Skip to content
Jockey profile

Patrick O'Sullivan

111 rides in the lifetime window · 57 individual horses
As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last ride Sep 2012 93% of rides over jumps
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
1–111
Wins / Runs
0.9%
Strike rate
n=111
6 (5%)
Placed
0.25
Fair A/E
n=111 · 0.18 incl. margin
−101.00
£1 level stake
n=111 at SP · −91.0%
£13,527
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 20 times a season, almost all over hurdles and fences, winning on 1% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.25). Rode mostly for Paul Nolan — 55% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 111 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glance Paul Nolan: 0% from 61 First rides: 1.8%
The read

The market has consistently overbet claiming rides: 0.9% strike, Fair A/E 0.25 and −101.00 to a £1 stake over 111 rides — those runners underperformed what the price implied. Paul Nolan supplied 55% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (0%, A/E 0.00). The market has consistently overbet the rider over 1m5f – 2m: Fair A/E 0.53 across 58 rides (1.7% strike, −48.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 0.9% baseline
First ride on the horse · first captured pairing
1.8%+0.9
n=57 · A/E 0.46 · £1 −47.00
Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win
0%−0.9
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Fresh horses · 61+ days off
0%−0.9
n=30 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −30.00
Claiming rides · riding with a claim
0.9%+0.0
n=111 · A/E 0.25 · £1 −101.00
Big fields · 14+ runners
1%+0.1
n=96 · A/E 0.31 · £1 −86.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 0.9% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Paul Nolan 0% vs 0.9% · n=61 · A/E 0.00
On first rides for the horse 1.8% vs 0.9% · n=57 · A/E 0.46
Over 1m5f – 2m 1.7% vs 0.9% · n=58 · A/E 0.53
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle 98 1 1% −88.00
Flat 8 0 0% −8.00
NH Flat 5 0 0% −5.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Soft 38 0 0% −38.00
Heavy 36 0 0% −36.00
Good 23 0 0% −23.00
Good to Firm 8 1 12.5% +2.00
Good to Soft 5 0 0% −5.00
Standard (AW) 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Navan 10 0 0% −10.00
Naas 9 0 0% −9.00
Cork 9 0 0% −9.00
Clonmel 8 0 0% −8.00
Tramore 7 1 14.3% +3.00
Gowran Park 7 0 0% −7.00
Limerick 7 0 0% −7.00
Wexford 6 0 0% −6.00
Fairyhouse 6 0 0% −6.00
Bellewstown 5 0 0% −5.00
Punchestown 4 0 0% −4.00
Down Royal 4 0 0% −4.00
Listowel 4 0 0% −4.00
Thurles 3 0 0% −3.00
Roscommon 3 0 0% −3.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
2nd–3rd fav 4 0 0% 0.00 −4.00
4th–6th fav 21 1 4.8% 0.84 −11.00
7th+ in betting 86 0 0% 0.00 −86.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
89.8% completed · 98 obstacle rides (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Hurdle 98 89.8% 2 0 7 0 1
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Easy Laughter (IRE) 6 0 0 30 Sep 11
Kings Army (IRE) 6 0 1 2 May 11
Sarahsue (IRE) 5 0 1 29 Sep 12
Never Bold (FR) 5 1 2 28 Jul 12
Grandslam Baby (IRE) 5 0 0 10 Nov 10
Dizzy Rascal (GB) 4 0 0 16 Sep 12
Ma Nolan (IRE) 4 0 0 25 May 12
Passifyoucan (IRE) 4 0 1 3 Jul 10
The Rattler Obrien (IRE) 3 0 0 10 Mar 12
Articular (IRE) 3 0 0 11 Feb 12
Ardalan (IRE) 3 0 0 15 May 11
Ally Pally (IRE) 3 0 0 2 Apr 11
All 57 horses ridden in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
0000000100000
A jumps rider: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first
Main yardPaul Nolan
55% of all rides
0% SR · A/E 0.00
TrainerRWSR£1
Paul Nolan 61 0 0% −61.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2008→
1
Archived wins
£13,527
Prize money
2011
Best season · 1 win
Never Bold (FR) — Exchange Bar Handicap Hurdle (80-95) Tramore · Aug 2011
£5,520
Notable horses
Never Bold (FR)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
King's Theatre (IRE) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 14.4% of 12,129 runs since 2008 (746 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.8% from 125. Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 7.9% from 203.
Norwich (GB) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 7.5% of 1,601 runs since 2008 (176 horses).
Danehill (USA) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 11.6% of 831 runs since 2008 (63 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 15.4% from 298. Strongest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 20.7% from 217. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 6.5% from 168.
Bob Back (USA) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 11.8% of 3,724 runs since 2008 (338 horses).
Limnos (JPN) 20% · 1–5
Progeny have won 7.9% of 619 runs since 2008 (75 horses).
Welsh Lion (IRE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 7% of 186 runs since 2008 (15 horses).
Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 111 · newest first

The latest 50 of 111 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 13 July 2008 to 29 September 2012.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
29 Sep 12 Navan Sarahsue (IRE)T: Colin Bowe Drogheda Handicap Hurdle (80-95)23f · Soft · 27 ran 23rd 20/1
16 Sep 12 Listowel Dizzy Rascal (GB)T: Michael Hourigan Low Low E.B.F. Mares Handicap Hurdle (81-116)20f · Heavy · 15 ran 11th 20/1
23 Aug 12 Bellewstown Dizzy Rascal (GB)T: Michael Hourigan Indaver Handicap Hurdle (81-116)24f · Soft · 10 ran 6th 16/1
07 Aug 12 Roscommon Dizzy Rascal (GB)T: Michael Hourigan J. F. Hanley Handicap Hurdle (80-109)24f · Soft To Heavy · 18 ran 11th 14/1
06 Aug 12 Cork A New Story (IRE)T: Michael Hourigan Follow Us On Twitter Handicap Hurdle (80-95)18f · Yielding To Soft · 18 ran 10th 16/1
28 Jul 12 Wexford Sarahsue (IRE)T: Colin Bowe Martinstown Opportunity Handicap Hurdle (80-102)20f · Good To Firm · 16 ran 4th 20/1
28 Jul 12 Wexford Never Bold (FR)T: James Cousins Maura Derrane Judges Littlewoods Ireland Ladies Day Handicap Hurdle (80-95) (Div 2)16f · Good To Firm · 16 ran PU 9/1
26 Jul 12 Limerick Amigan Lady (IRE)T: Michael Hourigan Follow Limerick Racecourse On Facebook Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16f · Good · 13 ran 13th 50/1
13 Jul 12 Downpatrick Sarahsue (IRE)T: Colin Bowe Joe Rea Memorial Handicap Hurdle (80-95)23f · Good · 15 ran PU 25/1
31 May 12 Clonmel Never Bold (FR)T: James Cousins Powerstown Park Handicap Hurdle (80-95)16.5f · Good · 18 ran 2nd 20/1
25 May 12 Cork Ma Nolan (IRE)T: Paul Nolan Like Us On Facebook Handicap Hurdle (80-109) (Div 1)24f · Good · 22 ran 12th 33/1
14 May 12 Killarney Ma Nolan (IRE)T: Paul Nolan Irish Stallion Farms E.B.F. Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Good · 18 ran 10th 66/1
23 Apr 12 Cork Ma Nolan (IRE)T: Paul Nolan Follow Cork On Facebook Mares Maiden Hurdle20f · Yielding To Soft · 24 ran 15th 33/1
31 Mar 12 Navan Ma Nolan (IRE)T: Paul Nolan www.thetote.com Mares Maiden Hurdle16f · Good · 22 ran 10th 20/1
18 Mar 12 Navan Marble Article (IRE)T: Paul Nolan Follow Navan On Facebook Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 15 ran 9th 12/1
10 Mar 12 Gowran Park The Rattler Obrien (IRE)T: Paul Nolan Great Oak Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 18 ran 10th 50/1
10 Mar 12 Gowran Park Rising Altitude (IRE)T: Paul Nolan 'tetratema - Son Of The Tetrarch' Maiden Hurdle16f · Soft · 20 ran 15th 20/1
07 Mar 12 Downpatrick Candeeiro (IRE)T: Paul Nolan Martinstown Opportunity Maiden Hurdle18f · Yielding To Soft · 9 ran 4th 7/1
19 Feb 12 Navan The Rattler Obrien (IRE)T: Paul Nolan Follow Navan On Facebook Maiden Hurdle16f · Yielding To Soft · 20 ran 12th 66/1
11 Feb 12 Naas Articular (IRE)T: Paul Nolan Tote Trifecta Rollover Handicap Hurdle (80-109)16f · Soft To Heavy · 19 ran 15th 25/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Patrick O'Sullivan's strike rate?
Patrick O'Sullivan has won 1 of 111 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 0.9% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which yard does Patrick O'Sullivan ride most for?
Paul Nolan, with 61 rides since 2008 — 55% of the total. That pairing has won 0 (0%).
What is Patrick O'Sullivan's Fair A/E?
0.25, from 111 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 22 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).