What is Matthew Salaman's strike rate?

Matthew Salaman has won 29 of 453 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.4% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Matthew Salaman do best at?

Bath by strike rate: 4 wins from 36 runners (11.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

What is Matthew Salaman's Fair A/E?

0.87, from 449 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Matthew Salaman

453 runners in the lifetime window · 61 individual horses

As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner Jul 2019

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2009→)

No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.

29–453

Wins / Runs

6.4%

Strike rate

n=453

88 (19%)

Placed

0.87

Fair A/E

n=449 · 0.74 incl. margin

−128.92

£1 level stake

n=453 at SP · −28.5%

£142k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

KTB Yard Profile

Sent out around 40 runners a season, winning with 6% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.87).

Deterministic profile computed from 453 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 15 Oct 2026

KTB at a glance New recruits: 7.1%

The read

The record is strongest at Bath (11.1%, n=36), clear of the yard's 6.4% baseline. The yard also read well off a 0-7-day break (12.5%, n=32). The record read poorly on Good to Soft going — 2.3% over 43 runners, 4.1pts below the baseline. The market has consistently overbet the yard on Good going: Fair A/E 0.51 across 73 runners (2.7% strike, −47.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 6.4% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

5.7%−0.7

n=88 · A/E 1.11 · £1 −5.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

7.1%+0.7

n=42 · A/E 1.04 · £1 +17.33

Debutants · first career start

0%−6.4

n=22 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −22.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

6.7%+0.3

n=15 · A/E 1.01 · £1 −7.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

0%−6.4

n=16 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −16.00

When favourite

17.6%

n=17 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −3.92

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5.6%−0.8

n=142 · A/E 0.88 · £1 −46.25

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 6.4% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With horses switching code 0% vs 6.4% · n=36

Off a 0-7-day break 12.5% vs 6.4% · n=32

At Bath 11.1% vs 6.4% · n=36

On Good going 2.7% vs 6.4% · n=73

On Good to Soft going 2.3% vs 6.4% · n=43

Off a break of 180+ days 2.6% vs 6.4% · n=39

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 402 27 6.7% −90.92

Hurdle 38 2 5.3% −25.00

NH Flat 10 0 0% −10.00

Chase 3 0 0% −3.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 218 16 7.3% −44.67

Good 73 2 2.7% −47.00

Good to Firm 69 6 8.7% +13.25

Good to Soft 43 1 2.3% −35.00

Soft 25 2 8% −9.50

Firm 16 2 12.5% +3.00

Heavy 9 0 0% −9.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Kempton (AW) 65 5 7.7% +7.50

Lingfield (AW) 64 6 9.4% −1.67

Wolverhampton (AW) 64 3 4.7% −38.50

Bath 36 4 11.1% −7.75

Chepstow 34 1 2.9% +17.00

Southwell (AW) 18 1 5.6% −12.00

Ffos Las 16 1 6.3% −9.00

Brighton 16 1 6.3% −9.00

Lingfield 12 0 0% −12.00

Salisbury 12 0 0% −12.00

Leicester 11 1 9.1% −2.50

Newbury 9 0 0% −9.00

Goodwood 9 2 22.2% +6.00

Worcester 8 1 12.5% −3.00

Chelmsford City (AW) 7 1 14.3% +0.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 229 18 7.9% −34.42

Class 5 130 6 4.6% −57.00

Class 4 55 2 3.6% −42.50

Class 3 17 0 0% −17.00

Class 2 14 2 14.3% +17.00

Class 7 7 1 14.3% +6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 26 3 11.5% 0.50 −12.92

2nd–3rd fav 70 8 11.4% 0.81 −14.00

4th–6th fav 142 13 9.2% 1.23 −26.00

7th+ in betting 215 5 2.3% 0.72 −76.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Locommotion (GB)from Jo Hughes 35 3 7 30 Apr 19

Rulesn'regulations (GB)from M Salaman · then Alastair Lidderdale 34 3 6 22 Nov 12

Molly Jones (GB)from Derek Haydn Jones 30 3 5 16 Sep 18

Fitz (GB)from M Salaman · then Martin Bosley 28 3 11 20 Jun 12

Pocket Too (GB)from M Salaman · then Karen George 25 0 7 9 May 11

Monashee Rock (IRE)from M Salaman · then Patrick Chamings 21 3 6 4 Oct 11

Tallulah Mai (GB)then Paul Fitzsimons 17 2 5 23 Jul 13

Venir Rouge (GB)from M Salaman · then Harry Whittington 17 1 1 4 Jan 12

Final Verse (GB)from M Salaman 16 1 2 27 Sep 11

Mocha Java (GB)from M Salaman · then Seamus Mullins 16 1 5 17 May 10

Speightowns Kid (USA)from Barry Brennan · then Jeremy Gask 14 1 6 4 Jul 12

Sweet Avon (GB) 14 1 3 15 Feb 11

The 60 most-raced of 61 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 60 horses listed, 39 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from M Salaman (14) and Mark Usher (3); 21 had their first archived run for this yard.

26 have since run for another yard, most often for Debbie Hughes (7) and Nick Littmoden (3); 34 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime

JFMAMJJASOND

414572144514082

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderLiam Keniry

11% of all rides
8.3% SR · A/E 0.92

RiderRWSR£1

Liam Keniry 48 4 8.3% −20.17

John Fahy 30 2 6.7% −19.50

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2009→

Archived wins

£142k

Prize money

2010

Best season · 9 wins

Rulesn'regulations (GB) — Jean Bryant Memorial Handicap Ascot · Sep 2009 · Class 2

£12,462

Rulesn'regulations (GB) — Sportingbet.Com E.B.F. Classified Stakes Goodwood · Jul 2010 · Class 2

£9,347

Rulesn'regulations (GB) — 32Red Handicap (Div 1) Kempton (AW) · Sep 2011 · Class 4

£4,075

Notable horses

Locommotion (GB) Rulesn'regulations (GB) Molly Jones (GB) Fitz (GB) Monashee Rock (IRE) Touch of Style (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Proclamation (IRE) 7.1% · 3–42

Progeny have won 8.2% of 1,895 runs since 2008 (165 horses). Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 11.9% from 227. Weakest over 1m – 1m1f (all codes): 5% from 278.

Forzando (GB) 8.8% · 3–34

Progeny have won 3.7% of 481 runs since 2008 (49 horses).

Three Valleys (USA) 10% · 3–30

Progeny have won 8.1% of 1,284 runs since 2008 (128 horses).

Mind Games (GB) 10.7% · 3–28

Progeny have won 8.3% of 1,234 runs since 2008 (80 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 12.5% from 104.

Fleetwood (IRE) 0% · 0–25

Progeny have won 10% of 617 runs since 2008 (72 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 14.5% from 159. Weakest on Good going: 6.7% from 164. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.3% from 159.

Bertolini (USA) 4.2% · 1–24

Progeny have won 8% of 7,851 runs since 2008 (518 horses).

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 453 · newest first

The latest 50 of 453 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 1 September 2009 to 29 July 2019.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

29 Jul 19 Ffos Las Jazzameer (GB)J: Racheal Kneller E.B.F. Maiden StakesClass 5 · 7.5f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 7th 100/1

26 Jul 19 Chepstow Dancing Lilly (GB)J: Racheal Kneller comparebettingsites.com Betting Sites HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 6th 25/1

26 Jul 19 Chepstow Born To Frolic (IRE)J: Georgia Dobie comparebettingsites.com Betting Sites HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Good To Firm · 15 ran 5th 10/1

24 Jul 19 Bath Lovely Acclamation (IRE)J: Racheal Kneller Rainbow Casino Bristol Classified StakesClass 6 · 8f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 4th 50/1

02 Jul 19 Chepstow Picc And Go (GB)J: Racheal Kneller comparebettingsites.com Best Betting Site HandicapClass 6 · 6f · Good · 17 ran 15th 66/1

24 Jun 19 Chepstow Picc And Go (GB)J: Racheal Kneller Alan Bushell On Course Bookmaker HandicapClass 6 · 5f · Good · 14 ran 10th 50/1

24 Jun 19 Chepstow Dancing Lilly (GB)J: Racheal Kneller Alan Bushell On Course Bookmaker Novice StakesClass 5 · 10f · Good · 9 ran 5th 100/1

11 Jun 19 Lingfield (AW) Lovely Acclamation (IRE)J: Racheal Kneller Ryan Canter Club Supports Lingfield Park HandicapClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 10th 50/1

15 May 19 Bath Dancing Lilly (GB)J: Racheal Kneller Brakes Group/EBF Novice StakesClass 4 · 11.5f · Firm · 12 ran 11th 100/1

14 May 19 Chepstow Born To Frolic (IRE)J: Racheal Kneller BJ Llewellyn Supports Tenovus HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Good To Firm · 13 ran 3rd 16/1

14 May 19 Chepstow Less Of That (IRE)J: Racheal Kneller BJ Llewellyn Supports Tenovus Cancer Care HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Good · 14 ran 7th 25/1

03 May 19 Chepstow Dancing Lilly (GB)J: Racheal Kneller Pete Smith Specialist Cars Coleford Novice StakesClass 5 · 10f · Good · 16 ran 11th 50/1

03 May 19 Chepstow Less Of That (IRE)J: Racheal Kneller Marketing Stop - The Direct Marketing Specialists HandicapClass 5 · 12f · Good · 10 ran 5th 40/1

01 May 19 Bath Jazzameer (GB)J: Racheal Kneller Follow Us On Twitter At valuerater Novice StakesClass 5 · 8f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 9th 150/1

30 Apr 19 Chelmsford City (AW) Locommotion (GB)J: Luke Morris Totepool Cashback Club At Totesport.com HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 13 ran 5th 12/1

01 Apr 19 Chelmsford City (AW) Lovely Acclamation (IRE)J: William Carson Bet totetrifecta At totesport.com Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 33/1

01 Apr 19 Chelmsford City (AW) Jazzameer (GB)J: William Carson Bet toteplacepot At totesport.com Fillies' Novice StakesClass 4 · 6f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 100/1

27 Mar 19 Kempton (AW) Less Of That (IRE)J: David Probert 100% Profit Boost At 32redsport.com HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 11th 33/1

23 Jan 19 Lingfield (AW) Locommotion (GB)J: Luke Morris Like Sun Racing On Facebook HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 14 ran 4th 4/1J

19 Dec 18 Lingfield (AW) Locommotion (GB)J: Luke Morris sunracing.co.uk HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 12 ran 5th 3/1F

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Matthew Salaman's strike rate?: Matthew Salaman has won 29 of 453 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 6.4% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Matthew Salaman do best at?: Bath by strike rate: 4 wins from 36 runners (11.1%) since 2008. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
What is Matthew Salaman's Fair A/E?: 0.87, from 449 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.