What is Daniel Steele's strike rate?

Daniel Steele has won 21 of 248 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.5% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.

Which course does Daniel Steele do best at?

Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 7 wins from 59 runners (11.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.

Is Daniel Steele in form?

Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.

What is Daniel Steele's Fair A/E?

1.10, from 248 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.

Trainer profile

Daniel Steele

248 runners in the last 5 seasons · 27 individual horses

As at 21 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily

Last runner 6 days ago

Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2012→)

from 1 Jan 2022

21–248

Wins / Runs

8.5%

Strike rate

n=248

65 (26%)

Placed

1.10

Fair A/E

n=248 · 0.94 incl. margin

−105.62

£1 level stake

n=248 at SP · −42.6%

£173k

Prize money (window)

Strike by season

2.9%

KTB Yard Profile

Sends out around 50 runners a season, winning with 9% of them — beating the margin-free market read across five seasons (Fair A/E 1.10).

Deterministic profile computed from 248 archived runs (last 5 seasons) · updated 21 Oct 2026

The read

Horses returning fresh after 61+ days have been a poor signal at 2.3% (n=43, Fair A/E 0.93). The yard also reads well off a 15-30-day break (13.4%, n=67) and in Class 6 (12.4%, n=137). The record reads poorly off a 61-180-day break — 3% over 33 runners, 5.5pts below the baseline. The stable star of the record: Gold Souk (IRE) — 5 wins from 41 runs for the yard.

Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 8.5% baseline

Fresh · 61+ days off

2.3%−6.2

n=43 · A/E 0.93 · £1 −26.00

New recruits · first run for the yard

0%−8.5

n=14 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −14.00

Debutants · first career start

0%−8.5

n=7 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −7.00

First-time headgear · true-first definition

16.7%+8.2

n=6 · A/E 11.92 · £1 +11.00

Headgear returns · back on after a bare run

5.9%−2.6

n=17 · A/E 1.00 · £1 −12.50

When favourite

28.6%

n=14 · A/E 1.16 · £1 −1.12

Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle

5.5%−3.0

n=73 · A/E 0.78 · £1 −52.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 8.5% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline

With Joshua Bryan 21.9% vs 8.5% · n=32

Off a 15-30-day break 13.4% vs 8.5% · n=67

Off a 61-180-day break 3% vs 8.5% · n=33

In Class 6 12.4% vs 8.5% · n=137

With C&D winners 13.5% vs 8.5% · n=37

With a new jockey booking 4.8% vs 8.5% · n=125

Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1

Flat 217 19 8.8% −83.12

Hurdle 27 2 7.4% −18.50

NH Flat 4 0 0% −4.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1

Standard (AW) 128 11 8.6% −58.12

Good 42 5 11.9% −15.50

Good to Firm 29 2 6.9% −6.00

Soft 23 2 8.7% −4.50

Good to Soft 20 0 0% −20.00

Heavy 5 1 20% −0.50

Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1

Lingfield (AW) 59 7 11.9% −6.00

Brighton 39 3 7.7% −8.00

Kempton (AW) 29 1 3.4% −26.12

Chelmsford City (AW) 20 3 15% −6.00

Wolverhampton (AW) 17 0 0% −17.00

Lingfield 15 1 6.7% −6.50

Fontwell 12 1 8.3% −9.00

Goodwood 8 0 0% −8.00

Salisbury 6 1 16.7% +0.00

Plumpton 5 0 0% −5.00

Bath 5 2 40% +9.50

Yarmouth 4 1 25% +0.00

Windsor 4 0 0% −4.00

Epsom Downs 3 0 0% −3.00

Huntingdon 3 0 0% −3.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1

Class 6 137 17 12.4% −11.62

Class 5 67 4 6% −50.00

Class 4 26 0 0% −26.00

Class 3 12 0 0% −12.00

Class 2 6 0 0% −6.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1

Favourite 18 6 33.3% 1.43 +3.38

2nd–3rd fav 38 6 15.8% 0.95 −6.50

4th–6th fav 87 8 9.2% 1.23 −10.50

7th+ in betting 105 1 1% 0.49 −92.00

Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first

HorseRWPlLast ran

Fai Fai (GB)from Antony Brittain 34 2 13 15 Oct 26

Taskheer (IRE)from Edward Bethell · then Gary & Josh Moore 34 4 11 16 Jun 26

We'renotreallyhere (GB)from John Quinn 32 2 8 29 Sep 25

The Defiant (GB)from Paul Midgley · then Luke Dace 26 5 13 9 Aug 23

Blue Collar Lad (GB)from Alice Haynes 23 2 8 15 Oct 26

Gold Souk (IRE)from Mark Johnston 21 3 6 23 Oct 25

Skimming Along (IRE) 12 3 4 15 Oct 26

Aryaah (IRE)from George Boughey · then Mark Hoad 8 0 1 26 Jul 23

Clongowes (IRE)from J S Bolger 7 0 1 4 May 24

Ballyhealy Diamond (IRE) 6 0 0 23 Oct 25

Wise Counsellor (GB)from Andrew Balding · then Gary & Josh Moore 5 0 0 23 Jun 26

Emperor Dream (GB)from T J Kent 5 0 0 24 Mar 25

All 27 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.

Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 27 horses listed, 20 arrived from another yard in our archive; 7 had their first archived run for this yard.

9 have since run for another yard, most often for Gary & Josh Moore (3); 18 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

Current form

significance-gated

Last 14 days

Small sample

1 from 4

Only 4 runners in the last 14 days — too few to read against the baseline (gate: n≥15). The card states the sample and stays neutral.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons

JFMAMJJASOND

082071512698400

A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first

Go-to riderRhys Clutterbuck

15% of all rides
5.3% SR · A/E 0.82

RiderRWSR£1

Rhys Clutterbuck 38 2 5.3% −28.50

Joshua Bryan 32 7 21.9% +15.38

Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2012→

Archived wins

£280k

Prize money

2022

Best season · 6 wins

Gold Souk (IRE) — Truespeed Championing The South West Handicap Bath · Apr 2023 · Class 6

£13,608

Chivers (IRE) — Matchbook Betting Exchange Handicap Goodwood · May 2018 · Class 5

£5,175

Tee It Up Tommo (IRE) — toteexacta At betfred.com Handicap Chelmsford City (AW) · May 2017 · Class 5

£5,175

Notable horses

Gold Souk (IRE) The Defiant (GB) Taskheer (IRE) Hold The Bucks (USA) Skimming Along (IRE) Fai Fai (GB)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip

Acclamation (GB) 5.9% · 2–34

Progeny have won 10% of 19,685 runs since 2008 (1,326 horses). Strongest on Firm going: 15.2% from 151. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 6.7% from 194.

Golden Horn (GB) 11.8% · 4–34

Progeny have won 13.8% of 3,734 runs since 2008 (345 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 9.3% from 161. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 8.2% from 232.

Camacho (GB) 6.3% · 2–32

Progeny have won 8.1% of 9,320 runs since 2008 (596 horses).

Morpheus (GB) 19.2% · 5–26

Progeny have won 7.1% of 1,671 runs since 2008 (128 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 10.9% from 540. Weakest on Soft going: 2.6% from 305. Weakest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 2.7% from 147.

Ardad (IRE) 8.7% · 2–23

Progeny have won 8.7% of 3,508 runs since 2008 (350 horses).

Casamento (IRE) 14.3% · 3–21

Progeny have won 8.6% of 3,621 runs since 2008 (299 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 5.6% from 497. Weakest at trips under 6f (all codes): 4.9% from 287.

Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 21 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 586 · newest first

The latest 50 of 586 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 13 November 2012 to 15 October 2026.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP

15 Oct 26 Brighton Fai Fai (GB)J: Alec Voikhansky Best Odds Guaranteed At bet365 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 5.5f · Good · 9 ran 3rd 33/1

15 Oct 26 Brighton Blue Collar Lad (GB)J: Alec Voikhansky Position Payout At bet365 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 13 ran 2nd 3/1F

15 Oct 26 Brighton Skimming Along (IRE)J: Alec Voikhansky Bet Boost At bet365 Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 10f · Good · 9 ran 1st 11/2

10 Oct 26 Southwell (AW) Blue Collar Lad (GB)J: Alec Voikhansky Carlsberg Danish Pilsner 1847 Handicap StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 12 ran 3rd 66/1

06 Oct 26 Brighton Fai Fai (GB)J: Alec Voikhansky Play Your Multiples At matchbook.com Handicap StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 9th 14/1

28 Sep 26 Brighton Skimming Along (IRE)J: Alec Voikhansky Matchbook Monthly Bet-Builder Rebate Handicap StakesClass 5 · 12f · Good To Firm · 7 ran 3rd 25/1

10 Sep 26 Lingfield (AW) Blue Collar Lad (GB)J: Alec Voikhansky Sasco Sauces Birthday Handicap Stakes (Div I)Class 6 · 7f · Standard · 11 ran 4th 33/1

08 Sep 26 Goodwood Lady Mcc (IRE)J: Paddy Bradley Virgin Bet Supports Safe Gambling Handicap StakesClass 5 · 10f · Soft · 10 ran 10th 125/1

01 Sep 26 Brighton Fai Fai (GB)J: Harry Vigors Streamline Supports The Martlets Hospice Handicap StakesClass 5 · 7f · Good · 6 ran 5th 50/1

23 Jun 26 Newton Abbot Wise Counsellor (GB)J: Caoilin Quinn EBCS Hideout Novices' Limited Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 18.5f · Good · 10 ran 6th 18/1

16 Jun 26 Wolverhampton (AW) Taskheer (IRE)J: Ashley Lewis Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 Classified StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 10 ran 8th 20/1

09 Jun 26 Brighton Blue Collar Lad (GB)J: Tyler Heard Watch Live Racing On fairplaybet.co.uk 'Confined' HandicapClass 5 · 8f · Good · 12 ran 10th 40/1

09 Jun 26 Brighton Fai Fai (GB)J: Christian Howarth Bet Now With fairplaybet.co.uk Apprentice Classified StakesClass 6 · 7f · Good · 8 ran 3rd 7/2J

08 May 26 Chester Wise Counsellor (GB)J: Joe Bradnam Chester Roman Day On 30th May Apprentice Handicap (GBBPlus Race)Class 4 · 12.5f · Good · 15 ran 14th 100/1

06 May 26 Kempton (AW) Taskheer (IRE)J: Hollie Doyle Get Daily Price Boosts At Unibet HandicapClass 6 · 7f · Standard To Slow · 12 ran 9th 11/1

30 Apr 26 Lingfield (AW) Skimming Along (IRE)J: David Probert Download The At The Races App HandicapClass 6 · 12f · Standard · 8 ran 5th 10/1

30 Apr 26 Lingfield (AW) Blue Collar Lad (GB)J: Olivia Tubb Sky Sports Racing Virgin 512 HandicapClass 5 · 7f · Standard · 9 ran 7th 25/1

30 Apr 26 Lingfield (AW) Lady Mcc (IRE)J: Ashley Lewis Free Bets On attheraces.com Fillies' HandicapClass 5 · 10f · Standard · 9 ran 8th 80/1

30 Apr 26 Lingfield (AW) Fai Fai (GB)J: Ashley Lewis 13th Barry Gurr Memorial Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 10 ran 7th 9/2F

28 Apr 26 Lingfield (AW) Crimson Dawn (GB)J: Rose Dawes Download The At The Races App Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)Class 3 · 10f · Standard · 8 ran 8th 300/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Daniel Steele's strike rate?: Daniel Steele has won 21 of 248 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 8.5% (as at 21 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
Which course does Daniel Steele do best at?: Lingfield (AW) by strike rate: 7 wins from 59 runners (11.9%) since 2022. Read from the 15 courses with the most runners on the same basis, and only those with at least 30 — a small sample cannot top the list, and a rarely-visited course is not in the comparison.
Is Daniel Steele in form?: Too few runners in the last 14 days to read — 4 runners, which is not a sample we will draw a conclusion from.
What is Daniel Steele's Fair A/E?: 1.10, from 248 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.