Racheal Kneller
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
Rode around 40 times a season, almost all on the flat, winning on 8% of them — beating the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 1.17). Riding last-time-out winners the record reads 22% (46 rides).
It is weakest at Kempton (AW) (1.9% over 53 rides) — the widest gap in the record. Rides on last-time-out winners have been a positive signal at 21.7% (n=46, Fair A/E 1.70), but horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 5.2% (n=77, Fair A/E 1.08). Mark Usher supplied 33% of the rides and matches the rider's average almost exactly (8.7%, A/E 0.99) — the market has that partnership priced right. The rider also read well off a 0-7-day break (16.9%, n=59) and at trips under 6f (14.3%, n=42). The record read poorly off a break of 180+ days — 2.9% over 34 rides, 5.4pts below the baseline. The standout partner of the record was Idol Deputy (FR) — 11 wins from 71 rides together.
Riding patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 8.3% baselineEach tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.3% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, for you to weigh. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. First rides are the first captured pairing of horse and rider; last-time-out winners are horses whose previous captured run was a win; claiming rides are runs where the rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baselineRecord by conditions
same window as headerRace type
Going
Courses
Class
Market position
Distance
By season
Handicaps
Field size
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
Horses ridden
same window as header · most-raced firstBy month
strike by month, lifetimeRiding for
same window · biggest samples firstCareer highlights
lifetime archive, 2007→Sires of the horses ridden
progeny record · win % by ground and tripThe record
latest 50 of 565 · newest firstThe latest 50 of 565 archived rides, newest first. The full record runs from 19 January 2007 to 27 February 2020.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
- What is Racheal Kneller's strike rate?
- Racheal Kneller has won 47 of 563 rides since 2008, a strike rate of 8.3% (as at 6 November 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
- Which course does Racheal Kneller do best at?
- Bath by strike rate: 4 wins from 35 rides (11.4%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most rides on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
- Which yard does Racheal Kneller ride most for?
- Mark Usher, with 184 rides since 2008 — 33% of the total. That pairing has won 16 (8.7%).
- What is Racheal Kneller's Fair A/E?
- 1.17, from 558 rides with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.