Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Small sample — fewer than 30 runs in this window. Read the Ns before the percentages.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 0% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
0%+0.0
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
Debutants · first career start
0%+0.0
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%+0.0
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%+0.0
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 0% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Flat2300%−23.00
NH Flat100%−1.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good1200%−12.00
Soft600%−6.00
Standard (AW)300%−3.00
Good to Firm100%−1.00
Good to Soft100%−1.00
Heavy100%−1.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Gowran Park500%−5.00
Leopardstown500%−5.00
Dundalk (AW)300%−3.00
Curragh300%−3.00
Punchestown300%−3.00
Limerick200%−2.00
Navan200%−2.00
Naas100%−1.00
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m – 1m1f1200%−12.00
6f – 7f600%−6.00
1m2f – 1m4f400%−4.00
1m5f – 2m100%−1.00
2m1f – 2m4f100%−1.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
2022500%−5.00
2023200%−2.00
2024300%−3.00
2025900%−9.00
2026500%−5.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps800%−8.00
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
14-16 runners1200%−12.00
11-13 runners700%−7.00
17+ runners500%−5.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 5 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 5 horses listed, none arrived from another yard in our archive — all 5 had their first archived run here.
None of them has a later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
Current form
significance-gated
Last 14 days
Small sample
0 from 1
Only 1 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Crossing (GB) — Zyder Handicap (60-100) Leopardstown · Jun 2007
£18,228
Crossing (GB) — Mooney's Of Monasterevin Handicap Curragh (IRE) · Aug 2006
£17,903
Gwens Spirit (IRE) — Crown Plaza Hotel Dundalk Handicap Dundalk (AW) · Dec 2008
Progeny have won 6.8% of 513 runs since 2008 (66 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 3.8% from 186.
El Kabeir (USA)0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 6.8% of 1,231 runs since 2008 (116 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 11.6% from 173. Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 10.1% from 426. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 3.7% from 348.
Progeny have won 9.1% of 14,917 runs since 2008 (930 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.3% from 170.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 20 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 453 · newest first
The latest 50 of 453 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 26 March 2005 to 7 October 2026.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is William J Fitzpatrick's strike rate?
William J Fitzpatrick has won 0 of 24 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 0% (as at 20 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive. A small sample — fewer than 30 runners, so read the count before the percentage.
Is William J Fitzpatrick in form?
Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 1 runner, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
William J Fitzpatrick·SR 0%·A/E 0.00
KTB
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