No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
19–291
Wins / Runs
6.5%
Strike rate
n=291
67 (23%)
Placed
0.96
Fair A/E
n=290 · 0.82 incl. margin
−90.38
£1 level stake
n=291 at SP · −31.1%
£96,773
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sent out around 30 runners a season, winning with 7% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.96). The edge shows sharpest with horses returning fresh: 8% off breaks of two months or more (50 runs).
Deterministic profile computed from 291 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceFresh horses: 8%
The read
The yard also read well on Good to Firm going (11.9%, n=67). The record read poorly on Good to Soft going — 0% over 30 runners, 6.5pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Good going: Fair A/E 0.46 across 71 runners (2.8% strike, −45.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. The stable star of the record was Bold Cross (IRE) — 13 wins from 114 runs for the yard.
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 6.5% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
8%+1.5
n=50 · A/E 1.69 · £1 −6.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−6.5
n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−6.5
n=11 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −11.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−6.5
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
16.7%+10.2
n=6 · A/E 2.33 · £1 +28.00
When favourite
33.3%
n=9 · A/E 1.18 · £1 −0.88
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
5.2%−1.3
n=172 · A/E 0.91 · £1 −68.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
On Good to Firm going11.9% vs 6.5% · n=67
With Paul Fitzsimons12.2% vs 6.5% · n=49
On Good to Soft going0% vs 6.5% · n=30
On Good going2.8% vs 6.5% · n=71
Over 1m5f – 2m2.4% vs 6.5% · n=41
In Hurdle races2.4% vs 6.5% · n=41
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Flat224188%−31.88
Hurdle4112.4%−32.50
NH Flat1500%−15.00
Chase1100%−11.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW)7434.1%−32.00
Good7122.8%−45.00
Good to Firm67811.9%+28.12
Good to Soft3000%−30.00
Soft3013.3%−21.00
Firm10330%+4.00
Heavy9222.2%+5.50
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Wolverhampton (AW)5623.6%−24.00
Chepstow4237.1%−14.00
Leicester3026.7%+7.00
Bath27414.8%+4.00
Warwick1815.6%−9.50
Worcester1600%−16.00
Newbury1500%−15.00
Southwell (AW)900%−9.00
Haydock9222.2%+8.62
Ludlow800%−8.00
Kempton (AW)8112.5%+2.00
Stratford600%−6.00
Nottingham6233.3%+15.00
Doncaster5120%+1.50
Brighton5120%+4.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 511276.3%−43.50
Class 610576.7%−15.50
Class 45747%−24.38
Class 3900%−9.00
Class 76116.7%+4.00
Class 2200%−2.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite10440%1.49+4.12
2nd–3rd fav3625.6%0.41−25.50
4th–6th fav10088%1.06−18.00
7th+ in betting14553.4%1.08−51.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m2f – 1m4f10598.6%−21.50
1m – 1m1f6357.9%−19.38
6f – 7f4748.5%+18.00
1m5f – 2m4112.4%−32.50
2m5f – 3m1500%−15.00
2m1f – 2m4f1400%−14.00
Under 6f400%−4.00
Over 3m200%−2.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
200840512.5%+14.00
200921314.3%−0.88
20104100%−41.00
20112827.1%−8.50
20123239.4%+0.00
201326415.4%+6.50
20142400%−24.00
20153800%−38.00
20162528%+17.50
20171600%−16.00
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps228187.9%−37.38
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
11-13 runners11565.2%−38.00
8-10 runners8444.8%−50.50
5-7 runners4249.5%−25.00
14-16 runners4149.8%+29.50
17+ runners700%−7.00
2-4 runners2150%+0.62
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 29 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 29 horses listed, 15 arrived from another yard in our archive; 14 had their first archived run for this yard.
8 have since run for another yard; 21 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
87001365970100
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".
Career highlights
lifetime archive, 2005→
26
Archived wins
£144k
Prize money
2008
Best season · 5 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Progeny have won 13.3% of 12,754 runs since 2008 (988 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 8.4% from 477. Weakest over 2m5f – 3m (all codes): 7.8% from 230.
Sulamani (IRE)6.7% · 4–60
Progeny have won 11.5% of 4,243 runs since 2008 (278 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.1% from 479. Strongest beyond 3m (all codes): 15.4% from 240.
Progeny have won 8.2% of 1,895 runs since 2008 (165 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.9% from 227. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5% from 278.
King Charlemagne (USA)5.3% · 1–19
Progeny have won 7.4% of 1,605 runs since 2008 (116 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 3.7% from 189. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.9% from 156.
Progeny have won 12.1% of 11,815 runs since 2008 (940 horses). Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 8.5% from 188.
Alflora (IRE)0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 9.8% of 5,312 runs since 2008 (535 horses).
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 423 · newest first
The latest 50 of 423 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 8 January 2005 to 31 October 2017.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Edward Bevan's strike rate?
Edward Bevan has won 19 of 291 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.5% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Edward Bevan do best at?
Chepstow by strike rate: 3 wins from 42 runners (7.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Edward Bevan's Fair A/E?
0.96, from 290 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Edward Bevan·SR 6.5%·A/E 0.96
KTB
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