What is Paul Fitzsimons's strike rate?

Paul Fitzsimons has won 13 of 295 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4.4% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Paul Fitzsimons do best at?

Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 3 wins from 74 rides (4.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Which yard does Paul Fitzsimons ride most for?

Miss J R Tooth, with 125 rides since 2008 — 42% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (4.8%).

What is Paul Fitzsimons's Fair A/E?

0.88, from 294 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Jockey profile

Paul Fitzsimons

295 rides in the lifetime window · 82 individual horses

As at 6 Nov 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last ride Nov 2010 100% of rides on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No rides in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

13–295

Wins / Runs

4.4%

Strike rate

n=295

51 (17%)

Placed

0.88

Fair A/E

n=294 · 0.74 incl. margin

−62.38

£1 level stake

n=295 at SP · −21.1%

£75,084

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

3.6%

KTB Rider Profile

Rode around 100 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.88). Rode mostly for Miss J R Tooth — 42% of rides in the window.

Deterministic profile computed from 295 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 6 Nov 2026

KTB at a glance Fresh horses: 4.8% Miss J R Tooth: 4.8% from 125

The read

First rides on a horse have been a poor signal at 1.4% (n=72, Fair A/E 0.41). Miss J R Tooth supplied 42% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (4.8%, A/E 1.07) — the partnership beats the margin-free market read. The rider also read well on Good to Firm going (9.2%, n=65) and over 1m – 1m1f (8%, n=75). The record read poorly on Good going — 0% over 50 rides, 4.4pts below the baseline. The standout partner of the record was Bold Cross (IRE) — 8 wins from 47 rides together.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Riding patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.4% baseline

First ride on the horse · first captured pairing

1.4%−3.0

n=72 · A/E 0.41 · £1 −5.00

Last-time-out winners · previous run was a win

0%−4.4

n=15 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −15.00

Fresh horses · 61+ days off

4.8%+0.4

n=42 · A/E 1.57 · £1 +3.00

When favourite

100%

n=2 · A/E 3.11 · £1 +3.62

Big fields · 14+ runners

4.5%+0.1

n=67 · A/E 1.36 · £1 −13.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Edward Bevan 12.2% vs 4.4% · n=49

On Good to Firm going 9.2% vs 4.4% · n=65

On Good going 0% vs 4.4% · n=50

With Milton Bradley 0% vs 4.4% · n=47

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 0% vs 4.4% · n=38

Over 1m – 1m1f 8% vs 4.4% · n=75

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 140 5 3.6% −60.50

Good to Firm 65 6 9.2% +42.12

Good 50 0 0% −50.00

Soft 17 1 5.9% −5.00

Firm 13 0 0% −13.00

Good to Soft 8 0 0% −8.00

Heavy 2 1 50% +32.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Wolverhampton (AW) 74 3 4.1% −29.50

Lingfield (AW) 27 2 7.4% +8.00

Kempton (AW) 26 0 0% −26.00

Chepstow 25 2 8% −2.00

Bath 20 1 5% −3.00

Warwick 14 0 0% −14.00

Leicester 13 1 7.7% −10.00

Brighton 13 0 0% −13.00

Newbury 12 0 0% −12.00

Nottingham 10 0 0% −10.00

Southwell (AW) 8 0 0% −8.00

Lingfield 8 0 0% −8.00

Windsor 8 0 0% −8.00

Salisbury 5 1 20% +62.00

Chelmsford (AW) 5 0 0% −5.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 131 5 3.8% −32.50

Class 5 101 5 5% +9.00

Class 4 40 3 7.5% −15.88

Class 7 17 0 0% −17.00

Class 3 4 0 0% −4.00

Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 2 2 100% 3.11 +3.62

2nd–3rd fav 23 1 4.3% 0.31 −16.50

4th–6th fav 61 5 8.2% 1.10 +4.50

7th+ in betting 209 5 2.4% 0.79 −54.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses ridden

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Bold Cross (IRE) 37 6 12 2 Oct 10

Fizzlephut (IRE) 21 1 3 5 Jun 09

Triskaidekaphobia (GB) 20 1 3 5 Nov 10

Golden Prospect (GB) 12 1 3 14 Oct 10

Decree Absolute (USA) 10 1 1 20 Aug 10

Castle Frome (IRE) 8 0 1 11 Apr 08

Straitjacket (GB) 7 1 2 22 Jul 09

Mr Rev (GB) 7 0 1 12 Jun 09

Poppy Red (GB) 7 0 2 5 Aug 08

Lilli Palmer (IRE) 6 0 0 14 Oct 10

Meirig's Dream (IRE) 6 0 3 9 Jul 10

Law And Order (GB) 6 0 0 8 Jul 09

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 82 horses ridden in this window — each ran at least 1 time. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

By month

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

0603516245000

A flat rider: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Riding for

same window · biggest samples first

Main yardMiss J R Tooth

42% of all rides
4.8% SR · A/E 1.07

TrainerRWSR£1

Miss J R Tooth 125 6 4.8% +40.50

Edward Bevan 49 6 12.2% +6.12

Milton Bradley 47 0 0% −47.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→

Archived wins

£199k

Prize money

2005

Best season · 10 wins

In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Whistler (GB) — SBJ Group Handicap Goodwood · May 2005 · Class 2

£12,277

Pulse (GB) — Jaguar Centre Handicap Beverley · Jun 2005 · Class 5

£7,055

Bold Cross (IRE) — totetrifecta Handicap Wolverhampton (AW) · Aug 2008 · Class 4

£6,476

Notable horses

Bold Cross (IRE) Fizzlephut (IRE) Triskaidekaphobia (GB) Pulse (GB) Whistler (GB) Enjoy The Buzz (GB)

Sires of the horses ridden

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Cape Cross (IRE) 14.3% · 6–42

Progeny have won 13.3% of 12,754 runs since 2008 (988 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.4% from 477. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 230.

Lear Spear (USA) 3.6% · 1–28

Progeny have won 3.6% of 253 runs since 2008 (27 horses).

Bertolini (USA) 3.8% · 1–26

Progeny have won 8% of 7,851 runs since 2008 (518 horses).

Indian Rocket (GB) 4.8% · 1–21

Progeny have won 7.7% of 1,230 runs since 2008 (129 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 11.1% from 171. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 4.7% from 301.

Lujain (USA) 8.3% · 1–12

Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,688 runs since 2008 (99 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 4.6% from 108.

Orientate (USA) 10% · 1–10

Progeny have won 9.4% of 288 runs since 2008 (22 horses).

Top line: the rider's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 6 Nov 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 869 · newest first

The latest 50 of 869 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 4 January 2005 to 5 November 2010.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

05 Nov 10 Wolverhampton (AW) Triskaidekaphobia (GB)T: Miss J R Tooth Breeders' Cup Live Only On ATR HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 12 ran 7th 25/1

14 Oct 10 Brighton Lilli Palmer (IRE)T: Miss J R Tooth brightonandhovejobs.com Handicap (Div 1)Class 6 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 9th 33/1

14 Oct 10 Brighton Golden Prospect (GB)T: Miss J R Tooth Brighton Square 'Heart Of Lanes' HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Good · 14 ran 9th 25/1

04 Oct 10 Windsor Justice Walk (IRE)T: Miss J R Tooth European Breeders' Fund Maiden Stakes (Div 1)Class 4 · 8f · Soft · 10 ran 8th 66/1

02 Oct 10 Wolverhampton (AW) Bold Cross (IRE)T: Edward Bevan Cleanwastesolutions Handicap (Div 2)Class 5 · 8.5f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 9/1

28 Sep 10 Newbury Bold Cross (IRE)T: Edward Bevan Opus Energy Handicap (Rnd)Class 5 · 8f · Good · 12 ran 9th 20/1

21 Sep 10 Folkestone Christophers Quest (GB)T: Natalie Lloyd-Beavis mobile.ladbrokes.com Maiden StakesClass 5 · 9.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 7th 80/1

20 Sep 10 Leicester Bold Cross (IRE)T: Edward Bevan Adrenalin Tattoos, Luton 10th Anniversary HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Good · 14 ran 5th 40/1

26 Aug 10 Lingfield Christophers Quest (GB)T: Natalie Lloyd-Beavis Hollow Lane HandicapClass 6 · 10f · Soft · 10 ran 9th 16/1

20 Aug 10 Wolverhampton (AW) Decree Absolute (USA)T: Miss J R Tooth Great Offers At Wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 13 ran 12th 33/1

17 Aug 10 Brighton Lilli Palmer (IRE)T: Miss J R Tooth Hardings Catering Services Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Good · 8 ran 6th 66/1

15 Aug 10 Bath Bold Cross (IRE)T: Edward Bevan Park Garden Centres Friends & Family HandicapClass 4 · 10f · Good · 12 ran 3rd 12/1

04 Aug 10 Kempton (AW) Decree Absolute (USA)T: Miss J R Tooth Epsom Trainers Open Day 22nd August HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 12th 33/1

31 Jul 10 Lingfield Lilli Palmer (IRE)T: Miss J R Tooth Play Blackjack At Totesport.com HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 14 ran 12th 80/1

24 Jul 10 Salisbury Decree Absolute (USA)T: Miss J R Tooth Derek Burridge Trophies 50th Anniversary Claiming StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good · 6 ran 5th 16/1

17 Jul 10 Lingfield (AW) Shark Man (IRE)T: Miss J R Tooth Bet British Open Golf - Betdaq Selling Stakes (AWT)Class 6 · 10f · Standard · 9 ran 4th 8/1

15 Jul 10 Bath Bold Cross (IRE)T: Edward Bevan Bathwick Tyres Newport HandicapClass 4 · 8f · Firm · 9 ran 5th 6/1

14 Jul 10 Kempton (AW) Claimant (IRE)T: Miss J R Tooth digibet Handicap (London Mile Qualifier)Class 5 · 8f · Standard · 14 ran 12th 16/1

10 Jul 10 Chester Bold Cross (IRE)T: Edward Bevan totepool Flexi Betting HandicapClass 4 · 10.5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 6th 12/1

09 Jul 10 Newbury Meirig's Dream (IRE)T: Natalie Lloyd-Beavis Ridgeway HandicapClass 5 · 13.5f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 6th 16/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Paul Fitzsimons's strike rate?: Paul Fitzsimons has won 13 of 295 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 4.4% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Paul Fitzsimons do best at?: Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 3 wins from 74 rides (4.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Which yard does Paul Fitzsimons ride most for?: Miss J R Tooth, with 125 rides since 2008 — 42% of the total. That pairing has won 6 (4.8%).
What is Paul Fitzsimons's Fair A/E?: 0.88, from 294 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.