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Trainer profile

John Groucott

72 runners in the last 5 seasons · 23 individual horses
As at 15 Oct 2026 · KTB archive: 2005–present, updated daily
Last runner May 2023 100% of runners over jumps
from 1 Jan 2022
3–72
Wins / Runs
4.2%
Strike rate
n=72
15 (21%)
Placed
0.51
Fair A/E
n=72 · 0.44 incl. margin
−43.50
£1 level stake
n=72 at SP · −60.4%
£47,654
Prize money (window)
Strike by season
0%

Yard patterns

the angles behind the record · vs 4.2% baseline
Fresh · 61+ days off
5.9%+1.7
n=17 · A/E 1.23 · £1 +2.00
New recruits · first run for the yard
0%−4.2
n=4 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −4.00
Debutants · first career start
0%−4.2
n=5 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −5.00
First-time headgear · true-first definition
0%−4.2
n=2 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −2.00
Headgear returns · back on after a bare run
0%−4.2
n=3 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −3.00
When favourite
0%
n=1 · A/E 0.00 · £1 −1.00
Claiming riders · a claimer in the saddle
8.3%+4.1
n=12 · A/E 1.19 · £1 −6.50

Each tile is the record in that situation vs the 4.2% baseline — descriptive splits with the sample always shown, not tips. Tiles under 30 runs render muted. Headgear figures use the true-first definition (first gear appearance in the captured career); returns are gear back on after a bare run. Claiming riders are runs where the booked rider carried a weight claim. Group / Graded covers pattern and listed races.

Notable angles

vs their own baseline
In Class 5 2.2% vs 4.2% · n=45
Descriptive splits ranked by divergence × sample — insight, not instruction. Every angle carries its N; nothing under 30 runs qualifies. Rows within 2pts of the baseline appear only when the market-relative read (Fair A/E) diverges, and show it.

Record by conditions

same window as header

Race type

TypeRWSR£1
Chase 35 2 5.7% −25.50
Hurdle 30 1 3.3% −11.00
NH Flat 7 0 0% −7.00

Going

GoingRWSR£1
Good 35 1 2.9% −16.00
Good to Soft 19 1 5.3% −13.50
Soft 12 1 8.3% −8.00
Heavy 5 0 0% −5.00
Good to Firm 1 0 0% −1.00

Courses

CourseRWSR£1
Bangor-on-Dee 12 0 0% −12.00
Uttoxeter 11 0 0% −11.00
Southwell 6 0 0% −6.00
Leicester 6 1 16.7% −2.00
Hereford 6 0 0% −6.00
Market Rasen 5 1 20% +0.50
Worcester 5 1 20% +14.00
Ludlow 4 0 0% −4.00
Stratford 3 0 0% −3.00
Chepstow 2 0 0% −2.00
Huntingdon 2 0 0% −2.00
Doncaster 2 0 0% −2.00
Carlisle 2 0 0% −2.00
Sedgefield 2 0 0% −2.00
Ffos Las 1 0 0% −1.00

Class

ClassRWSR£1
Class 5 45 1 2.2% −39.50
Class 4 25 2 8% −2.00
Class 3 2 0 0% −2.00

Market position

In the bettingRWSRA/E£1
Favourite 4 0 0% 0.00 −4.00
2nd–3rd fav 15 2 13.3% 0.70 −5.50
4th–6th fav 25 0 0% 0.00 −25.00
7th+ in betting 28 1 3.6% 1.40 −9.00
Fair A/E per band is the tell: near 1.00 the market had it priced right; well above, the wins came where the market didn't expect them.

Rows below n=30 are shown faded — a small sample is a fact, not a trend. Every figure carries its N.

Jumping record

completion over obstacles · same window as header
81.5% completed · 65 obstacle runners (chases & hurdles)
CodeRCompFURPUBDOth
Chase 35 85.7% 0 1 4 0 0
Hurdle 30 76.7% 0 0 7 0 0
Chases and hurdles only — bumpers have no obstacles, so completion is not a question there. F fell · UR unseated rider · PU pulled up · BD brought down · Oth covers refusals, slip-ups, run-outs and the rare disqualification. Non-runners are excluded throughout. Rows under n=30 are shown faded. A descriptive record, not a tip.

Horses trained

same window as header · most-raced first
HorseRWPlLast ran
Richardson (GB)then Belinda Clarke 7 0 2 1 Apr 23
Maisiebella (GB) 6 0 1 31 Dec 22
Star of Rory (IRE)from Tom Dascombe 6 1 2 9 Apr 22
Unai (IRE)from Belinda Clarke · then Belinda Clarke 5 0 0 22 May 23
Massini Man (GB)from Tom George · then Sandy Thomson 5 0 4 13 Apr 22
Happy News (GB)then Sam Allwood 4 0 0 30 Mar 22
Jessie Lightfoot (IRE)then Henry Oliver 4 1 1 15 Mar 22
Lucky Jo Jo (GB) 2 0 0 20 May 23
Yes And Yes (IRE)then Belinda Clarke 2 0 0 8 May 23
All 23 horses sent out in this window. Runs, wins and places only: a strike rate or a return on a handful of runs is noise, so none is quoted per horse — each horse's full record is on its own page.
Where they came from · where they went next

Of the 23 horses listed, 10 arrived from another yard in our archive, most often from Tom Dascombe (3) and Gordon Elliott (2); 13 had their first archived run for this yard.

15 have since run for another yard, most often for Belinda Clarke (6) and Dave Roberts (2); 8 have no later run for another yard in our archive.

Read from each listed horse's whole archived career (2005 onwards), not only this window, and counted over the horses listed above, not the whole string. “First archived run” means our archive holds nothing earlier, not that the horse was unraced. A horse with no later run elsewhere may still be here, be off the track, or have run somewhere our archive does not cover — none of that is asserted.

When the yard fires

strike by month, 5 seasons
JFMAMJJASOND
0860130···000
A jumps yard: the season runs Oct–Apr. Muted months are small samples (under 30 runs) — read them with the caution they deserve.

Jockey bookings

same window · biggest samples first
Go-to riderLee Edwards
60% of all rides
2.3% SR · A/E 0.28
RiderRWSR£1
Lee Edwards 43 1 2.3% −39.00
Muted rows are under 30 rides and sit behind "Show all".

Career highlights

lifetime archive, 2005→
59
Archived wins
1
Pattern / graded wins
£457k
Prize money
2018
Best season · 8 wins
In our archive from its very first year (2005), so this career almost certainly began earlier than our record does. The figures above count 2005 onwards only — what the archive holds, not a full-career total. This card is the full archive census (2005→); the statistics in the header aggregate from 2008 — the floor that guarantees every horse a complete captured career — so this card can legitimately show more wins than the header.
Midnight Target (GB) — EBF/Thoroughbred Breeders' Association Mares' Novices' Handicap Chase (Listed) Cheltenham · Apr 2018 · Listed
£22,780
Pret A Thou (FR) — Totepool Lord Gyllene Handicap Chase Uttoxeter · Feb 2010 · Class 3
£9,393
Pret A Thou (FR) — London Welsh Rugby Club Handicap Chase Lingfield · Feb 2010 · Class 3
£7,806

Sires in the string

progeny record · win % by ground and trip
Black Sam Bellamy (IRE) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 10.3% of 4,681 runs since 2008 (466 horses). Weakest over 1m2f – 1m4f (all codes): 5.5% from 145.
Valirann (FR) 0% · 0–8
Progeny have won 10.2% of 1,436 runs since 2008 (157 horses). Weakest on Good to Soft going: 7% from 341.
Kirkwall (GB) 0% · 0–7
Progeny have won 9.6% of 562 runs since 2008 (44 horses). Strongest over 2m1f – 2m4f (all codes): 12.8% from 164. Weakest over 1m5f – 2m (all codes): 5.9% from 136.
Born To Sea (IRE) 16.7% · 1–6
Progeny have won 9.1% of 4,261 runs since 2008 (306 horses). Strongest on Soft going: 12.1% from 956. Weakest on Standard (AW) going: 4.4% from 864. Weakest over 6f – 7f (all codes): 5.8% from 723.
Court Cave (IRE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 10.1% of 7,921 runs since 2008 (551 horses). Weakest on Heavy going: 6.9% from 934.
Dr Massini (IRE) 0% · 0–5
Progeny have won 10.6% of 4,942 runs since 2008 (406 horses). Strongest on Good to Firm going: 14% from 421.
Top line: the yard's own record with each sire's runners (win %, wins–runs), same window as the header; faded under 30 runs. Beneath it: every run by that sire's progeny in our archive since 2008, as at 15 Oct 2026 — what they have done, not a forecast. A going or a distance is named only where at least 100 progeny runs sit 3 or more points from the sire's own win rate. Distance bands cover Flat and jumps together.

The record

latest 50 of 762 · newest first

The latest 50 of 762 archived runners, newest first. The full record runs from 18 March 2005 to 22 May 2023.

DateCourseHorseRaceFinishSP
25 Mar 23 Bangor-on-Dee Unai (IRE)J: Lee Edwards Broxton Gates Novices' Handicap HurdleClass 5 · 23f · Good To Soft · 11 ran 8th 40/1

Drawn from the whole archive (2005 onwards), so it can include runs outside the window the header statistics cover. Non-runners are not listed. A finish shown in letters is a non-completion (F fell · UR unseated · PU pulled up · BD brought down).

Quick answers

What is John Groucott's strike rate?
John Groucott has won 3 of 72 runners since 2022, a strike rate of 4.2% (as at 15 October 2026). Figures are computed from our own results archive.
What is John Groucott's Fair A/E?
0.51, from 72 runners with a computed fair probability since 2022. Fair A/E compares actual wins with a margin-stripped market expectation, so 1.00 is par: above it the wins came at bigger prices than the margin-free market implied, below it they did not.
Fair A/E compares wins with a margin-stripped market expectation. Favourite-heavy samples — top yards, leading riders — naturally read a few points warm, so 1.05 means "beat the margin-free market read", not "the market underrates this by 5%". Three sample sizes are reported and never blended: runs (n), the ROI basis (n at SP), and the fair-A/E basis (n with a computed fair probability).

Strike rate is wins over all runs (n). ROI is £1 level stakes at SP over runs with a parseable price (n at SP). Fair A/E is wins over margin-stripped market expectation, over runs with a computed fair probability (n fair). The three Ns can legitimately differ and are always shown. Figures as at 15 October 2026, computed from our own results archive (2005 onwards; aggregates from 2008).