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Trainer profile

Alan Juckes

74 runners in the lifetime window · 14 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner Sep 2011
Last 5 seasons Lifetime (2008→)
No runners in the last 5 seasons — showing the lifetime record, from 1 Jan 2008 — the aggregate floor: every horse in the window has a complete captured career behind it.
8–74
Wins / Runs
10.8%
Strike rate
n=74
15 (20%)
Placed
1.60
Fair A/E
n=74 · 1.39 incl. margin
+30.00
£1 level stake
n=74 at SP · +40.5%
£17,649
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
9.1%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 10.8% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.6%−5.2
n=18 · A/E 1.52 · £1 +16.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
22.2%+11.4
n=9 · A/E 3.33 · £1 +28.25
Debutants · first career start
0%−10.8
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
50%+39.2
n=2 · A/E 11.13 · £1 +13.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−10.8
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
0%−10.8
n=18 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −18.00

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 10.8% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
With Vince Slattery 22.6% vs 10.8% · n=31
On Standard (AW) going 17.4% vs 10.8% · n=46
In Class 6 14% vs 10.8% · n=57
In Flat races 12.5% vs 10.8% · n=64 · A/E 1.77
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Flat 64 8 12.5% +40.00
Hurdle 8 0 0% −8.00
Chase 2 0 0% −2.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Standard (AW) 46 8 17.4% +58.00
Good 10 0 0% −10.00
Good to Firm 9 0 0% −9.00
Good to Soft 5 0 0% −5.00
Firm 2 0 0% −2.00
Heavy 1 0 0% −1.00
Soft 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Southwell (AW) 24 5 20.8% +28.50
Wolverhampton (AW) 22 3 13.6% +29.50
Bath 5 0 0% −5.00
Leicester 4 0 0% −4.00
Warwick 3 0 0% −3.00
Nottingham 2 0 0% −2.00
Stratford 2 0 0% −2.00
Uttoxeter 2 0 0% −2.00
Yarmouth 2 0 0% −2.00
Hereford 2 0 0% −2.00
Southwell 1 0 0% −1.00
Brighton 1 0 0% −1.00
Towcester 1 0 0% −1.00
Windsor 1 0 0% −1.00
Chepstow 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 6 57 8 14% +47.00
Class 5 12 0 0% −12.00
Class 4 4 0 0% −4.00
Class 7 1 0 0% −1.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 2 0 0% 0.00 −2.00
2nd–3rd fav 11 4 36.4% 2.15 +6.00
4th–6th fav 22 1 4.5% 0.68 −7.00
7th+ in betting 39 3 7.7% 2.41 +33.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Zaffeu (GB)from Nick Littmoden 16 5 7 3 May 10
Persian Fox (IRE)from G A Huffer · then Stephen Hughes 9 0 2 10 Aug 08
Novay Essjay (IRE)from Conor Dore · then Dai Williams 7 1 1 4 May 11
Romantic Girl (IRE)then Mike Hammond 6 0 0 10 Sep 11
Give Me Love (FR)from Paul Nicholls · then F L Matthews 6 0 1 12 Jun 08
Calormen (GB)from Chris Dwyer 5 0 0 2 Jun 11
Starcross Maid (GB)from John Coupland 5 0 2 31 May 09
Rose of Coma (IRE)from Gay Kelleway 4 0 0 17 Jun 10
Ruby Delta (GB)from Peter Cundell 4 1 1 18 May 10
Casablanca Minx (IRE)from Gay Kelleway 4 0 0 14 Dec 09
Bellomi (IRE)from Gay Kelleway · then Ken Wingrove 3 0 0 20 Apr 10
William Morgan (IRE)from Richard Fahey · then Mike Hammond 2 1 1 3 Jan 11
All 14 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 14 horses listed, 13 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Gay Kelleway (3); 1 had its first archived run for this yard.

7 have since run for another yard, most often for Mike Hammond (2); 7 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, lifetime
JFMAMJJASOND
112915250000500014
A flat yard: the season runs Mar–Oct. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderVince Slattery
42% of all rides
22.6% SR · A/E 2.41
RiderRWSR£1
Vince Slattery 31 7 22.6% +61.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
14
Archived wins
£57,699
Prize money
2008
Best season · 5 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Soviet Threat (IRE) — Bet Direct Handicap (Div 2) Wolverhampton (AW) · Mar 2005 · Class 5
£3,435
Canadian Storm (GB) — Ludlow Golf Club Claiming Hurdle Ludlow · Apr 2006 · Class 5
£2,928
Zaffeu (GB) — iBet Betting Exchange Claiming Stakes Wolverhampton (AW) · Nov 2006 · Class 6
£2,730
Notable horses
Zaffeu (GB) Moon Shot (GB) Soviet Threat (IRE) Canadian Storm (GB) Mantles Prince (GB) Novay Essjay (IRE)

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Zafonic (USA) 31.3% · 5–16
Progeny have won 9.7% of 658 runs since 2008 (52 horses). Strongest on Standard (AW) going: 14.2% from 190.
King Charlemagne (USA) 0% · 0–9
Progeny have won 7.4% of 1,605 runs since 2008 (116 horses). Weakest on Soft going: 3.7% from 189. Strongest at trips under 6f (all codes): 10.9% from 156.
Noverre (USA) 14.3% · 1–7
Progeny have won 10.7% of 3,831 runs since 2008 (235 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 13.7% from 803. Weakest on Soft going: 6.9% from 407.
Bering (GB) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 8.8% of 701 runs since 2008 (69 horses). Strongest on Good to Soft going: 13.9% from 108. Weakest on Heavy going: 4.6% from 109. Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.8% from 156.
Byron (GB) 0% · 0–6
Progeny have won 9.4% of 3,248 runs since 2008 (225 horses). Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 4.7% from 172.
Imperial Dancer (GB) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 9.3% of 940 runs since 2008 (61 horses). Strongest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 12.7% from 142.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 236 · newest first

The latest 50 of 236 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 8 January 2005 to 10 September 2011.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
10 Sep 11 Bath Romantic Girl (IRE)J: Kelly Harrison bet365 HandicapClass 6 · 13f · Good To Soft · 14 ran 13th 40/1
12 Aug 11 Nottingham Romantic Girl (IRE)J: Andrew Elliott Mitie HandicapClass 6 · 14f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 6th 28/1
01 Jul 11 Warwick Romantic Girl (IRE)J: Liam Jones Premier Planning Cautiously Managed Selling StakesClass 6 · 11f · Good To Firm · 10 ran 5th 66/1
02 Jun 11 Southwell (AW) Calormen (GB)J: David Kenny Ladbrokes Mobile Selling StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 7 ran 7th 33/1
04 May 11 Southwell (AW) Novay Essjay (IRE)J: Luke Morris Visit attheraces.com/punchestown Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 9 ran 9th 9/2
09 Apr 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Novay Essjay (IRE)J: Mr Simon Walker freebets.co.uk Grand National 2011 Betting Offers Amateur Riders' Handicap (Div 2)Class 6 · 6f · Standard · 11 ran 1st 11/1
30 Mar 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Novay Essjay (IRE)J: Paul Hanagan Horizons Restaurant HandicapClass 6 · 8.5f · Standard · 12 ran 11th 50/1
19 Mar 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Novay Essjay (IRE)J: Graham Gibbons Great Offers At wolverhampton-racecourse.co.uk Selling StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 7 ran 6th 50/1
15 Mar 11 Southwell (AW) Novay Essjay (IRE)J: David Kenny Enjoy The Cheltenham Festival With Freebetting.co.uk Classified Claiming StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 10th 40/1
04 Feb 11 Wolverhampton (AW) Novay Essjay (IRE)J: Vince Slattery Sponsor A Race By Calling 01902 390000 Claiming StakesClass 5 · 9.5f · Standard · 10 ran 9th 66/1
03 Jan 11 Southwell (AW) William Morgan (IRE)J: Vince Slattery bluesq.com On Your iPhone Selling StakesClass 6 · 7f · Standard · 4 ran 4th 4/1
11 Dec 10 Southwell (AW) William Morgan (IRE)J: Vince Slattery 40 Live Football Markets At totesport.com Selling StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 7 ran 1st 9/4
13 Nov 10 Wolverhampton (AW) Romantic Girl (IRE)J: Russ Kennemore European Breeders' Fund Maiden StakesClass 5 · 9.5f · Standard · 12 ran 9th 100/1
10 Nov 10 Southwell (AW) Calormen (GB)J: Russ Kennemore Hospitality At Southwell Racecourse Selling StakesClass 6 · 8f · Standard · 10 ran 5th 16/1
27 Oct 10 Nottingham Calormen (GB)J: Darryll Holland Exclusive Networks Proudly Partners Exinda Selling StakesClass 6 · 8.5f · Good To Soft · 15 ran 4th 40/1
25 Oct 10 Leicester Romantic Girl (IRE)J: Russ Kennemore Hoby Median Auction Maiden Fillies' StakesClass 6 · 6f · Heavy · 12 ran 9th 200/1
31 Aug 10 Southwell (AW) Romantic Girl (IRE)J: Vince Slattery Lord Lightfoot Maiden StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 6 ran 6th 28/1
30 Aug 10 Bath Calormen (GB)J: Russ Kennemore Lancer Scott Retail NurseryClass 6 · 5f · Good · 15 ran 11th 25/1
03 Jul 10 Leicester Calormen (GB)J: Vince Slattery John Smith's Extra Smooth Selling StakesClass 6 · 6f · Good To Firm · 9 ran 8th 12/1
21 Jun 10 Wolverhampton (AW) Novay Essjay (IRE)J: Vince Slattery Betdaq The Betting Exchange Claiming StakesClass 5 · 6f · Standard · 13 ran 9th 12/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is Alan Juckes's strike rate?
Alan Juckes has won 8 of 74 runners since 2008, a strike rate of 10.8% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is Alan Juckes's Fair A/E?
1.60, from 74 runners with a computed fair probability since 2008. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).