What is Alan McCabe's strike rate?

Alan McCabe has won 273 of 3,172 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.6% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Alan McCabe do best at?

Catterick by strike rate: 6 wins from 40 runners (15%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Who rides most for Alan McCabe?

James Doyle, with 310 runners since 2008 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 25 (8.1%).

What is Alan McCabe's Fair A/E?

0.96, from 3,149 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Alan McCabe

3,172 runners in the lifetime window · 327 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Sep 2015 98% of runners on the flat

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

273–3,172

Wins / Runs

8.6%

Strike rate

n=3,172

799 (25%)

Placed

0.96

Fair A/E

n=3,149 · 0.82 incl. margin

−918.55

£1 level stake

n=3,172 at SP · −29.0%

£1.70m

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

8.5%

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 400 runners a season, almost all on the flat, winning with 9% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.96).

Deterministic profile computed from 3,172 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance Fired Jan–Apr 29.2% when favourite James Doyle: 8.1% from 310 New recruits: 9.7% Sent off the favourite in 6% of races

The read

The record is strongest at Chelmsford (AW) (17.9%, n=39), Pontefract (14.7%, n=95) and Catterick (15%, n=40) — all clear of the yard's 8.6% baseline. A horse in first-time headgear has been a poor signal at 4.2% (n=118, Fair A/E 0.60). James Doyle rode 10% of the entries and matches the yard's average almost exactly (8.1%, A/E 0.81). 4 Group and Graded wins sit in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Gimcrack Stakes at York (Aug 2011, £82,880). The stable star of the record was Cornus (GB) — 12 wins from 116 runs for the yard. Seasonally, the yard fired Jan–Apr.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.6% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

7.1%−1.5

n=282 · A/E 1.21 · £1 −35.50

New recruits · first run for the yard

9.7%+1.1

n=144 · A/E 1.12 · £1 −0.88

Debutants · first career start

6.7%−1.9

n=164 · A/E 1.24 · £1 −65.84

First-time headgear · true-first definition

4.2%−4.4

n=118 · A/E 0.60 · £1 −60.77

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

6.8%−1.8

n=117 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −31.65

When favourite

29.2%

n=195 · A/E 0.97 · £1 −28.59

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

7.7%−0.9

n=1,042 · A/E 0.98 · £1 −295.69

Group / Graded races · pattern & listed

7.8%−0.8

n=51 · A/E 1.21 · £1 −26.12

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.6% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

At Chelmsford (AW) 17.9% vs 8.6% · n=39

At Pontefract 14.7% vs 8.6% · n=95

With Robert Winston 13.6% vs 8.6% · n=257

With Kieran O'Neill 15.4% vs 8.6% · n=52

With C&D winners 12.4% vs 8.6% · n=645

At Catterick 15% vs 8.6% · n=40

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 3,105 266 8.6% −890.80

Hurdle 46 4 8.7% −19.00

NH Flat 13 2 15.4% −6.25

Chase 8 1 12.5% −2.50

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 1,777 173 9.7% −463.05

Good to Firm 583 46 7.9% −200.86

Good 488 31 6.4% −96.14

Good to Soft 136 10 7.4% −77.00

Soft 136 6 4.4% −83.00

Heavy 30 4 13.3% +0.00

Firm 22 3 13.6% +1.50

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Southwell (AW) 695 83 11.9% −147.59

Wolverhampton (AW) 582 42 7.2% −209.68

Lingfield 285 28 9.8% −11.28

Doncaster 241 12 5% −122.00

Kempton 176 13 7.4% −94.50

Nottingham 132 8 6.1% −60.50

Leicester 115 8 7% −49.00

Beverley 106 10 9.4% −46.94

Pontefract 95 14 14.7% +24.48

Thirsk 59 5 8.5% +48.88

Redcar 56 4 7.1% −27.25

Newmarket 55 2 3.6% −37.00

Haydock 40 1 2.5% −35.00

York 40 3 7.5% −10.00

Catterick 40 6 15% +28.50

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 5 1,149 106 9.2% −275.92

Class 6 937 93 9.9% −208.54

Class 4 661 48 7.3% −226.12

Class 3 222 15 6.8% −72.75

Class 2 137 7 5.1% −94.10

Class 1 52 4 7.7% −27.12

Class 7 14 0 0% −14.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 236 67 28.4% 1.00 −25.59

2nd–3rd fav 586 95 16.2% 1.02 −72.46

4th–6th fav 1,062 76 7.2% 0.93 −280.50

7th+ in betting 1,288 35 2.7% 0.79 −540.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Follow The Flag (IRE)from Chris Wall 130 11 37 3 Dec 13

Cornus (GB)from Jamie Osborne 88 8 24 29 Jan 13

Elusive Warrior (USA)from Richard Fahey 87 8 33 25 Mar 14

Showboating (IRE)from David Marnane · then John Balding 66 6 25 28 Nov 14

Desert Strike (GB)from Paul Cole · then Charles Hills 58 8 22 21 Jan 12

Fratellino (GB) 53 3 12 19 Apr 14

Silver Wind (GB)from David Evans 45 4 11 29 Jan 13

Mojeerr (GB)from Marcus Tregoning · then Laura Young 44 0 7 17 Mar 11

Loose Caboose (IRE) 43 4 10 16 Mar 10

Carnac (IRE)from John Wainwright 42 4 15 6 Nov 12

Eastern Hills (GB)from John Wainwright 39 7 16 14 Dec 12

Tislaam (IRE)from John Wainwright 38 4 20 29 Sep 12

The 60 most-raced of 327 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 37 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from John Wainwright (4) and M J Polglase (3); 23 had their first archived run for this yard.

24 have since run for another yard, most often for Jeremy Glover (8) and John Balding (3); 36 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

11121210810494988

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderJames Doyle

10% of all rides
8.1% SR · A/E 0.81

RiderRWSR£1

James Doyle 310 25 8.1% −132.87

Robert Winston 257 35 13.6% −8.70

Declan Cannon 207 20 9.7% +30.00

Martin Harley 163 18 11% +43.75

Shane Kelly 160 18 11.3% −22.04

Nora Looby 126 7 5.6% −70.62

Andrew Mullen 92 6 6.5% −60.50

Seb Sanders 80 7 8.8% −31.37

Tom Queally 74 10 13.5% +19.50

Pat Cosgrave 73 8 11% −29.25

William Twiston-Davies 65 5 7.7% −23.38

Ben Curtis 63 7 11.1% +35.58

Muted rows are under 30 rides.

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2006→

313

Archived wins

Pattern / graded wins

£1.90m

Prize money

2011

Best season · 63 wins

This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.

Caspar Netscher (GB) — Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Gimcrack Stakes (Group 2) York · Aug 2011 · Group 2

£82,880

Caspar Netscher (GB) — Dubai Duty Free Mill Reef Stakes (Group 2) Newbury · Sep 2011 · Group 2

£34,026

Caspar Netscher (GB) — AON Greenham Stakes (Group 3) (Str) Newbury · Apr 2012 · Group 3

£31,191

Notable horses

Cornus (GB) Follow The Flag (IRE) Aubrietia (GB) Elusive Warrior (USA) Desert Strike (GB) Capricorn Run (USA)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Traditionally (USA) 7.7% · 11–142

Progeny have won 8.1% of 1,178 runs since 2008 (93 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 11.4% from 114. Weakest on Soft going: 4.6% from 196. Strongest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 12% from 175. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.3% from 184.

Auction House (USA) 6.4% · 9–141

Progeny have won 6.8% of 1,734 runs since 2008 (142 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 10% from 100.

Elusive Quality (USA) 9.1% · 11–121

Progeny have won 12.3% of 3,387 runs since 2008 (333 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7.9% from 280. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16% from 319.

Shamardal (USA) 9.4% · 10–106

Progeny have won 14.8% of 10,411 runs since 2008 (1,008 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 11.7% from 1,287. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 9.3% from 475.

Dubai Destination (USA) 10.6% · 10–94

Progeny have won 11% of 6,948 runs since 2008 (521 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 16.9% from 136.

Inchinor (GB) 9.1% · 8–88

Progeny have won 9.4% of 973 runs since 2008 (62 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 6.4% from 125. Strongest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 13.9% from 158.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 3,599 · newest first

The latest 50 of 3,599 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 30 August 2006 to 16 September 2015.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

16 Sep 15 Beverley Sea Of Uncertainty (GB)J: Luke Morris Bet toteplacepot Claiming StakesClass 6 · 5f · Good · 7 ran 2nd 10/3

15 Sep 15 Chepstow Gettin' Lucky (GB)J: Shane Kelly British Stallion Studs Ebf Maiden StakesClass 5 · 7f · Soft · 9 ran 8th 33/1

11 Sep 15 Chester Dream Approach (IRE)J: David Probert Stella Artois Maiden Fillies' StakesClass 4 · 10.5f · Good To Soft · 9 ran 9th 40/1

06 Aug 15 Southwell (AW) Sea Of Uncertainty (GB)J: Silvestre De Sousa British Stallion Studs Ebf Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 4 ran 2nd 9/4

05 Aug 15 Chepstow Apasiona (IRE)J: Richard Kingscote Truvape Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Plus 10)Class 5 · 5f · Good · 7 ran 5th 16/1

03 Aug 15 Nottingham Dream Approach (IRE)J: Timmy Murphy Watch Racing Uk Today Just 10 Maiden Fillies' StakesClass 5 · 10f · Good · 6 ran 6th 33/1

02 Aug 15 Chepstow Lincoln Rocks (GB)J: Pat Cosgrave Oakgrove Aversham Maiden Auction StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good · 10 ran 9th 50/1

30 Jul 15 Ffos Las Blushed (IRE)J: Timmy Murphy Studs EBF Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good · 9 ran 4th 20/1

27 Jul 15 Southwell (AW) Sea Of Uncertainty (GB)J: Silvestre De Sousa British Stallion Studs Ebf Maiden StakesClass 5 · 5f · Standard · 6 ran 2nd 10/1

25 Jul 15 Salisbury Sov (IRE)J: Timmy Murphy T & M Glass HandicapClass 5 · 14f · Good · 11 ran 11th 33/1

24 Jul 15 York Discreet Hero (IRE)J: Phillip Makin Batleys Cash And Carry Median Auction Maiden Stakes (Plus 10)Class 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 6th 13/2

23 Jul 15 Sandown Apasiona (IRE)J: Andrea Atzeni Irish Stallion Farms Molson Coors EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Plus 10)Class 5 · 5f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 5th 14/1

21 Jul 15 Wetherby Lincoln Rocks (GB)J: Ben Curtis Join The Racing UK Club Maiden Fillies' Auction Stakes (Plus10)Class 5 · 7f · Good · 15 ran 10th 20/1

17 Jul 15 Haydock Sea Of Uncertainty (GB)J: Stephen Craine British Stallion Studs Ebf Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 10th 66/1

14 Jul 15 Beverley Anagallis (IRE)J: Ben Curtis Racing UK Profits All Returned To Racing Maiden Auction StakesClass 5 · 5f · Good To Firm · 12 ran 2nd 2/1F

07 Jul 15 Wolverhampton (AW) Pour L'amour (IRE)J: Shane Gray 'Slade' After Racing Saturday 5th September Maiden Auction StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 20/1

04 Jul 15 Nottingham Anagallis (IRE)J: Ben Curtis Goldeva Maiden Auction Fillies' Stakes (Plus10)Class 5 · 5f · Good · 12 ran 2nd 14/1

26 Jun 15 Chester Pour L'amour (IRE)J: Joe Fanning Chesterbet Maiden Fillies' Stakes (Plus10)Class 4 · 7f · Good To Firm · 8 ran 6th 33/1

12 Jun 15 Chepstow Sov (IRE)J: Pat Dobbs Hicks Logistics HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 7th 2/1

12 Jun 15 York Lady Wulfruna (GB)J: Silvestre De Sousa Skf Rous Selling StakesClass 3 · 6f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 1st 8/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Alan McCabe's strike rate?: Alan McCabe has won 273 of 3,172 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 8.6% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Alan McCabe do best at?: Catterick by strike rate: 6 wins from 40 runners (15%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Who rides most for Alan McCabe?: James Doyle, with 310 runners since 2008 — 10% of the total. That pairing has won 25 (8.1%).
What is Alan McCabe's Fair A/E?: 0.96, from 3,149 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.