lingfield (AW) · Apr 2016 · Class 3
£7,246

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Rakti (GB) 0% · 0–12
Progeny have won 8.7% of 1,054 runs since 2008 (64 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 12.1% from 214. Weakest on Soft going: 5.2% from 192. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 13.3% from 218.
Paco Boy (IRE) 27.3% · 3–11
Progeny have won 9.2% of 3,449 runs since 2008 (269 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 3.9% from 103.
Danehill Dancer (IRE) 10% · 1–10
Progeny have won 11.2% of 10,094 runs since 2008 (783 horses). Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 6.2% from 130.
Cape Cross (IRE) 33.3% · 3–9
Progeny have won 13.3% of 12,754 runs since 2008 (988 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.4% from 477. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 230.
Kodiac (GB) 11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 10.4% of 23,515 runs since 2008 (1,664 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 14.3% from 147. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 7.1% from 252.
Progeny have won 8.3% of 968 runs since 2008 (63 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 348 · newest first

The latest 50 of 348 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 3 February 2012 to 19 September 2017.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
19 Sep 17 Chepstow Another Boy (GB)T: Ralph Beckett 188bet.co.uk HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Good To Soft · 8 ran 7th 7/1
09 Sep 17 Kempton (AW) Moonwise (IRE)T: Ralph Beckett Toteexacta HandicapClass 4 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran 11th 12/1
31 Aug 17 Bath Font Vert (FR)T: Ralph Beckett JMK Group UK NurseryClass 5 · 8f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 4th 7/1
25 Aug 17 Ffos Las Manners Maketh Man (IRE)T: Ralph Beckett Finning Uk Ltd Maiden StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 4/1
02 Aug 17 Sandown Noble Ballad (GB)T: Ralph Beckett Racinguk.com Apprentice HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 8th 8/1
27 Jul 17 Sandown Another Boy (GB)T: Ralph Beckett Lubricators HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Good To Soft · 7 ran 1st 9/2
17 Jul 17 Windsor Secret Soul (GB)T: Ralph Beckett Sky Bet Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 3rd 9/4F
15 Jul 17 Hamilton Dark Intention (IRE)T: Lawrence Mullaney Racinguk.com HandicapClass 5 · 11f · Good To Soft · 10 ran 6th 7/2
03 May 17 Brighton Cockney Boy (GB)T: John Gallagher Setyres HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 7th 11/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Patrick O'Donnell's strike rate?
Patrick O'Donnell has won 44 of 348 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 12.6% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Patrick O'Donnell do best at?
Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 5 wins from 35 rides (14.3%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Patrick O'Donnell ride most for?
Ralph Beckett, with 119 rides since 2008 — 34% of the total. That pairing has won 19 (16%).
What is Patrick O'Donnell's Fair A/E?
1.21, from 348 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).