No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%".
KTB Yard Profile
Sent out around 70 runners a season, across both codes, winning with 4% of them — a touch below the margin-free market read across the lifetime window (Fair A/E 0.64). With a claiming rider up the record reads 6% (65 runs).
Deterministic profile computed from 143 archived runs (lifetime window) · updated 22 Oct 2026
KTB at a glanceFresh horses: 5.7%Claiming riders: 6.2%
The read
The yard also read well off a 15-30-day break (8.6%, n=35) and in Chase races (7.9%, n=38). The market has consistently overbet the yard in Class 4: Fair A/E 0.78 across 50 runners (6% strike, −36.00 to a £1 stake) — runners there underperformed what the price implied. One Group or Graded win sits in the archive record — the biggest prize the yard has landed: the Summit Junior Hurdle at Lingfield (Dec 2007, £17,186).
Written from the figures on this page — every claim carries its sample. Descriptive, not a tip.
Yard patterns
the angles behind the record · vs 4.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.7%+1.5
n=35 · A/E 1.05 · £1 −5.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
5.3%+1.1
n=19 · A/E 0.67 · £1 −15.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.2
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.2
n=13 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −13.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.2
n=9 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −9.00
When favourite
0%
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
6.2%+2.0
n=65 · A/E 1.10 · £1 −14.00
Group / Graded races · pattern & listed
0%−4.2
n=6 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −6.00
Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.
Notable angles
vs their own baseline
Off a 15-30-day break8.6% vs 4.2% · n=35
In Chase races7.9% vs 4.2% · n=38
With claiming riders up6.2% vs 4.2% · n=65
In Class 46% vs 4.2% · n=50 · A/E 0.78
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.
Record by conditions
same window as header
Race type
TypeRWSR£1
Hurdle5623.6%−23.50
Flat4412.3%−40.50
Chase3837.9%−15.50
NH Flat500%−5.00
Going
GoingRWSR£1
Good4112.4%−15.00
Standard (AW)3412.9%−30.50
Good to Soft20210%+1.50
Soft2015%−16.50
Good to Firm1600%−16.00
Heavy9111.1%−5.00
Firm300%−3.00
Courses
CourseRWSR£1
Kempton (AW)1000%−10.00
Southwell (AW)9111.1%−5.50
Lingfield (AW)800%−8.00
Newton Abbot800%−8.00
Wolverhampton (AW)700%−7.00
Huntingdon7114.3%−0.50
Folkestone600%−6.00
Chepstow600%−6.00
Market Rasen5120%+10.00
Sedgefield5120%−1.00
Newbury400%−4.00
Cheltenham400%−4.00
Hereford400%−4.00
Kempton300%−3.00
Uttoxeter300%−3.00
Class
ClassRWSR£1
Class 45036%−36.00
Class 52700%−27.00
Class 32627.7%+15.00
Class 62015%−16.50
Class 11200%−12.00
Class 2700%−7.00
Class 7100%−1.00
Market position
In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite5120%0.68−1.50
2nd–3rd fav16212.5%0.76−8.50
4th–6th fav6223.2%0.54−40.50
7th+ in betting6011.7%0.66−34.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.
Distance
DistanceRWSR£1
1m5f – 2m4224.8%−34.50
2m1f – 2m4f3712.7%−22.00
1m2f – 1m4f2214.5%−18.50
2m5f – 3m1715.9%+9.00
Over 3m1119.1%−4.50
1m – 1m1f600%−6.00
6f – 7f500%−5.00
Under 6f300%−3.00
By season
By seasonRWSR£1
200811254.5%−57.00
20093113.2%−27.50
Handicaps
HandicapsRWSR£1
Handicaps6423.1%−31.50
Field size
Field sizeRWSR£1
5-7 runners4548.9%−19.00
8-10 runners3525.7%−2.50
11-13 runners3000%−30.00
14-16 runners2000%−20.00
2-4 runners900%−9.00
17+ runners400%−4.00
Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.
All 44 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next
Of the 44 horses listed, 32 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Tom Tate (3) and Debra Hamer (2); 12 had their first archived run for this yard.
24 have since run for another yard, most often for David Pipe (3) and Mark Rimell (3); 20 have no later run for another yard in our archive.
Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.
When the yard fires
strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
646000·2000170
Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Lemon Silk (IRE) — Summit Junior Hurdle (Grade 2) Lingfield · Dec 2007 · Class 1
£17,186
Sarahs Quay (IRE) — EBF Tatts (Ire)/Mares' Novices Handicap Chase Final (Listed) Uttoxeter · Mar 2006 · Listed
£17,042
Ice Crystal (GB) — Newton Abbot Novices' Chase Newton Abbot · Apr 2007 · Class 3
Progeny have won 8.5% of 4,143 runs since 2008 (315 horses).
Dr Devious (IRE)9.1% · 1–11
Progeny have won 6.6% of 244 runs since 2008 (26 horses).
Anshan (GB)11.1% · 1–9
Progeny have won 9.6% of 4,216 runs since 2008 (387 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14.2% from 520.
Captain Rio (GB)0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 9.5% of 6,912 runs since 2008 (423 horses).
Night Shift (USA)0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 8.7% of 2,176 runs since 2008 (140 horses).
Bahamian Bounty (GB)0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 9.6% of 9,353 runs since 2008 (598 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 1% from 202.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 22 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.
The record
latest 50 of 468 · newest first
The latest 50 of 468 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 6 March 2005 to 8 June 2009.
Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).
Quick answers
What is Kahlil De Burca's strike rate?
Kahlil De Burca has won 6 of 143 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 4.2% (as at 22 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Kahlil De Burca's Fair A/E?
0.64, from 142 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Kahlil De Burca·SR 4.2%·A/E 0.64
KTB
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