What is Natalie Lloyd-Beavis's strike rate?

Natalie Lloyd-Beavis has won 12 of 344 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.5% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Natalie Lloyd-Beavis do best at?

Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 1 wins from 35 runners (2.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is Natalie Lloyd-Beavis's Fair A/E?

0.81, from 344 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Natalie Lloyd-Beavis

344 runners in the lifetime window · 82 individual horses

As at 22 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Jun 2021

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

12–344

Wins / Runs

3.5%

Strike rate

n=344

41 (12%)

Placed

0.81

Fair A/E

n=344 · 0.70 incl. margin

−145.25

£1 level stake

n=344 at SP · −42.2%

£71,316

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 30 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.81).

Deterministic profile computed from 344 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Sep–Oct Claiming riders: 3.7%

The read

The market has consistently overbet runners with a claiming rider up: 3.7% strike, Fair A/E 0.83 and −92.25 to a £1 stake over 189 runners — those runners underperformed what the price implied. The yard also read well off a 31-60-day break (8.1%, n=37). The market has also underrated the yard over 1m2f – 1m4f: Fair A/E 1.58 across 79 runners (6.3% strike, +22.00 to a £1 stake). The record read poorly off a break of 180+ days — 0% over 53 runners, 3.5pts below the baseline. Seasonally, the yard fired Sep–Oct.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 3.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

2%−1.5

n=98 · A/E 0.69 · £1 −20.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

1.5%−2.0

n=65 · A/E 0.43 · £1 −55.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−3.5

n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

7.7%+4.2

n=13 · A/E 1.79 · £1 −3.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

5%+1.5

n=20 · A/E 1.52 · £1 −11.00

When favourite

n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

3.7%+0.2

n=189 · A/E 0.83 · £1 −92.25

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 3.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

Off a 31-60-day break 8.1% vs 3.5% · n=37

Off a break of 180+ days 0% vs 3.5% · n=53

Over 1m2f – 1m4f 6.3% vs 3.5% · n=79

In Chase races 6.1% vs 3.5% · n=33

On Good to Soft going 5.9% vs 3.5% · n=34

With new recruits 1.5% vs 3.5% · n=65

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 237 9 3.8% −91.00

Hurdle 63 1 1.6% −22.00

Chase 33 2 6.1% −21.25

NH Flat 11 0 0% −11.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 135 3 2.2% −53.00

Good 89 4 4.5% −57.25

Good to Firm 45 1 2.2% −38.50

Good to Soft 34 2 5.9% +12.50

Soft 28 1 3.6% −17.00

Heavy 7 0 0% −7.00

Firm 6 1 16.7% +15.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 51 1 2% +16.00

Wolverhampton (AW) 35 1 2.9% −30.00

Lingfield (AW) 25 0 0% −25.00

Brighton 22 3 13.6% +5.50

Worcester 19 0 0% −19.00

Chepstow 17 1 5.9% −8.00

Bath 16 0 0% −16.00

Southwell (AW) 12 1 8.3% −2.00

Windsor 12 0 0% −12.00

Chelmsford City (AW) 11 0 0% −11.00

Fontwell 10 0 0% −10.00

Lingfield 9 1 11.1% −2.50

Stratford 9 0 0% −9.00

Uttoxeter 9 1 11.1% −5.25

Wincanton 8 0 0% −8.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 169 6 3.6% −120.00

Class 5 104 3 2.9% −33.00

Class 4 53 2 3.8% −41.25

Class 7 12 1 8.3% +55.00

Class 3 3 0 0% −3.00

Class 2 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 11 2 18.2% 0.83 −1.75

2nd–3rd fav 16 2 12.5% 0.81 −2.00

4th–6th fav 67 4 6% 0.99 −1.50

7th+ in betting 250 4 1.6% 0.68 −140.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Roly Tricks (GB)from Olly Stevens 18 4 6 6 Sep 16

Gentleman Moore (IRE)from David Bridgwater 14 2 7 30 Jun 21

Tax Reform (IRE)from Gary Moore 13 0 2 14 Jul 16

Evergreen Forest (IRE)from Alastair Lidderdale · then Jim Best 13 0 1 29 Sep 14

Deftera Lad (IRE)from Pat Phelan · then Sylvester Kirk 12 1 5 24 Jul 18

Leyland (IRE)from Lawney Hill 12 0 1 30 Nov 16

Deftera Fantutte (IRE)from Pat Phelan 11 0 2 25 May 17

Christophers Quest (GB)from Tony Carroll 11 0 0 29 Jul 11

Meirig's Dream (IRE)from Brendan Powell · then Philip Hobbs 10 0 3 22 Apr 12

Spring Dixie (IRE)from John Ryan 9 0 0 22 Feb 19

Edward Elgar (GB)from Richard Whitaker · then Caroline Bailey 9 1 3 29 Nov 15

Carla Koala (GB)then Tony Newcombe 8 0 0 31 Oct 19

Showing the 60 most-raced of the 82 horses sent out in this window — each ran at least 2 times. Horses with fewer runs aren't listed; search finds any horse since 2005. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 48 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Andrew Haynes (4) and Dai Williams (3); 12 had their first archived run for this yard.

28 have since run for another yard, most often for Barry Brennan (6) and Tim Vaughan (3); 32 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

080000935544

Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

RiderRWSR£1

David Bass 21 0 0% −21.00

Philip Prince 19 0 0% −19.00

Paddy Pilley 19 3 15.8% +8.50

Charlie Bennett 19 0 0% −19.00

Mr Will Pettis 14 0 0% −14.00

James Davies 12 0 0% −12.00

Paul Fitzsimons 11 0 0% −11.00

Timmy Murphy 11 2 18.2% +3.00

Daniel Hiskett 10 2 20% +1.75

Aaron Jones 10 1 10% −3.50

Kevin Jones 9 0 0% −9.00

Thomas Garner 9 0 0% −9.00

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→

Archived wins

£71,316

Prize money

2015

Best season · 4 wins

Gentleman Moore (IRE) — newtonabbotracing.com Handicap Chase Newton Abbot · Jul 2019 · Class 4

£6,758

Gentleman Moore (IRE) — Geens Chartered Accountants Handicap Chase Uttoxeter · Sep 2019 · Class 4

£4,289

Joules (GB) — N-ergy Unlocking Potential And Transforming Lives Handicap Chepstow · Jul 2016 · Class 5

£3,235

Notable horses

Roly Tricks (GB) Gentleman Moore (IRE) Deftera Lad (IRE) Edward Elgar (GB) Joules (GB) Until The Man (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Pastoral Pursuits (GB) 19% · 4–21

Progeny have won 9.5% of 7,217 runs since 2008 (437 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 17.4% from 109. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1.5% from 133.

Royal Anthem (USA) 14.3% · 2–14

Progeny have won 9.9% of 1,350 runs since 2008 (115 horses). Strongest on Good going: 12.9% from 529.

Haafhd (GB) 0% · 0–13

Progeny have won 10.9% of 4,750 runs since 2008 (305 horses).

Namid (GB) 0% · 0–13

Progeny have won 8.2% of 4,102 runs since 2008 (276 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 2.4% from 164. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 0.8% from 119.

Fast Company (IRE) 8.3% · 1–12

Progeny have won 9.4% of 7,591 runs since 2008 (492 horses). Strongest on Heavy going: 12.7% from 557. Strongest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 12.8% from 109.

Peintre Celebre (USA) 0% · 0–12

Progeny have won 11.8% of 2,836 runs since 2008 (311 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.3% from 734. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.2% from 291.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 344 · newest first

The latest 50 of 344 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 24 September 2009 to 30 June 2021.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

30 Jun 21 Worcester Gentleman Moore (IRE)J: Daniel Hiskett Follow At The Races On Twitter Handicap Chase (Div 1)Class 5 · 20f · Good · 9 ran RR 28/1

20 Nov 19 Warwick Nell 'n' Flo (IRE)J: Joe Anderson David Nicholson Memorial Fillies' 'Junior' Standard Open NH Flat RaceClass 5 · 14f · Soft · 10 ran 7th 40/1

31 Oct 19 Kempton (AW) Carla Koala (GB)J: Ellie MacKenzie Book Fireworks Tickets At thejockeyclub.co.uk/kempton HandicapClass 7 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 10 ran 9th 20/1

30 Oct 19 Kempton (AW) Disturbing Beauty (GB)J: Ellie MacKenzie 32red On The App Store Novice StakesClass 5 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 7 ran 7th 150/1

18 Oct 19 Fakenham Megabucks (IRE)J: Daniel Hiskett Sky Sports Racing Supports Air Ambulances Handicap HurdleClass 4 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 9th 12/1

16 Oct 19 Kempton (AW) Carla Koala (GB)J: Ellie MacKenzie 100% Profit Boost At 32RedSport.com Classified StakesClass 6 · 6f · Standard To Slow · 11 ran 4th 66/1

02 Oct 19 Huntingdon Gentleman Moore (IRE)J: Daniel Hiskett MansionBet Offer Deposit Limits Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 20f · Good · 7 ran 5th 3/1J

04 Sep 19 Uttoxeter Gentleman Moore (IRE)J: Daniel Hiskett Geens Chartered Accountants Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 20f · Good · 5 ran 1st 11/4J

26 Aug 19 Chepstow Coastguard Watch (FR)J: Hector Crouch interbet.com HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Good · 11 ran 11th 50/1

14 Aug 19 Worcester Megabucks (IRE)J: Nico de Boinville 7bets4free.com Maiden HurdleClass 5 · 20f · Good · 10 ran 4th 8/1

14 Aug 19 Worcester Gentleman Moore (IRE)J: Nico de Boinville Youthcomm Radio Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 20f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 10/3F

23 Jul 19 Chelmsford City (AW) Dandy Lad (IRE)J: Thomas Greatrex Hills Prospect Simply The Best Apprentice HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 9th 50/1

21 Jul 19 Newton Abbot Gentleman Moore (IRE)J: Daniel Hiskett newtonabbotracing.com Handicap ChaseClass 4 · 21f · Good · 10 ran 1st 7/1

09 Jul 19 Wolverhampton (AW) Dandy Lad (IRE)J: Luke Morris Guillotiners Arms HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 50/1

03 Jul 19 Worcester Gentleman Moore (IRE)J: Daniel Hiskett Racing Welfare Racing Staff Week Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 20f · Good · 14 ran 2nd 20/1

06 Jun 19 Ffos Las Gentleman Moore (IRE)J: Daniel Hiskett West Coast Haulage Supporting Wales Air Ambulance Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 24f · Good · 13 ran 8th 7/1

23 May 19 Chepstow Dandy Lad (IRE)J: Philip Prince Polo At The Manor HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 12th 50/1

18 May 19 Uttoxeter Gentleman Moore (IRE)J: Daniel Hiskett ASD Contracts Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 22.5f · Good · 9 ran 2nd 8/1

01 May 19 Southwell (AW) Carla Koala (GB)J: Aaron Jones Attheraces.com HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 14/1

22 Apr 19 Huntingdon Gentleman Moore (IRE)J: Daniel Hiskett MansionBet Handicap ChaseClass 5 · 23.5f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 15/2

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Natalie Lloyd-Beavis's strike rate?: Natalie Lloyd-Beavis has won 12 of 344 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 3.5% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Natalie Lloyd-Beavis do best at?: Wolverhampton (AW) by strike rate: 1 wins from 35 runners (2.9%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Natalie Lloyd-Beavis's Fair A/E?: 0.81, from 344 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.